NYC Mayoral General Election Survey 7.15.2025

This survey was conducted online from July 7-8, 2025 among 585 registered voters in New York City. Respondents are recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs through a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods. The results reflect a representative sample of likely registered voters in New York City. Results were weighted for age, gender, race/ethnicity, income, education, borough, party, and ideology where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. The margin of error for the total sample is +/-4.1 percentage points.

For further insights and data, visit elections.harrisx.com





D1: What is your sex?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Male45%46%41%61%36%51%44%55%54%34%3%40%48%43%41%41%53%58%58%34%40%40%43%100%0%33%48%42%52%43%47%44%52%40%24%26%46%45%43%44%49%43%41%62%46%43%40%56%25%74%42%38%26%52%53%43%55%100%100%100%100%0%0%0%0%
Female55%54%59%39%64%49%56%45%46%66%97%60%52%57%59%59%47%42%42%66%60%60%57%0%100%67%52%58%48%57%53%56%48%60%76%74%54%55%57%56%51%57%59%38%54%57%60%44%75%26%58%62%74%48%47%57%45%0%0%0%0%100%100%100%100%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q1: When it comes to your gender, do you identify as…

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Man45%45%40%61%36%51%44%55%54%33%3%40%47%42%41%40%53%58%57%32%40%40%43%99%0%32%48%42%52%42%46%42%52%40%24%26%46%44%43%44%49%42%40%62%46%42%40%56%25%74%38%38%26%51%53%43%55%98%100%98%100%0%0%0%0%
Woman54%54%58%39%64%49%54%45%46%66%97%60%51%58%59%59%46%42%42%66%60%55%57%0%99%63%52%58%48%56%53%55%47%60%76%74%54%55%56%55%51%56%60%38%53%58%60%44%75%26%54%62%74%49%47%56%45%2%0%0%0%95%100%100%100%
Non-binary1%1%2%0%0%0%2%0%0%1%0%0%2%0%0%1%1%0%1%2%0%5%0%1%1%4%0%1%0%2%0%2%1%0%0%0%0%2%1%1%0%2%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%8%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%2%0%5%0%0%0%
Other0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




H1: Age

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

18-3421%17%34%23%27%49%41%13%21%10%97%17%24%17%29%23%20%7%23%17%19%21%23%16%25%100%26%0%0%53%0%34%15%23%25%13%14%26%22%26%14%26%21%12%17%28%7%33%69%21%21%26%38%19%27%21%36%100%0%0%0%100%0%0%0%
35-4924%22%34%13%28%0%34%19%20%24%0%17%24%27%71%29%19%14%26%32%27%4%22%25%23%0%74%17%0%47%9%23%24%29%21%5%29%21%17%22%36%25%22%26%30%18%13%10%19%52%18%22%31%28%18%24%29%0%100%0%0%0%100%0%0%
50-6427%28%22%29%37%19%15%33%26%37%3%23%27%31%0%23%37%31%22%40%27%55%17%26%28%0%0%83%0%0%45%34%27%27%13%19%20%31%34%22%23%29%26%28%28%30%25%34%13%15%39%22%32%29%10%27%34%0%0%100%0%0%0%100%0%
65+28%33%9%35%9%31%10%35%33%29%0%44%25%26%0%25%24%48%30%12%26%19%39%32%24%0%0%0%100%0%46%9%35%21%41%63%36%22%28%29%27%21%32%34%26%24%54%23%0%12%23%29%0%25%44%29%0%0%0%0%100%0%0%0%100%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




QAge: QAge

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

18-2915%11%25%11%23%30%29%9%10%8%97%12%17%11%18%17%11%2%16%9%14%13%18%11%18%100%0%0%0%37%0%21%8%21%19%13%8%19%16%20%7%20%13%6%11%20%4%22%65%17%9%21%18%8%27%15%21%66%0%0%0%72%0%0%0%
30-3916%14%22%21%14%19%26%13%19%7%0%12%15%17%57%16%18%10%16%18%17%12%14%16%16%0%63%0%0%40%0%22%16%11%12%5%19%13%12%16%21%14%15%18%16%17%9%15%15%28%17%11%50%22%0%15%15%34%40%0%0%28%37%0%0%
40-4915%14%21%4%17%0%20%10%13%19%0%9%16%15%25%19%10%8%16%22%16%0%13%15%15%0%37%17%0%23%9%14%13%19%16%1%16%14%12%13%21%16%14%14%20%9%8%7%8%29%12%16%0%17%18%14%29%0%60%0%0%0%63%0%0%
50-6427%28%22%29%37%19%15%33%26%37%3%23%27%31%0%23%37%31%22%40%27%55%17%26%28%0%0%83%0%0%45%34%27%27%13%19%20%31%34%22%23%29%26%28%28%30%25%34%13%15%39%22%32%29%10%27%34%0%0%100%0%0%0%100%0%
65+28%33%9%35%9%31%10%35%33%29%0%44%25%26%0%25%24%48%30%12%26%19%39%32%24%0%0%0%100%0%46%9%35%21%41%63%36%22%28%29%27%21%32%34%26%24%54%23%0%12%23%29%0%25%44%29%0%0%0%0%100%0%0%0%100%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




H2: Generation

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Gen Z12%9%20%11%23%30%22%7%7%8%97%10%14%7%18%13%10%2%12%6%14%10%14%8%15%81%0%0%0%30%0%14%7%21%12%11%5%16%12%15%7%17%9%6%8%8%4%16%58%17%9%21%17%5%27%12%21%47%0%0%0%62%0%0%0%
Millennials28%26%39%24%19%19%47%23%30%16%0%16%28%32%57%31%26%14%27%36%30%15%26%30%26%19%100%0%0%70%0%35%26%25%32%7%32%25%23%28%34%27%29%25%32%38%10%24%30%45%17%20%52%36%18%26%44%53%82%0%0%38%72%0%0%
Gen X27%26%26%27%41%19%21%28%23%38%3%21%27%29%25%27%29%29%27%41%21%47%17%23%30%0%0%83%0%0%44%33%25%29%16%19%22%30%29%24%26%30%25%28%27%27%28%30%3%22%48%21%32%29%9%27%34%0%18%73%0%0%28%84%0%
Baby Boomers31%36%11%38%16%31%10%33%38%35%0%53%27%30%0%27%35%46%31%14%34%28%39%35%28%0%0%17%91%0%51%16%37%26%41%63%39%25%36%27%30%26%35%35%30%28%48%30%10%16%26%37%0%30%46%31%0%0%0%27%86%0%0%16%96%
Silent3%3%3%0%0%0%0%8%1%2%0%0%4%1%0%2%0%9%4%3%1%0%4%4%1%0%0%0%9%0%4%2%4%0%0%0%2%3%0%6%2%0%3%6%3%0%10%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%0%0%0%0%14%0%0%0%4%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




H3: Region (9-way)

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

New England0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Middle Atlantic100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
East North Central0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
West North Central0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
South Atlantic0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
East South Central0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
West South Central0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Mountain0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Pacific0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




H3A: Region (4-way)

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Northeast100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Midwest0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
South0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
West0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q5: In which borough do you live?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Brooklyn30%30%30%40%16%49%32%23%21%30%97%44%24%34%60%28%33%32%100%0%0%0%0%38%23%32%28%29%32%29%30%17%36%32%24%17%31%29%34%25%30%25%35%30%27%32%33%57%32%20%21%31%11%40%20%28%56%57%32%28%42%19%32%21%21%
The Bronx15%14%17%8%25%20%13%16%12%22%3%10%16%16%3%19%11%7%0%100%0%0%0%11%18%9%20%21%6%16%14%28%8%26%2%4%9%19%21%15%7%17%15%10%15%27%16%5%4%9%19%14%15%22%7%14%12%7%19%11%7%15%20%30%6%
Manhattan21%22%17%34%0%0%25%13%27%17%0%26%23%14%25%24%20%10%0%0%100%0%0%19%23%20%25%19%20%23%19%24%21%21%15%18%30%14%17%17%33%26%19%22%17%15%26%17%25%33%18%29%20%17%21%23%0%15%30%26%6%22%19%18%35%
Staten Island8%8%9%8%0%0%5%13%16%6%0%1%9%11%0%3%15%20%0%0%0%100%0%7%9%7%4%14%6%5%10%4%13%4%0%0%6%10%4%11%10%6%7%14%13%3%1%11%0%0%15%5%21%3%16%9%0%4%0%11%11%10%3%20%0%
Queens26%25%26%11%59%31%25%35%23%25%0%19%29%25%12%26%21%32%0%0%0%0%100%25%27%31%23%17%36%26%26%27%23%17%58%62%24%28%25%33%20%27%24%23%28%24%24%10%40%38%28%22%33%18%35%27%32%18%19%23%34%34%27%11%38%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q6: Are you registered to vote where you currently reside?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Yes100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
No0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Not sure0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




D4: Are you of Hispanic origin (such as Latin American, Mexican, Puerto Rican, or Cuban)? Why do we ask this question?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Yes, of Hispanic origin20%17%26%36%20%19%24%18%17%20%3%20%20%20%12%20%21%15%12%37%22%11%21%20%20%29%22%26%6%25%17%100%0%0%0%0%11%26%31%13%14%21%19%20%25%11%5%24%24%19%43%19%2%26%9%19%32%37%20%26%6%29%19%25%7%
No, not of Hispanic origin80%83%74%64%80%81%76%82%83%79%97%80%80%79%88%80%78%85%88%63%78%89%79%80%79%71%78%73%94%75%83%0%100%100%100%84%89%73%69%87%86%79%80%80%75%89%95%76%76%81%52%81%98%74%91%81%68%63%80%74%94%71%81%74%93%
Decline to answer0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%16%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%5%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%2%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




D5: Do you consider yourself...?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

White57%64%42%36%21%81%43%78%73%50%3%48%54%68%63%49%57%89%64%42%56%84%50%65%50%37%58%59%64%50%61%39%100%0%0%0%72%47%36%61%81%45%58%76%66%39%96%56%25%50%24%26%2%64%37%58%26%55%66%63%70%36%49%58%57%
Black or African American25%21%31%20%72%19%28%12%22%31%97%31%25%20%31%30%23%8%25%48%24%15%16%21%28%35%26%27%16%30%22%20%0%100%0%0%13%33%38%23%10%32%23%16%15%53%1%19%63%11%39%51%96%20%60%24%30%25%29%18%16%35%30%30%16%
Asian or Pacific Islander9%8%13%15%0%0%15%7%1%7%0%10%11%4%6%11%10%0%8%1%6%0%19%5%12%14%8%4%12%10%8%2%0%0%100%0%9%9%11%11%3%11%10%4%6%7%1%16%0%31%4%19%0%7%0%9%12%9%0%2%10%14%14%6%14%
Native American or Alaskan Native1%0%0%6%2%0%1%0%1%2%0%0%1%1%0%0%3%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%1%2%0%1%0%1%1%3%0%0%0%8%0%1%1%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%5%5%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%2%0%2%0%
Mixed racial background3%2%2%7%1%0%4%0%2%4%0%3%3%2%0%3%3%0%0%6%6%0%2%1%4%5%2%2%2%4%2%10%0%0%0%31%1%3%3%3%2%4%3%1%4%0%2%4%0%0%4%2%0%1%0%3%0%1%0%3%0%8%2%2%4%
Other race6%4%11%15%5%0%10%4%0%6%0%5%7%2%0%7%2%2%1%4%7%2%12%7%4%5%5%6%6%5%6%24%0%0%0%43%5%6%11%2%2%7%6%2%9%0%0%5%11%0%19%1%0%8%3%5%22%8%4%13%4%4%5%0%8%
Decline to answer1%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%1%0%2%0%0%2%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%3%0%1%0%1%0%2%0%0%0%17%0%1%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%5%1%2%0%0%1%10%2%0%0%0%2%0%2%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




D6. You indicated that you consider yourself of a mixed racial background. With which of the following racial groups do you most closely identify?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

White57%77%25%0%0% - 76% - 0%85% - 0%78%48% - 69%19%0%0%43%50% - 100%0%68%63%40%32%100%53%61%46% - 0% - 97%38%62%75%26%74%96%23%0%51%0%100%43% - - 0%89% - 0% - 62% - 0%0%0% - 47%94%68%100%
Black or African American42%55%25%0%0% - 23% - 45%86% - 0%46%71% - 50%19%0%0%43%18% - 100%1%50%15%40%32%100%26%61%28% - 100% - 97%39%43%65%37%0%57%34%0%59%0%0%0% - - 0%89% - 0% - 46% - 5%0%0% - 11%94%68%100%
Asian or Pacific Islander0%0%0%0%0% - 0% - 0%0% - 0%0%0% - 0%0%0%0%0%0% - 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0% - 0% - 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0% - - 0%0% - 0% - 0% - 0%0%0% - 0%0%0%0%
Native American or Alaskan Native19%22%25%0%0% - 41% - 45%0% - 0%24%22% - 20%19%0%0%14%32% - 0%0%23%63%0%0%0%35%0%24% - 0% - 0%0%25%0%12%74%30%11%0%8%0%100%0% - - 0%0% - 0% - 21% - 0%0%0% - 47%0%0%0%
Other Race58%45%75%100%100% - 77% - 55%14% - 100%54%29% - 50%81%100%100%57%82% - 0%99%50%85%60%68%0%74%39%72% - 0% - 3%61%57%35%63%100%43%66%100%41%100%100%100% - - 100%11% - 100% - 54% - 95%100%100% - 89%6%32%0%
Decline to answer0%0%0%0%0% - 0% - 0%0% - 0%0%0% - 0%0%0%0%0%0% - 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0% - 0% - 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0% - - 0%0% - 0% - 0% - 0%0%0% - 0%0%0%0%
Column n171141104035058407732950161185311341401026118546728113001301016041106221




QRACE: What is your race?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

White49%54%38%33%18%81%37%67%66%40%0%43%46%60%51%41%51%79%58%25%50%79%43%57%43%28%49%47%62%42%54%0%100%0%0%0%67%37%25%56%74%39%51%63%56%37%94%44%14%39%11%20%0%52%36%50%26%41%53%56%68%31%44%43%55%
Black or African American21%19%22%15%60%0%22%10%15%30%97%26%22%16%31%27%16%6%23%37%21%10%14%18%23%31%20%22%16%24%19%0%0%100%0%0%12%27%31%20%9%27%20%13%11%45%0%16%62%11%32%42%96%17%55%20%30%16%27%15%16%27%23%25%16%
Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin20%17%26%36%20%19%24%18%17%20%3%20%20%20%12%20%21%15%12%37%22%11%21%20%20%29%22%26%6%25%17%100%0%0%0%0%11%26%31%13%14%21%19%20%25%11%5%24%24%19%43%19%2%26%9%19%32%37%20%26%6%29%19%25%7%
Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin)8%7%13%15%0%0%15%5%1%7%0%10%10%4%6%10%10%0%7%1%6%0%19%4%11%11%8%4%12%9%8%0%0%0%100%0%9%8%10%11%3%11%9%4%5%7%1%16%0%31%4%19%0%5%0%9%12%4%0%2%10%13%14%6%14%
Other, specify2%2%0%0%2%0%2%0%1%4%0%1%2%1%0%2%2%0%1%0%1%0%4%1%2%1%0%1%4%1%2%0%0%0%0%100%1%2%3%0%0%3%1%0%3%0%0%0%0%0%9%0%2%0%0%2%0%2%1%1%1%0%0%2%7%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




D103: What is the highest level of education you have completed or the highest degree you have received?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Less than high school2%1%2%7%0%0%2%0%6%1%0%2%3%0%0%2%0%3%0%3%2%8%1%1%2%2%3%2%0%3%1%4%0%3%3%0%0%3%3%1%1%2%1%3%1%0%0%0%1%4%7%3%21%0%0%2%0%7%0%1%0%2%2%4%0%
Completed some high school3%3%4%0%0%0%5%2%3%1%0%1%3%2%0%2%2%5%1%5%1%9%2%3%2%3%1%5%1%2%3%6%2%3%0%0%0%4%5%1%1%3%1%5%3%0%2%2%1%0%9%5%0%4%0%2%22%8%1%4%2%1%1%5%0%
High school graduate or equivalent (e.g, GED)25%22%29%26%58%38%20%27%16%39%97%16%28%24%15%23%29%26%25%33%16%15%31%26%24%35%21%24%25%26%24%32%15%38%27%46%0%42%38%27%5%21%27%25%32%27%6%11%64%32%17%26%12%10%46%27%27%32%25%24%27%26%24%23%23%
Completed some college19%18%22%39%8%30%11%20%20%22%0%29%16%21%39%18%24%20%23%18%16%30%16%20%19%23%12%25%17%16%22%20%20%19%18%19%0%33%21%25%10%16%22%20%19%20%18%28%11%9%33%20%21%16%28%20%24%22%10%37%14%24%5%25%21%
Associate's degree10%8%12%17%24%0%7%10%9%12%0%14%8%12%21%9%8%13%8%16%6%9%13%7%13%14%15%9%4%15%7%15%7%13%10%0%0%17%13%9%7%9%12%7%11%11%6%11%4%3%6%14%30%11%7%10%10%2%12%4%7%21%21%10%0%
Bachelor's degree23%26%13%11%9%31%30%26%22%11%3%23%25%19%0%24%22%21%24%16%26%20%23%24%21%22%25%20%24%24%21%11%28%16%38%10%55%0%11%29%32%27%21%22%22%19%26%30%19%20%12%28%16%25%1%24%17%28%29%14%28%21%16%27%19%
Completed some graduate school1%2%0%0%0%0%1%3%0%0%0%2%1%2%0%0%2%4%0%0%3%3%1%0%2%0%0%1%3%0%2%0%2%1%0%0%3%0%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%3%0%8%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%2%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%2%6%
Graduate degree (e.g., M.S., M.D., Ph.D.)17%20%17%0%0%1%23%12%25%14%0%13%18%19%25%22%12%8%19%9%31%6%13%17%17%1%22%13%27%14%19%12%26%6%5%26%42%0%8%7%44%21%14%17%12%21%42%10%0%31%17%4%0%34%19%14%0%1%24%16%22%6%30%4%31%
Not sure0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




H5: Education

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Less than high school degree4%4%6%7%0%0%7%3%8%1%0%3%6%2%0%4%3%8%2%8%3%17%3%5%4%5%4%7%1%4%4%10%2%6%3%0%0%7%9%2%1%5%2%8%4%0%2%2%2%4%15%7%21%4%0%4%22%15%1%6%2%2%4%9%0%
High school degree to less than 4-year54%48%64%82%91%68%38%57%45%73%97%59%51%57%75%50%61%59%55%67%38%54%60%53%55%72%48%59%46%57%53%67%42%70%54%65%0%93%72%61%22%46%61%52%62%57%30%50%79%45%56%60%63%37%80%56%61%56%46%65%48%70%50%58%43%
4-year college degree or more41%48%30%12%9%32%54%41%47%26%3%37%43%41%25%46%37%33%43%25%60%29%37%42%41%23%48%34%53%39%43%23%56%24%43%35%100%0%19%37%76%48%37%40%34%43%69%48%19%51%29%33%16%58%20%39%17%30%52%29%50%28%47%33%57%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




EDUW: New Education

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

College grad41%48%30%12%9%32%54%41%47%26%3%37%43%41%25%46%37%33%43%25%60%29%37%42%41%23%48%34%53%39%43%23%56%24%43%35%100%0%19%37%76%48%37%40%34%43%69%48%19%51%29%33%16%58%20%39%17%30%52%29%50%28%47%33%57%
Non College59%52%70%88%91%68%46%59%53%74%97%63%57%59%75%54%63%67%57%75%40%71%63%58%59%77%52%66%47%61%57%77%44%76%57%65%0%100%81%63%24%52%63%60%66%57%31%52%81%49%71%67%84%42%80%61%83%70%48%71%50%72%53%67%43%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




D109: Which of the following ranges best describes your annual household income?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Less than $25,00015%13%16%25%24%19%18%12%6%17%0%18%17%8%3%19%10%8%11%33%13%9%13%15%15%17%11%21%11%13%16%28%6%20%13%70%5%22%39%0%0%20%14%6%17%8%10%15%9%13%29%16%33%9%1%16%30%27%13%22%4%8%11%22%18%
$25,000 to $50,00023%22%26%20%32%19%18%19%18%32%97%30%23%20%23%23%20%26%32%21%18%10%23%22%24%25%19%23%27%21%25%30%14%37%31%5%12%31%61%0%0%23%26%19%23%24%5%34%32%22%31%37%22%13%17%25%42%23%18%27%20%25%13%24%34%
$50,000 to $60,00011%10%9%22%31%0%6%20%5%9%0%17%11%8%10%11%9%15%10%10%11%5%16%10%12%15%8%9%15%10%12%10%10%17%9%0%4%16%0%33%0%7%14%14%9%18%13%3%41%15%0%8%28%20%28%9%0%7%8%5%17%15%8%13%13%
$60,000 to $80,00012%11%19%7%12%31%14%14%12%9%0%13%11%15%18%9%19%14%10%11%7%23%17%14%11%16%9%12%13%12%13%8%12%12%27%0%11%13%0%37%0%9%15%13%13%18%5%22%1%5%10%19%0%7%26%13%12%7%7%17%21%19%15%6%5%
$80,000 to $100,00010%10%12%10%0%30%12%9%12%8%0%7%11%9%6%10%11%7%9%12%8%17%10%9%10%14%14%8%6%14%7%3%16%3%8%7%15%6%0%30%0%10%10%8%14%10%15%0%1%6%5%3%0%10%4%10%16%16%13%5%6%15%11%9%7%
$100,000 to $150,00016%18%15%15%0%0%23%17%18%10%0%11%14%23%40%14%23%15%19%11%20%22%10%17%15%12%23%17%11%19%14%11%24%7%10%0%28%8%0%0%58%17%13%23%18%19%18%15%6%21%9%10%14%21%10%16%0%16%19%15%18%13%27%18%4%
$150,000 to $200,0006%8%2%0%0%0%6%7%13%5%0%1%8%6%0%7%2%10%4%0%16%8%5%7%6%0%11%5%7%7%6%4%9%4%1%1%13%2%0%0%23%6%5%11%3%3%15%3%10%18%11%4%0%9%1%6%0%1%18%3%5%2%9%3%9%
More than $200,0006%7%1%0%0%0%3%2%14%8%0%3%5%9%0%6%4%6%5%2%7%6%7%6%5%2%4%5%9%3%7%5%9%0%0%0%11%2%0%0%20%7%4%6%4%0%19%8%0%1%0%2%0%12%14%4%0%3%4%6%9%2%6%4%9%
Not sure0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%3%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%17%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%5%1%2%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%2%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




H5AW: NewIncome

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Less than $50K38%36%42%45%57%38%36%31%24%49%97%48%40%28%26%42%30%34%43%54%30%19%36%36%40%41%30%44%38%34%41%58%20%57%44%75%18%53%100%0%0%43%39%25%40%32%15%49%41%35%60%53%55%22%17%42%72%50%31%49%24%33%24%46%52%
$50K to $99K33%31%39%40%43%62%32%43%29%27%0%37%33%33%34%30%40%36%28%32%26%45%42%33%34%45%31%28%35%36%31%21%38%32%45%7%30%35%0%100%0%27%38%36%35%46%33%26%43%26%15%30%29%36%58%32%28%30%27%27%44%48%34%28%26%
$100K +28%33%18%15%0%0%33%26%46%23%0%15%27%38%40%28%29%30%28%13%43%36%22%31%26%14%38%27%27%29%27%20%42%11%11%1%52%11%0%0%100%30%22%39%25%22%52%26%16%39%20%16%14%42%25%26%0%20%42%24%32%17%41%24%22%
Decline to answer0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%3%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%17%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%5%1%2%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%2%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q12: What is your political party registration?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Republican party15%18%7%4%13%19%3%40%17%9%3%9%17%16%10%0%0%100%16%7%7%38%19%20%12%2%9%17%26%6%21%11%25%5%0%0%12%17%14%16%17%2%8%51%23%6%16%6%11%3%9%13%10%11%23%16%10%5%6%19%38%5%11%17%14%
Democratic party60%60%60%50%64%31%79%37%42%72%97%55%67%48%43%100%0%0%56%76%69%19%59%54%65%70%66%55%54%68%54%59%50%77%72%68%66%55%65%54%59%85%56%28%55%64%65%57%58%73%63%54%69%79%47%56%64%74%73%43%37%59%73%56%72%
Independent/unaffiliated23%20%30%35%19%19%17%22%38%16%0%28%15%34%47%0%98%0%25%15%21%44%18%26%20%15%23%28%20%20%24%23%23%18%28%32%20%24%18%27%23%11%33%20%19%29%19%33%19%20%27%30%14%10%30%25%5%18%20%38%25%21%15%27%14%
Other party0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%2%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%2%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%2%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%0%2%0%0%1%1%0%1%0%0%0%3%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%
Not sure2%1%2%10%3%30%0%1%1%3%0%8%1%2%0%0%0%0%2%2%2%0%4%0%4%11%2%0%0%5%0%5%2%1%0%0%1%3%3%2%1%1%2%1%3%0%0%2%12%4%0%1%8%0%0%2%21%0%0%0%0%14%1%0%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q13: How likely are you to vote in the November 2025 general election for mayor and other citywide offices?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

TOP 2 BOX90%100%100%0%0%0%95%91%97%97%100%65%96%93%82%91%88%94%90%90%92%95%89%89%91%89%92%89%91%90%90%86%94%86%90%95%97%86%88%88%97%98%85%92%94%91%93%84%73%88%87%86%81%95%81%90%81%94%94%85%87%84%93%92%96%
Very likely72%100%0%0%0%0%72%80%77%74%100%47%78%75%10%72%63%86%71%69%76%73%70%72%71%56%66%71%85%62%78%61%79%66%61%92%83%63%67%65%85%77%63%83%76%61%90%57%56%56%56%69%79%76%63%71%66%63%72%69%79%54%62%77%91%
Somewhat likely19%0%100%0%0%0%23%11%20%23%0%17%18%18%72%19%25%8%19%22%15%22%19%17%20%32%26%18%6%28%13%25%15%20%29%4%14%22%21%22%12%20%22%9%18%30%4%27%17%32%30%17%2%19%18%19%15%31%22%15%7%31%31%16%5%
Not very likely5%0%0%100%0%0%2%3%2%3%0%21%1%4%18%4%8%1%7%3%8%5%2%7%4%4%5%5%7%5%6%9%4%4%10%0%1%8%6%6%3%2%9%3%5%6%2%14%0%7%4%7%0%5%0%6%0%6%3%9%9%6%3%3%4%
Not at all likely4%0%0%0%100%0%2%7%1%0%0%10%3%2%0%4%3%3%2%6%0%0%8%3%4%6%3%5%1%4%3%4%1%10%0%5%1%6%5%5%0%0%6%4%0%3%2%2%27%4%9%7%19%0%19%4%0%0%3%5%2%7%5%5%0%
BOTTOM 2 BOX9%0%0%100%100%0%4%9%3%3%0%31%4%6%18%8%11%5%9%9%8%5%10%10%8%10%8%10%8%8%9%13%5%14%10%5%2%13%12%11%3%2%15%7%5%9%4%16%27%11%13%14%19%5%19%9%0%6%6%14%11%12%7%8%4%
Not sure1%0%0%0%0%100%1%0%0%0%0%5%0%1%0%0%1%1%1%1%0%0%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%0%0%1%1%1%2%0%1%0%1%1%0%3%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%19%0%0%1%2%3%0%0%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q14: Do you think things in New York City are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Right direction30%30%35%22%28%38%43%32%38%17%0%19%35%26%24%34%22%30%33%24%45%8%26%32%29%44%51%20%17%48%19%26%33%28%36%0%37%26%24%27%43%27%29%41%28%22%32%25%80%65%20%22%11%45%59%26%28%50%55%20%16%40%44%14%19%
Wrong track59%60%51%73%72%0%49%60%59%70%100%58%59%60%28%56%65%59%55%66%47%80%63%56%62%48%38%71%69%42%70%69%56%54%55%100%56%61%64%61%49%63%60%50%60%65%57%62%13%31%73%66%88%49%32%63%44%41%33%74%67%54%39%78%71%
Not sure11%10%15%4%1%61%8%8%3%13%0%23%5%14%48%9%13%11%12%10%8%12%11%12%10%8%11%9%13%10%11%4%11%18%9%0%8%13%12%12%7%9%11%9%12%13%11%12%7%4%7%13%0%7%9%11%29%9%12%7%16%6%16%8%10%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15: SUMMARY VERY FAVORABLE - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Hillary Clinton27%33%13%9%0%50%30%18%25%40%97%17%30%29%0%40%12%4%21%39%36%10%25%25%29%13%34%39%16%26%28%25%28%32%16%30%36%21%27%18%39%39%22%22%32%32%32%8%17%44%25%7%10%37%5%26%35%15%41%36%11%9%41%43%21%
Donald Trump22%25%15%6%23%19%11%47%34%11%3%12%26%20%10%9%24%72%20%18%15%48%25%28%18%6%24%26%25%17%26%15%32%10%18%0%20%24%18%24%26%9%17%56%35%5%19%15%8%19%21%13%9%20%26%23%24%12%28%31%33%11%23%20%17%
Andrew Cuomo22%24%17%20%5%19%18%13%11%50%0%8%27%19%15%28%16%9%25%32%16%10%22%24%20%12%25%30%16%20%23%21%21%26%16%60%18%25%26%21%17%25%22%16%29%27%16%4%6%18%36%15%0%26%7%22%22%22%27%37%13%5%33%25%18%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%21%12%34%0%50%32%4%13%24%0%21%22%14%0%27%12%5%15%29%25%14%17%22%17%13%20%26%16%17%21%26%15%22%25%16%21%19%20%19%19%29%18%12%17%22%17%26%17%31%41%14%0%18%13%20%22%13%25%33%17%13%22%20%14%
Zohran Mamdani20%23%12%3%5%19%58%5%6%8%0%3%29%9%0%26%14%6%15%21%23%14%23%19%20%42%27%14%8%32%11%22%13%24%37%36%26%15%20%17%23%32%14%12%17%16%14%14%32%41%29%24%12%20%14%19%44%36%28%18%6%34%28%9%9%
Curtis Sliwa16%21%7%0%0%0%7%46%11%12%0%2%24%10%0%13%11%41%14%15%13%24%21%20%14%7%11%21%22%9%21%9%26%5%8%0%14%18%12%21%18%9%14%36%23%4%25%12%1%14%11%3%12%18%3%17%0%11%17%24%23%5%10%19%20%
Al Sharpton15%18%7%8%8%19%20%7%16%19%0%12%18%13%0%19%13%6%14%24%19%10%10%21%11%11%22%16%10%18%14%13%10%32%9%23%16%15%19%13%12%21%13%12%20%15%7%7%5%17%31%11%18%19%15%14%34%27%31%27%6%5%15%8%16%
Jessica Tisch15%18%7%7%0%0%10%18%30%14%0%6%16%18%0%18%12%10%12%17%17%14%15%16%14%4%18%17%15%13%16%16%19%8%6%0%21%10%10%9%28%14%15%17%16%8%29%0%6%12%23%6%12%21%11%14%5%13%21%15%14%6%16%16%17%
Eric Adams7%9%5%0%5%0%10%6%8%9%0%2%10%6%0%7%7%9%10%11%7%5%4%7%7%8%14%6%2%12%4%8%6%10%11%0%7%8%8%6%8%9%5%11%8%12%5%1%7%12%17%3%0%11%8%7%5%11%13%7%2%7%19%2%2%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15: SUMMARY TOTAL FAVORABLE - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Hillary Clinton54%56%53%54%21%50%68%25%50%74%97%44%56%56%67%73%36%9%51%70%65%23%50%47%60%55%61%54%47%59%51%56%47%67%60%73%61%49%57%44%62%74%48%36%51%65%53%29%46%89%63%49%40%64%33%53%61%47%71%40%34%50%67%61%62%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez50%51%53%52%11%50%69%24%41%57%97%53%51%51%6%64%39%13%48%54%62%23%49%48%52%64%57%45%42%60%44%57%45%53%61%48%58%45%49%50%52%70%46%34%47%68%41%53%54%80%58%37%26%66%39%48%37%50%58%48%39%64%57%43%46%
Andrew Cuomo47%49%47%50%27%20%40%28%41%88%97%31%50%52%34%55%39%29%52%55%45%28%45%51%45%34%61%55%34%51%45%44%46%58%31%67%45%49%51%40%51%48%49%42%53%51%37%25%30%67%50%43%44%62%41%45%49%46%68%53%39%29%69%52%30%
Curtis Sliwa47%53%37%39%18%0%30%88%60%36%3%24%50%53%55%37%50%83%52%46%40%61%44%59%37%26%50%52%51%41%51%47%61%26%31%0%48%47%38%51%55%30%47%80%58%48%48%22%36%52%41%31%14%71%42%43%27%43%62%57%68%25%43%48%33%
Al Sharpton43%47%36%34%30%19%54%26%40%56%0%33%44%49%18%57%33%11%43%55%56%14%35%47%40%28%55%45%39%45%42%40%36%65%33%64%49%39%46%35%49%49%42%38%43%48%38%21%37%78%74%26%58%62%41%40%34%52%70%40%32%20%46%48%46%
Zohran Mamdani42%42%48%40%21%19%87%14%27%33%97%30%48%36%40%52%36%15%43%39%51%28%40%39%45%65%59%36%22%61%30%51%32%50%58%43%47%39%43%39%45%57%37%32%39%41%21%45%53%88%71%41%14%53%37%40%54%59%68%26%15%58%58%36%30%
Donald Trump38%39%43%28%23%50%26%71%59%18%3%27%42%36%65%21%47%90%33%31%36%73%40%47%32%20%51%39%36%40%38%33%50%21%32%0%39%38%32%40%45%21%33%78%49%34%33%17%25%53%32%24%40%44%51%36%49%36%55%47%45%29%42%31%26%
Jessica Tisch38%44%28%10%8%0%32%40%54%36%97%32%40%39%0%39%37%37%34%30%57%33%33%42%34%22%46%42%35%37%38%41%43%27%30%30%45%33%32%30%56%39%33%50%42%30%48%9%33%63%27%31%14%56%43%34%14%35%53%48%32%23%38%38%38%
Eric Adams37%39%39%15%18%0%31%39%76%28%3%23%35%48%28%33%44%43%36%40%38%40%33%42%33%32%47%37%30%42%34%34%41%35%29%0%41%34%29%35%51%22%39%58%40%43%37%11%18%58%45%22%37%47%50%34%32%49%57%32%34%21%49%36%25%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15: SUMMARY VERY UNFAVORABLE - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Donald Trump51%53%42%48%52%50%65%14%31%74%97%59%49%50%35%67%40%5%53%55%50%25%54%42%58%58%39%49%59%46%54%56%39%67%54%91%51%50%58%47%44%73%49%15%43%52%53%72%42%41%66%57%59%41%21%55%39%41%29%41%52%56%51%57%67%
Eric Adams33%36%25%12%48%0%47%30%4%39%0%31%40%21%11%34%34%25%37%39%22%32%35%28%38%36%22%38%35%28%37%32%28%35%47%95%33%33%41%34%20%44%33%13%31%33%34%52%14%21%32%38%44%22%14%36%34%23%18%39%28%40%24%43%42%
Zohran Mamdani31%37%15%12%29%31%2%60%46%33%3%24%32%35%10%17%38%75%29%23%21%62%37%35%28%7%12%34%57%10%45%17%49%10%14%30%30%32%25%38%31%15%33%53%36%25%54%26%6%5%13%24%21%25%37%33%0%11%5%38%67%14%12%38%46%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez26%31%10%19%35%0%9%54%41%15%3%21%27%28%10%11%38%69%25%19%20%48%30%32%21%6%9%35%42%8%38%22%39%5%19%0%25%27%18%33%29%8%29%49%30%14%42%32%1%10%15%21%21%16%33%29%0%17%8%39%53%6%13%34%30%
Al Sharpton26%30%14%14%30%31%12%52%39%12%3%22%28%24%10%12%36%67%25%17%17%46%32%31%21%11%11%33%38%11%35%27%37%7%9%4%25%27%21%31%26%11%28%45%29%19%40%36%7%0%15%21%21%14%33%28%22%20%9%44%44%11%11%31%31%
Hillary Clinton26%30%12%14%44%0%12%57%39%4%3%26%27%24%10%10%34%75%26%19%17%47%30%31%21%12%15%31%37%14%34%28%37%6%8%8%22%29%22%34%22%5%28%53%31%13%38%30%2%4%23%21%21%20%32%27%0%24%8%45%41%15%11%25%33%
Andrew Cuomo23%24%13%27%30%31%30%42%11%2%3%23%28%12%0%17%27%40%21%24%12%34%29%26%20%32%15%19%29%21%24%26%24%13%33%0%21%24%21%30%16%21%21%30%23%13%26%41%20%18%21%17%26%12%19%25%17%23%16%23%38%32%9%18%20%
Curtis Sliwa19%21%9%19%29%50%24%1%14%25%0%33%19%14%0%24%17%4%22%19%19%8%19%18%20%11%12%18%31%12%24%22%17%22%6%87%25%15%24%13%18%28%18%6%14%7%33%39%10%7%30%26%0%13%15%21%0%21%8%24%18%6%18%13%45%
Jessica Tisch9%9%7%10%12%0%7%13%9%9%3%6%12%4%0%7%8%16%10%17%3%13%6%10%8%12%7%13%4%9%9%13%10%5%0%14%6%11%10%12%4%7%9%10%10%3%10%18%6%1%17%6%0%11%11%8%12%19%4%15%5%8%10%11%4%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15: SUMMARY TOTAL UNFAVORABLE - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Donald Trump60%60%55%72%77%50%73%28%41%82%97%67%57%63%35%76%53%9%64%69%61%27%60%51%67%75%47%61%63%57%62%65%48%77%67%99%59%60%65%58%55%77%65%22%49%63%64%83%75%47%68%75%60%53%49%62%51%57%41%53%55%70%58%69%71%
Eric Adams56%56%48%75%71%51%63%61%18%64%97%58%61%45%29%58%52%56%58%57%49%60%58%55%58%54%46%59%62%49%61%62%53%52%61%95%54%58%62%58%45%70%53%42%53%47%56%87%73%39%54%65%44%50%50%58%50%47%36%67%63%64%45%59%62%
Andrew Cuomo45%47%36%40%70%31%53%70%53%6%3%49%47%42%12%37%55%66%39%41%46%68%48%44%46%56%35%41%54%43%47%48%49%31%60%7%48%44%37%56%45%46%42%55%42%39%56%69%62%32%33%43%46%32%51%48%32%47%29%44%55%59%28%43%53%
Zohran Mamdani45%50%33%14%62%32%7%81%64%47%3%41%43%53%25%36%48%80%42%46%36%65%49%50%41%24%25%51%67%25%59%35%61%26%23%35%45%45%39%51%46%31%48%63%50%42%73%38%39%7%15%36%32%43%63%45%27%34%24%58%72%26%26%50%61%
Al Sharpton42%44%36%44%53%31%24%67%54%32%100%44%43%41%22%29%53%82%42%30%31%77%49%46%40%34%28%47%54%30%51%47%54%18%25%35%37%46%37%51%40%31%45%58%46%37%55%58%42%14%23%37%23%34%59%43%47%39%23%55%60%35%30%44%49%
Hillary Clinton39%39%36%27%67%31%25%71%49%18%3%41%40%36%21%22%55%83%39%28%30%71%43%44%35%37%30%42%46%32%44%41%49%17%32%27%36%42%32%51%36%21%43%60%43%29%44%56%54%10%31%33%41%34%59%40%27%47%21%54%53%40%25%36%38%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez37%40%26%26%66%0%18%71%49%25%3%31%37%40%65%22%52%77%42%31%28%58%38%44%32%18%27%44%49%24%46%40%50%12%27%16%37%38%30%41%44%19%42%59%41%20%57%45%44%17%23%30%21%30%59%38%28%36%29%48%58%17%30%40%39%
Curtis Sliwa33%32%31%30%53%50%40%10%28%41%97%43%32%30%16%37%36%12%34%28%34%22%36%30%35%36%26%29%41%30%34%32%28%36%40%99%39%28%37%29%31%43%33%14%23%30%38%64%40%35%39%36%23%22%52%34%32%44%24%32%27%29%29%25%56%
Jessica Tisch21%19%22%25%50%0%21%33%18%16%3%11%23%17%64%19%20%28%23%31%12%28%16%20%21%33%22%22%12%26%17%27%21%14%20%19%17%23%18%27%17%19%21%22%22%10%20%34%40%20%34%9%10%25%46%18%27%45%15%23%9%25%28%18%14%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15: SUMMARY NOT SURE - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Jessica Tisch42%37%50%65%42%100%47%27%27%47%0%57%37%43%35%42%43%35%43%38%31%39%50%38%45%46%33%36%54%38%44%32%36%59%50%51%38%44%50%43%27%41%47%27%37%60%32%56%26%17%39%60%76%19%10%48%58%21%32%29%59%52%34%44%48%
Curtis Sliwa20%15%33%32%30%49%30%1%12%23%0%33%18%17%29%26%13%5%15%26%25%17%20%11%28%38%24%20%8%29%14%21%11%38%29%1%13%25%25%20%14%27%20%5%19%22%14%15%24%13%20%33%63%7%6%23%41%13%14%12%5%46%28%27%11%
Al Sharpton14%9%28%23%17%49%22%7%6%11%0%23%13%10%61%15%14%7%15%14%13%9%16%7%20%38%18%7%7%25%7%13%9%17%42%1%13%15%17%14%10%20%13%3%11%15%8%21%22%8%3%37%19%5%0%17%19%8%7%5%8%44%24%8%5%
Zohran Mamdani13%8%19%45%17%49%6%4%9%20%0%29%9%11%35%13%16%5%15%15%13%7%11%12%14%11%16%13%11%14%12%13%6%24%19%22%8%16%17%10%9%12%16%5%10%16%6%17%7%6%14%23%54%4%0%15%19%7%8%16%14%17%16%14%9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%8%21%22%22%49%13%5%10%18%0%16%12%10%29%13%10%11%10%15%10%18%13%8%16%17%16%10%9%16%10%4%6%35%11%36%5%17%22%9%3%11%12%7%12%12%2%2%2%3%19%33%52%3%2%14%36%14%12%4%4%19%13%17%15%
Andrew Cuomo7%4%17%10%3%49%6%2%6%6%0%20%3%6%54%7%6%6%8%4%9%4%8%5%9%10%4%5%11%6%8%8%4%11%9%26%7%8%11%5%4%6%9%3%5%10%6%6%8%0%17%14%10%6%8%7%19%7%3%4%6%12%3%5%17%
Eric Adams7%4%13%10%11%49%6%0%6%8%0%18%3%7%44%9%4%2%6%3%12%0%9%4%10%14%6%4%8%9%6%4%5%12%11%5%5%8%9%7%4%9%8%0%6%10%6%2%10%3%1%13%19%2%0%8%19%4%7%1%3%15%7%5%13%
Hillary Clinton7%4%11%19%12%19%6%4%1%8%0%14%4%8%11%6%9%8%10%2%5%6%7%9%5%8%9%4%7%9%5%3%4%16%8%0%3%9%11%5%3%5%9%3%5%6%2%15%0%0%7%18%19%2%8%7%12%7%8%6%13%10%8%3%0%
Donald Trump1%1%3%0%0%0%1%2%0%0%0%6%1%0%0%2%0%0%3%0%3%0%0%2%1%4%2%0%2%3%1%2%2%2%0%1%2%1%2%2%0%2%2%0%1%3%3%0%0%0%0%2%0%2%0%1%0%7%3%0%0%1%0%0%3%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15r1: Donald Trump - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them.

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

TOP 2 BOX38%39%43%28%23%50%26%71%59%18%3%27%42%36%65%21%47%90%33%31%36%73%40%47%32%20%51%39%36%40%38%33%50%21%32%0%39%38%32%40%45%21%33%78%49%34%33%17%25%53%32%24%40%44%51%36%49%36%55%47%45%29%42%31%26%
Very favorable22%25%15%6%23%19%11%47%34%11%3%12%26%20%10%9%24%72%20%18%15%48%25%28%18%6%24%26%25%17%26%15%32%10%18%0%20%24%18%24%26%9%17%56%35%5%19%15%8%19%21%13%9%20%26%23%24%12%28%31%33%11%23%20%17%
Somewhat favorable16%13%28%22%0%30%15%23%25%7%0%15%15%17%55%12%23%18%13%13%20%24%16%19%14%15%28%13%10%23%12%18%18%11%14%0%19%14%14%16%19%12%16%22%15%28%14%2%17%33%11%11%31%25%25%14%24%24%28%16%11%18%19%11%9%
Somewhat unfavorable9%7%12%24%25%0%8%14%10%8%0%8%9%13%0%10%13%5%11%14%11%2%6%10%9%17%8%12%4%11%8%9%9%11%14%8%8%10%8%11%11%4%16%7%6%11%11%11%32%6%1%18%0%12%29%8%12%16%12%12%4%14%7%11%4%
Very unfavorable51%53%42%48%52%50%65%14%31%74%97%59%49%50%35%67%40%5%53%55%50%25%54%42%58%58%39%49%59%46%54%56%39%67%54%91%51%50%58%47%44%73%49%15%43%52%53%72%42%41%66%57%59%41%21%55%39%41%29%41%52%56%51%57%67%
BOTTOM 2 BOX60%60%55%72%77%50%73%28%41%82%97%67%57%63%35%76%53%9%64%69%61%27%60%51%67%75%47%61%63%57%62%65%48%77%67%99%59%60%65%58%55%77%65%22%49%63%64%83%75%47%68%75%60%53%49%62%51%57%41%53%55%70%58%69%71%
Not sure1%1%3%0%0%0%1%2%0%0%0%6%1%0%0%2%0%0%3%0%3%0%0%2%1%4%2%0%2%3%1%2%2%2%0%1%2%1%2%2%0%2%2%0%1%3%3%0%0%0%0%2%0%2%0%1%0%7%3%0%0%1%0%0%3%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15r2: Eric Adams - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them.

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

TOP 2 BOX37%39%39%15%18%0%31%39%76%28%3%23%35%48%28%33%44%43%36%40%38%40%33%42%33%32%47%37%30%42%34%34%41%35%29%0%41%34%29%35%51%22%39%58%40%43%37%11%18%58%45%22%37%47%50%34%32%49%57%32%34%21%49%36%25%
Very favorable7%9%5%0%5%0%10%6%8%9%0%2%10%6%0%7%7%9%10%11%7%5%4%7%7%8%14%6%2%12%4%8%6%10%11%0%7%8%8%6%8%9%5%11%8%12%5%1%7%12%17%3%0%11%8%7%5%11%13%7%2%7%19%2%2%
Somewhat favorable29%31%33%15%13%0%21%33%68%18%3%21%26%42%28%26%37%34%26%29%31%35%30%34%25%24%33%30%28%30%29%26%35%25%17%0%34%26%20%29%42%13%34%47%33%31%33%10%10%46%28%19%37%36%42%27%27%38%45%25%32%14%29%34%23%
Somewhat unfavorable23%20%24%63%23%51%16%31%15%26%97%27%22%24%18%23%18%31%21%18%28%28%23%27%20%18%24%21%28%22%24%31%25%17%14%1%21%25%22%24%25%26%20%28%22%14%23%35%58%18%22%27%0%28%37%22%16%24%18%28%35%24%21%16%20%
Very unfavorable33%36%25%12%48%0%47%30%4%39%0%31%40%21%11%34%34%25%37%39%22%32%35%28%38%36%22%38%35%28%37%32%28%35%47%95%33%33%41%34%20%44%33%13%31%33%34%52%14%21%32%38%44%22%14%36%34%23%18%39%28%40%24%43%42%
BOTTOM 2 BOX56%56%48%75%71%51%63%61%18%64%97%58%61%45%29%58%52%56%58%57%49%60%58%55%58%54%46%59%62%49%61%62%53%52%61%95%54%58%62%58%45%70%53%42%53%47%56%87%73%39%54%65%44%50%50%58%50%47%36%67%63%64%45%59%62%
Not sure7%4%13%10%11%49%6%0%6%8%0%18%3%7%44%9%4%2%6%3%12%0%9%4%10%14%6%4%8%9%6%4%5%12%11%5%5%8%9%7%4%9%8%0%6%10%6%2%10%3%1%13%19%2%0%8%19%4%7%1%3%15%7%5%13%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15r3: Andrew Cuomo - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them.

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

TOP 2 BOX47%49%47%50%27%20%40%28%41%88%97%31%50%52%34%55%39%29%52%55%45%28%45%51%45%34%61%55%34%51%45%44%46%58%31%67%45%49%51%40%51%48%49%42%53%51%37%25%30%67%50%43%44%62%41%45%49%46%68%53%39%29%69%52%30%
Very favorable22%24%17%20%5%19%18%13%11%50%0%8%27%19%15%28%16%9%25%32%16%10%22%24%20%12%25%30%16%20%23%21%21%26%16%60%18%25%26%21%17%25%22%16%29%27%16%4%6%18%36%15%0%26%7%22%22%22%27%37%13%5%33%25%18%
Somewhat favorable25%24%30%30%22%0%22%15%30%38%97%23%23%34%19%27%23%20%27%23%30%18%23%27%24%23%36%25%19%31%22%23%26%32%16%7%27%24%25%19%34%24%27%25%24%24%21%22%23%50%14%29%44%36%34%23%27%24%40%16%26%24%36%26%11%
Somewhat unfavorable23%23%23%13%40%0%23%28%42%4%0%26%19%29%12%20%28%26%18%17%33%34%19%18%26%24%21%22%25%22%23%22%25%18%27%7%27%20%16%26%29%24%21%25%19%26%30%28%42%15%12%26%19%20%32%23%15%24%13%21%17%28%19%25%33%
Very unfavorable23%24%13%27%30%31%30%42%11%2%3%23%28%12%0%17%27%40%21%24%12%34%29%26%20%32%15%19%29%21%24%26%24%13%33%0%21%24%21%30%16%21%21%30%23%13%26%41%20%18%21%17%26%12%19%25%17%23%16%23%38%32%9%18%20%
BOTTOM 2 BOX45%47%36%40%70%31%53%70%53%6%3%49%47%42%12%37%55%66%39%41%46%68%48%44%46%56%35%41%54%43%47%48%49%31%60%7%48%44%37%56%45%46%42%55%42%39%56%69%62%32%33%43%46%32%51%48%32%47%29%44%55%59%28%43%53%
Not sure7%4%17%10%3%49%6%2%6%6%0%20%3%6%54%7%6%6%8%4%9%4%8%5%9%10%4%5%11%6%8%8%4%11%9%26%7%8%11%5%4%6%9%3%5%10%6%6%8%0%17%14%10%6%8%7%19%7%3%4%6%12%3%5%17%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15r4: Zohran Mamdani - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them.

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

TOP 2 BOX42%42%48%40%21%19%87%14%27%33%97%30%48%36%40%52%36%15%43%39%51%28%40%39%45%65%59%36%22%61%30%51%32%50%58%43%47%39%43%39%45%57%37%32%39%41%21%45%53%88%71%41%14%53%37%40%54%59%68%26%15%58%58%36%30%
Very favorable20%23%12%3%5%19%58%5%6%8%0%3%29%9%0%26%14%6%15%21%23%14%23%19%20%42%27%14%8%32%11%22%13%24%37%36%26%15%20%17%23%32%14%12%17%16%14%14%32%41%29%24%12%20%14%19%44%36%28%18%6%34%28%9%9%
Somewhat favorable23%19%36%37%16%0%29%9%21%25%97%27%19%27%40%26%22%9%28%19%27%14%18%19%25%23%33%21%15%29%18%29%19%26%21%7%21%24%23%22%23%25%23%20%23%25%7%31%21%46%42%16%2%33%23%21%10%24%40%9%9%24%31%27%21%
Somewhat unfavorable14%13%19%2%33%1%4%21%18%14%0%17%12%17%15%19%10%5%13%23%16%3%12%15%13%17%13%17%10%15%14%19%12%16%9%5%15%13%15%13%15%17%15%10%15%17%19%12%33%2%2%11%11%18%26%12%27%23%18%20%4%11%14%12%16%
Very unfavorable31%37%15%12%29%31%2%60%46%33%3%24%32%35%10%17%38%75%29%23%21%62%37%35%28%7%12%34%57%10%45%17%49%10%14%30%30%32%25%38%31%15%33%53%36%25%54%26%6%5%13%24%21%25%37%33%0%11%5%38%67%14%12%38%46%
BOTTOM 2 BOX45%50%33%14%62%32%7%81%64%47%3%41%43%53%25%36%48%80%42%46%36%65%49%50%41%24%25%51%67%25%59%35%61%26%23%35%45%45%39%51%46%31%48%63%50%42%73%38%39%7%15%36%32%43%63%45%27%34%24%58%72%26%26%50%61%
Not sure13%8%19%45%17%49%6%4%9%20%0%29%9%11%35%13%16%5%15%15%13%7%11%12%14%11%16%13%11%14%12%13%6%24%19%22%8%16%17%10%9%12%16%5%10%16%6%17%7%6%14%23%54%4%0%15%19%7%8%16%14%17%16%14%9%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15r5: Curtis Sliwa - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them.

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

TOP 2 BOX47%53%37%39%18%0%30%88%60%36%3%24%50%53%55%37%50%83%52%46%40%61%44%59%37%26%50%52%51%41%51%47%61%26%31%0%48%47%38%51%55%30%47%80%58%48%48%22%36%52%41%31%14%71%42%43%27%43%62%57%68%25%43%48%33%
Very favorable16%21%7%0%0%0%7%46%11%12%0%2%24%10%0%13%11%41%14%15%13%24%21%20%14%7%11%21%22%9%21%9%26%5%8%0%14%18%12%21%18%9%14%36%23%4%25%12%1%14%11%3%12%18%3%17%0%11%17%24%23%5%10%19%20%
Somewhat favorable31%32%29%39%18%0%23%42%48%24%3%21%27%43%55%24%39%42%38%31%28%37%23%39%24%20%39%31%29%32%30%37%34%21%23%0%34%29%27%31%37%21%33%45%35%44%23%10%35%38%30%28%2%53%39%26%27%32%45%33%44%20%33%29%13%
Somewhat unfavorable13%11%22%11%23%0%15%10%14%16%97%10%13%16%16%13%19%8%11%9%16%14%17%12%14%25%14%11%10%18%11%10%11%14%34%12%14%13%12%15%13%15%15%9%10%24%5%24%30%28%10%10%23%9%37%12%32%23%16%7%9%23%11%13%10%
Very unfavorable19%21%9%19%29%50%24%1%14%25%0%33%19%14%0%24%17%4%22%19%19%8%19%18%20%11%12%18%31%12%24%22%17%22%6%87%25%15%24%13%18%28%18%6%14%7%33%39%10%7%30%26%0%13%15%21%0%21%8%24%18%6%18%13%45%
BOTTOM 2 BOX33%32%31%30%53%50%40%10%28%41%97%43%32%30%16%37%36%12%34%28%34%22%36%30%35%36%26%29%41%30%34%32%28%36%40%99%39%28%37%29%31%43%33%14%23%30%38%64%40%35%39%36%23%22%52%34%32%44%24%32%27%29%29%25%56%
Not sure20%15%33%32%30%49%30%1%12%23%0%33%18%17%29%26%13%5%15%26%25%17%20%11%28%38%24%20%8%29%14%21%11%38%29%1%13%25%25%20%14%27%20%5%19%22%14%15%24%13%20%33%63%7%6%23%41%13%14%12%5%46%28%27%11%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15r6: Jessica Tisch - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them.

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

TOP 2 BOX38%44%28%10%8%0%32%40%54%36%97%32%40%39%0%39%37%37%34%30%57%33%33%42%34%22%46%42%35%37%38%41%43%27%30%30%45%33%32%30%56%39%33%50%42%30%48%9%33%63%27%31%14%56%43%34%14%35%53%48%32%23%38%38%38%
Very favorable15%18%7%7%0%0%10%18%30%14%0%6%16%18%0%18%12%10%12%17%17%14%15%16%14%4%18%17%15%13%16%16%19%8%6%0%21%10%10%9%28%14%15%17%16%8%29%0%6%12%23%6%12%21%11%14%5%13%21%15%14%6%16%16%17%
Somewhat favorable23%26%21%3%8%0%22%22%25%23%97%26%24%21%0%21%25%27%22%13%40%19%18%26%20%18%28%25%20%24%23%25%24%19%24%30%24%22%22%20%29%25%18%34%26%22%19%9%28%51%4%25%2%35%32%21%10%22%33%34%18%16%22%22%21%
Somewhat unfavorable12%9%16%15%38%0%14%20%9%7%0%5%11%13%64%12%12%11%12%15%9%15%10%10%13%20%15%9%7%17%8%14%11%9%20%5%11%12%8%16%13%12%12%12%12%7%10%16%34%19%18%3%10%14%35%10%15%25%11%8%4%17%18%7%11%
Very unfavorable9%9%7%10%12%0%7%13%9%9%3%6%12%4%0%7%8%16%10%17%3%13%6%10%8%12%7%13%4%9%9%13%10%5%0%14%6%11%10%12%4%7%9%10%10%3%10%18%6%1%17%6%0%11%11%8%12%19%4%15%5%8%10%11%4%
BOTTOM 2 BOX21%19%22%25%50%0%21%33%18%16%3%11%23%17%64%19%20%28%23%31%12%28%16%20%21%33%22%22%12%26%17%27%21%14%20%19%17%23%18%27%17%19%21%22%22%10%20%34%40%20%34%9%10%25%46%18%27%45%15%23%9%25%28%18%14%
Not sure42%37%50%65%42%100%47%27%27%47%0%57%37%43%35%42%43%35%43%38%31%39%50%38%45%46%33%36%54%38%44%32%36%59%50%51%38%44%50%43%27%41%47%27%37%60%32%56%26%17%39%60%76%19%10%48%58%21%32%29%59%52%34%44%48%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15r7: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them.

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

TOP 2 BOX50%51%53%52%11%50%69%24%41%57%97%53%51%51%6%64%39%13%48%54%62%23%49%48%52%64%57%45%42%60%44%57%45%53%61%48%58%45%49%50%52%70%46%34%47%68%41%53%54%80%58%37%26%66%39%48%37%50%58%48%39%64%57%43%46%
Very favorable20%21%12%34%0%50%32%4%13%24%0%21%22%14%0%27%12%5%15%29%25%14%17%22%17%13%20%26%16%17%21%26%15%22%25%16%21%19%20%19%19%29%18%12%17%22%17%26%17%31%41%14%0%18%13%20%22%13%25%33%17%13%22%20%14%
Somewhat favorable31%30%41%18%11%0%37%21%28%33%97%33%28%36%6%37%27%7%34%25%36%9%32%25%35%52%37%19%26%42%23%30%29%31%37%32%37%26%29%31%33%41%28%21%30%46%24%27%38%49%18%23%26%49%26%27%14%37%34%15%21%51%34%23%32%
Somewhat unfavorable11%10%15%7%32%0%10%17%8%10%0%9%10%12%55%11%14%8%17%12%8%10%8%12%11%13%18%10%7%16%8%18%11%7%9%16%12%11%11%8%15%11%13%10%11%6%15%13%43%7%8%9%0%14%26%9%28%20%21%8%5%10%18%7%9%
Very unfavorable26%31%10%19%35%0%9%54%41%15%3%21%27%28%10%11%38%69%25%19%20%48%30%32%21%6%9%35%42%8%38%22%39%5%19%0%25%27%18%33%29%8%29%49%30%14%42%32%1%10%15%21%21%16%33%29%0%17%8%39%53%6%13%34%30%
BOTTOM 2 BOX37%40%26%26%66%0%18%71%49%25%3%31%37%40%65%22%52%77%42%31%28%58%38%44%32%18%27%44%49%24%46%40%50%12%27%16%37%38%30%41%44%19%42%59%41%20%57%45%44%17%23%30%21%30%59%38%28%36%29%48%58%17%30%40%39%
Not sure12%8%21%22%22%49%13%5%10%18%0%16%12%10%29%13%10%11%10%15%10%18%13%8%16%17%16%10%9%16%10%4%6%35%11%36%5%17%22%9%3%11%12%7%12%12%2%2%2%3%19%33%52%3%2%14%36%14%12%4%4%19%13%17%15%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15r8: Al Sharpton - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them.

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

TOP 2 BOX43%47%36%34%30%19%54%26%40%56%0%33%44%49%18%57%33%11%43%55%56%14%35%47%40%28%55%45%39%45%42%40%36%65%33%64%49%39%46%35%49%49%42%38%43%48%38%21%37%78%74%26%58%62%41%40%34%52%70%40%32%20%46%48%46%
Very favorable15%18%7%8%8%19%20%7%16%19%0%12%18%13%0%19%13%6%14%24%19%10%10%21%11%11%22%16%10%18%14%13%10%32%9%23%16%15%19%13%12%21%13%12%20%15%7%7%5%17%31%11%18%19%15%14%34%27%31%27%6%5%15%8%16%
Somewhat favorable28%28%30%26%22%0%34%19%24%37%0%21%26%36%18%38%20%5%29%32%37%4%25%26%29%17%33%29%28%27%29%26%27%34%24%41%34%24%27%22%37%27%29%26%23%33%30%14%31%61%43%16%40%43%26%26%0%26%39%13%26%15%31%40%30%
Somewhat unfavorable17%14%22%30%23%0%12%15%15%20%97%23%15%18%12%17%17%15%16%13%14%30%16%14%18%23%16%14%17%19%15%20%17%11%16%32%13%19%16%19%14%19%17%13%17%18%15%22%34%14%8%16%2%20%26%15%25%19%14%10%16%24%19%13%18%
Very unfavorable26%30%14%14%30%31%12%52%39%12%3%22%28%24%10%12%36%67%25%17%17%46%32%31%21%11%11%33%38%11%35%27%37%7%9%4%25%27%21%31%26%11%28%45%29%19%40%36%7%0%15%21%21%14%33%28%22%20%9%44%44%11%11%31%31%
BOTTOM 2 BOX42%44%36%44%53%31%24%67%54%32%100%44%43%41%22%29%53%82%42%30%31%77%49%46%40%34%28%47%54%30%51%47%54%18%25%35%37%46%37%51%40%31%45%58%46%37%55%58%42%14%23%37%23%34%59%43%47%39%23%55%60%35%30%44%49%
Not sure14%9%28%23%17%49%22%7%6%11%0%23%13%10%61%15%14%7%15%14%13%9%16%7%20%38%18%7%7%25%7%13%9%17%42%1%13%15%17%14%10%20%13%3%11%15%8%21%22%8%3%37%19%5%0%17%19%8%7%5%8%44%24%8%5%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q15r9: Hillary Clinton - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them.

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

TOP 2 BOX54%56%53%54%21%50%68%25%50%74%97%44%56%56%67%73%36%9%51%70%65%23%50%47%60%55%61%54%47%59%51%56%47%67%60%73%61%49%57%44%62%74%48%36%51%65%53%29%46%89%63%49%40%64%33%53%61%47%71%40%34%50%67%61%62%
Very favorable27%33%13%9%0%50%30%18%25%40%97%17%30%29%0%40%12%4%21%39%36%10%25%25%29%13%34%39%16%26%28%25%28%32%16%30%36%21%27%18%39%39%22%22%32%32%32%8%17%44%25%7%10%37%5%26%35%15%41%36%11%9%41%43%21%
Somewhat favorable27%23%40%44%21%0%38%7%25%34%0%28%26%27%67%33%24%5%30%31%28%13%25%22%31%42%28%15%32%33%23%30%19%35%44%43%25%28%30%26%23%35%27%15%19%34%22%22%30%45%38%41%30%27%28%27%27%32%30%5%23%41%26%18%41%
Somewhat unfavorable13%10%24%14%23%30%14%13%10%14%0%15%13%12%12%12%21%7%14%9%13%24%13%13%14%25%15%11%8%19%10%13%12%11%25%19%14%13%10%17%14%16%15%7%12%15%6%25%52%6%8%13%20%14%27%12%27%22%13%9%12%25%14%11%5%
Very unfavorable26%30%12%14%44%0%12%57%39%4%3%26%27%24%10%10%34%75%26%19%17%47%30%31%21%12%15%31%37%14%34%28%37%6%8%8%22%29%22%34%22%5%28%53%31%13%38%30%2%4%23%21%21%20%32%27%0%24%8%45%41%15%11%25%33%
BOTTOM 2 BOX39%39%36%27%67%31%25%71%49%18%3%41%40%36%21%22%55%83%39%28%30%71%43%44%35%37%30%42%46%32%44%41%49%17%32%27%36%42%32%51%36%21%43%60%43%29%44%56%54%10%31%33%41%34%59%40%27%47%21%54%53%40%25%36%38%
Not sure7%4%11%19%12%19%6%4%1%8%0%14%4%8%11%6%9%8%10%2%5%6%7%9%5%8%9%4%7%9%5%3%4%16%8%0%3%9%11%5%3%5%9%3%5%6%2%15%0%0%7%18%19%2%8%7%12%7%8%6%13%10%8%3%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q16: As you may know, New York City will hold an election this November for mayor and other citywide offices. If the election for mayor was held today, which candidate would you vote for?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Zohran Mamdani26%27%32%8%18%19%100%0%0%0%0%0%34%26%11%35%20%5%28%22%31%16%26%26%27%52%43%17%9%46%13%31%20%28%47%36%35%20%24%25%31%40%21%17%24%27%13%36%28%57%31%29%12%23%12%27%44%59%41%15%6%46%35%15%13%
Andrew Cuomo23%24%28%13%0%0%0%0%0%100%0%0%25%32%31%28%17%13%23%34%19%18%22%18%28%13%15%33%24%14%29%23%19%33%18%51%15%29%30%19%19%25%24%15%29%25%17%4%10%6%41%27%14%22%18%24%0%6%8%26%24%13%37%37%23%
Curtis Sliwa22%25%12%12%41%0%0%100%0%0%0%0%29%20%27%14%21%58%17%23%14%36%30%27%18%14%19%23%28%17%25%20%30%11%14%0%22%22%18%28%21%12%18%47%30%9%30%12%38%4%11%16%12%33%41%19%15%12%24%25%39%14%11%30%16%
Eric Adams13%14%14%6%2%0%0%0%100%0%0%0%12%22%31%9%23%15%10%11%17%28%12%16%11%9%15%12%16%13%14%11%18%10%2%5%15%12%8%12%22%11%16%14%11%21%19%7%7%19%8%10%31%12%19%14%0%11%19%17%16%14%5%10%16%
Undecided15%10%14%61%40%80%0%0%0%0%0%100%0%0%0%14%19%9%22%10%19%2%11%13%16%12%9%14%24%10%18%15%13%19%19%8%14%16%19%17%8%11%21%6%7%18%21%40%17%13%8%19%32%11%10%15%40%12%8%17%15%12%12%9%33%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q17: Are you absolutely certain to vote for this candidate, or could you change your mind?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Absolutely certain68%70%64%36%75%2%74%75%53%62%100% - 100%0%0%75%48%69%58%70%77%64%71%70%66%76%63%67%69%68%68%69%62%73%85%78%69%67%75%68%60%80%55%71%66%54%73%56%72%92%77%63%80%65%51%69%95%72%79%69%62%75%48%64%78%
Could change my mind30%30%29%50%25%98%25%23%43%36%0% - 0%100%0%24%48%30%38%30%21%36%28%28%32%22%33%32%31%29%32%30%36%24%14%22%30%31%24%30%38%17%43%28%32%46%25%44%28%8%23%32%6%33%49%29%5%25%17%31%38%22%47%36%22%
Not sure2%0%7%14%0%0%1%2%4%2%0% - 0%0%100%1%4%1%4%0%2%0%1%2%2%2%4%1%0%3%1%1%2%3%1%0%1%2%1%2%2%3%2%1%2%0%2%0%0%0%0%5%14%3%0%2%0%3%4%0%0%2%6%0%0%
Column n50637311013731551319312520359138918812318714295135321023032038422014656304202982719238729621014615919715717916120055562919562855811118371674141513775614819




Q18: Who, if anyone, do you lean toward voting for?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Zohran Mamdani11%21%2%4%0%0% - - - - - 11% - - - 13%14%0%17%0%11%87%0%10%12%0%17%3%18%9%12%6%17%8%0%88%30%0%4%4%51%19%11%0%17%0%13%17%0%0%0%14%7%52%0%7%0%0%4%6%20%0%20%0%17%
Eric Adams8%1%35%2%0%39% - - - - - 8% - - - 7%9%5%5%3%9%0%20%12%6%31%0%10%4%14%7%7%16%1%0%0%6%10%8%11%3%17%7%0%0%0%19%12%43%7%0%2%0%0%13%10%0%38%6%3%12%14%0%25%0%
Andrew Cuomo6%0%0%21%18%0% - - - - - 6% - - - 8%6%0%14%0%0%0%0%15%0%0%0%6%10%0%8%0%10%7%0%0%0%10%4%12%0%0%7%18%0%34%0%0%0%32%0%0%1%38%0%2%0%0%0%13%29%0%0%0%0%
Curtis Sliwa2%4%0%0%0%0% - - - - - 2% - - - 0%0%19%0%0%6%0%0%0%3%0%0%0%4%0%2%0%4%0%0%0%5%0%4%0%0%0%0%18%0%0%0%9%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%2%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%6%
Other2%2%3%0%0%0% - - - - - 2% - - - 0%2%12%2%5%0%0%0%1%2%0%4%3%0%2%1%3%2%0%0%0%3%1%1%3%0%0%1%11%0%0%5%0%0%0%0%4%0%0%0%2%0%0%9%0%0%0%0%12%0%
Undecided71%72%60%74%82%61% - - - - - 71% - - - 72%69%64%62%91%74%13%80%62%77%69%79%78%64%75%70%84%51%84%100%12%57%79%79%70%46%65%73%53%83%66%63%62%57%61%100%79%93%10%87%77%100%61%82%78%38%86%80%63%78%
Column n79391813630000079000243216291717214384117202319374220321510241383228191741131871113273144826451011107149612




Q16+Q18: Leaners initial vote question

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Zohran Mamdani28%29%32%10%18%19%100%0%0%0%0%11%34%26%11%37%23%5%32%22%33%18%26%27%29%52%44%17%13%47%16%32%22%30%47%43%39%20%25%26%35%43%23%17%25%27%16%43%28%57%31%31%14%28%12%28%44%59%41%16%9%46%37%15%18%
Andrew Cuomo24%24%28%26%7%0%0%0%0%100%0%6%25%32%31%29%18%13%26%34%19%18%22%20%28%13%15%34%26%14%31%23%20%34%18%51%15%31%31%20%19%25%25%16%29%31%17%4%10%10%41%27%14%26%18%25%0%6%8%28%29%13%37%37%23%
Curtis Sliwa22%25%12%12%41%0%0%100%0%0%0%2%29%20%27%14%21%60%17%23%15%36%30%27%19%14%19%23%29%17%26%20%31%11%14%0%22%22%19%28%21%12%18%48%30%9%30%16%38%4%11%16%12%33%41%19%15%12%24%25%39%14%11%30%18%
Eric Adams15%15%19%7%2%31%0%0%100%0%0%8%12%22%31%10%25%15%11%11%19%28%14%18%12%13%15%14%17%14%15%12%20%10%2%5%16%14%10%14%22%12%17%14%11%21%23%12%14%20%8%11%31%12%20%15%0%15%19%17%18%16%5%12%16%
Undecided15%10%14%61%40%80%0%0%0%0%0%100%0%0%0%14%19%9%22%10%19%2%11%13%16%12%9%14%24%10%18%15%13%19%19%8%14%16%19%17%8%11%21%6%7%18%21%40%17%13%8%19%32%11%10%15%40%12%8%17%15%12%12%9%33%
Other0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%100%2%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%2%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q19: If the election for mayor was held today and the candidates were Zohran Mamdani, Curtis Sliwa, and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Andrew Cuomo31%31%34%33%15%0%4%2%46%91%0%15%32%39%19%36%25%21%33%37%30%30%27%28%34%19%23%37%38%21%38%28%30%41%15%48%25%35%38%24%30%32%34%21%33%37%33%7%20%21%48%30%40%26%29%33%0%15%19%33%37%20%37%40%39%
Zohran Mamdani29%29%33%9%21%19%89%5%13%4%0%10%34%27%36%37%25%5%26%31%36%18%27%28%29%54%45%20%10%49%15%30%22%33%47%47%39%22%26%25%37%46%22%17%25%26%15%49%33%64%27%30%14%31%18%28%57%51%47%17%9%52%39%17%12%
Curtis Sliwa28%31%21%13%43%0%6%93%35%2%100%7%33%31%27%15%38%68%24%23%19%49%37%35%23%16%23%32%35%20%34%26%39%10%17%5%28%28%21%37%28%13%26%59%34%27%36%19%37%7%18%21%12%40%43%26%3%24%25%37%47%17%13%36%22%
Undecided12%8%13%45%21%80%1%0%6%3%0%69%1%4%18%13%12%6%17%9%15%2%9%10%14%11%10%10%17%10%14%16%8%16%20%1%9%15%15%15%5%9%18%4%8%9%16%26%10%8%7%19%34%4%9%13%40%10%10%13%8%12%12%7%27%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q20: If the election for mayor was held today and the candidates were Zohran Mamdani, Curtis Sliwa, and Eric Adams, for whom would you vote?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Zohran Mamdani35%35%41%26%21%19%94%7%6%22%0%17%40%33%36%47%25%5%37%39%37%20%32%32%37%55%49%29%19%51%24%41%28%40%47%45%45%28%37%29%39%54%29%19%31%42%19%50%36%57%51%36%16%39%17%34%57%58%47%22%13%50%51%27%24%
Curtis Sliwa25%27%17%14%43%0%3%88%3%15%0%4%31%25%12%16%23%62%22%19%17%36%33%30%21%17%17%25%36%17%30%23%34%9%17%5%24%26%19%33%23%11%25%49%34%11%31%10%36%9%16%18%12%35%36%23%3%17%21%26%46%17%9%30%25%
Eric Adams19%20%19%11%1%31%0%2%92%19%100%9%17%26%31%14%27%20%16%17%21%31%17%22%16%19%16%17%22%17%20%13%23%17%8%30%18%19%16%16%24%16%20%20%17%20%25%12%18%23%20%12%31%15%31%19%0%13%20%25%25%21%12%12%19%
Undecided22%19%23%49%36%49%2%2%0%45%0%69%12%16%21%22%24%13%25%25%25%13%17%17%26%9%18%29%24%15%26%23%15%33%27%20%14%27%27%22%13%19%26%12%17%27%25%29%10%12%13%35%41%11%16%24%40%12%12%27%16%12%29%31%32%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q21: If the election for mayor was held today and the choices were just Andrew Cuomo and Zohran Mamdani, for whom would you vote?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Andrew Cuomo50%53%45%31%40%0%6%57%78%93%0%23%53%58%31%45%50%69%46%48%46%72%51%51%48%23%38%59%63%33%61%41%57%49%24%57%46%52%52%47%49%40%53%57%54%54%57%23%48%22%56%46%52%50%64%50%0%19%36%63%69%31%45%59%56%
Zohran Mamdani35%35%37%30%30%19%92%19%13%6%97%19%39%33%40%42%32%10%34%31%46%19%33%34%35%63%52%26%14%56%21%43%28%34%52%43%42%29%31%33%43%48%29%28%29%33%28%49%49%71%37%31%14%39%27%33%57%63%55%26%9%56%44%23%19%
Not sure16%12%18%38%30%80%2%24%9%0%3%58%8%9%30%13%18%21%20%21%8%9%16%15%17%14%10%15%23%12%19%16%15%17%24%0%12%19%17%20%9%12%18%15%16%12%15%28%3%7%7%23%34%11%9%17%43%18%9%11%22%14%10%18%24%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q22: If the election for mayor was held today and the choices were just Eric Adams and Zohran Mamdani, for whom would you vote?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Zohran Mamdani43%42%50%29%55%19%95%26%9%33%97%21%49%42%36%52%35%18%46%42%43%23%45%37%47%69%52%38%27%58%33%47%34%52%56%69%46%40%44%39%45%57%41%28%35%55%33%50%71%63%61%42%16%47%39%42%39%66%48%31%20%61%58%36%34%
Eric Adams36%42%24%20%8%31%4%61%87%29%3%22%36%43%39%25%43%73%30%36%36%71%33%46%28%13%34%38%47%27%42%33%49%20%13%0%40%33%28%37%46%25%35%60%44%25%49%21%17%20%28%29%43%40%54%35%0%21%41%45%62%19%23%39%31%
Not sure21%16%27%51%37%50%2%13%3%39%0%57%15%14%25%23%22%9%25%22%20%6%22%17%25%18%14%24%26%15%25%19%17%28%31%31%14%26%28%24%9%18%25%12%21%21%18%29%12%17%11%29%41%12%7%23%61%13%10%25%18%19%19%25%35%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q57: Which religious background do you most identify with?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Catholic39%42%37%34%5%50%35%53%31%49%0%18%42%45%48%36%31%59%35%38%32%63%42%40%39%28%47%40%36%40%38%49%44%21%24%63%32%44%40%41%35%31%41%45%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%41%31%38%68%31%39%47%38%31%56%36%34%
Protestant11%9%17%13%8%0%11%4%17%11%0%13%8%15%0%11%14%4%11%19%7%3%10%10%11%14%11%10%9%12%10%6%8%23%9%1%11%10%9%15%8%12%12%5%0%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%13%11%10%0%12%9%8%11%15%6%15%6%
Jewish16%19%3%6%8%50%8%21%22%11%0%22%16%12%15%17%13%17%17%17%19%2%14%14%17%4%6%15%30%6%22%4%30%0%1%4%26%8%6%16%29%19%14%16%0%0%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%23%12%14%7%4%8%14%23%6%9%15%38%
Atheist or Agnostic7%5%10%19%3%0%9%4%3%1%0%18%4%7%0%7%10%3%13%2%6%9%3%8%5%10%5%8%6%7%7%8%6%5%13%0%8%6%9%5%6%9%7%3%0%0%0%100%0%0%0%0%0%1%5%8%12%17%2%11%7%7%4%7%4%
Evangelical3%2%3%0%23%0%3%5%2%1%0%3%3%3%0%3%2%2%3%1%4%0%5%2%4%13%3%1%0%7%1%4%1%9%0%0%1%4%3%4%2%2%3%5%0%0%0%0%100%0%0%0%0%1%22%2%3%5%3%0%0%13%1%3%0%
Muslim6%5%11%9%7%0%14%1%9%2%97%5%9%2%0%8%6%1%4%4%10%0%9%10%3%8%12%5%3%10%4%6%5%3%24%0%8%5%6%5%9%9%2%12%0%0%0%0%0%100%0%0%0%9%7%6%10%7%25%5%5%6%4%2%0%
Other6%5%9%4%15%0%7%3%3%10%3%3%7%5%0%6%7%3%4%7%5%11%6%5%6%4%4%9%5%4%7%13%1%9%3%31%4%7%9%3%4%5%7%5%0%0%0%0%0%0%100%0%0%3%0%7%0%8%3%9%2%4%5%7%7%
None11%11%10%14%22%0%12%8%9%13%0%14%10%11%28%10%15%10%11%10%16%7%9%10%13%17%9%10%12%12%11%10%5%23%25%0%9%13%16%10%6%11%12%10%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%100%0%7%13%12%0%14%7%5%13%14%13%13%11%
Not sure2%2%0%0%9%0%1%1%4%1%0%4%2%0%10%2%1%1%1%2%2%4%2%1%2%2%3%2%0%3%1%0%0%8%0%2%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%100%1%0%2%0%1%3%0%0%4%1%3%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q58: In general, do you think of yourself as…?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

NET Liberal33%35%35%10%0%31%50%18%26%36%0%24%40%19%58%47%16%4%27%36%40%25%34%31%34%45%32%35%24%37%30%35%26%42%43%53%38%29%37%26%35%100%0%0%26%38%40%44%20%44%26%33%35%47%4%31%44%38%38%34%20%41%29%35%29%
Very liberal16%19%10%7%0%31%28%5%15%16%0%11%22%6%15%23%8%2%14%21%21%22%9%16%16%26%13%19%9%18%14%15%13%24%14%21%18%15%16%15%17%49%0%0%11%20%23%22%20%10%22%11%33%19%0%15%44%17%20%22%7%25%10%18%11%
Somewhat liberal17%17%25%3%0%0%22%13%11%20%0%13%19%13%43%24%9%3%13%15%19%3%25%16%18%19%19%16%15%19%16%19%13%17%28%32%21%14%20%11%18%51%0%0%15%18%17%23%0%35%4%22%2%28%4%16%0%21%19%12%13%16%20%17%18%
Moderate42%37%48%70%69%19%33%35%49%43%0%60%31%55%32%39%61%22%49%43%37%35%39%38%45%38%41%40%47%40%43%40%44%40%45%17%38%45%43%47%33%0%100%0%44%48%37%46%46%12%49%45%45%35%53%43%44%39%32%39%40%43%44%40%55%
Somewhat conservative13%13%7%14%25%20%9%26%18%7%0%4%13%18%0%4%13%46%12%11%12%22%12%20%6%4%10%12%21%7%16%12%16%8%8%0%11%14%10%14%15%0%0%57%14%2%16%5%15%29%9%12%0%7%32%13%0%12%9%18%35%3%6%10%5%
Very conservative9%12%4%0%0%0%5%21%5%8%100%5%13%5%10%6%6%27%10%4%11%18%8%10%9%5%13%12%6%10%9%10%12%6%3%0%11%9%5%9%16%0%0%43%11%8%7%4%20%12%11%7%9%10%11%9%0%7%20%9%5%6%12%11%8%
NET Conservative22%26%11%14%25%20%14%47%23%14%100%9%25%23%10%10%19%73%22%15%23%40%20%30%15%9%22%23%27%18%25%22%28%14%11%0%22%22%14%24%31%0%0%100%25%10%23%9%35%41%20%19%9%17%43%23%0%19%29%26%40%9%19%20%13%
Not sure3%2%7%5%6%30%3%0%2%7%0%6%3%3%0%3%4%0%2%6%0%0%7%1%5%7%5%2%2%6%2%3%2%5%1%30%2%4%6%3%1%0%0%0%4%3%1%2%0%3%5%4%10%1%0%4%12%4%1%0%0%7%8%4%3%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q59: Did you vote in the June 2025 Democratic primary election for mayor?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Yes80%92%53%26%55%100%87%97%80%77%100%52%87%80%58%80% - - 79%89%82%72%74%76%83%86%79%81%76%82%78%74%86%76%81%63%87%75%80%72%89%87%74%90%83%60%93%80%91%90%74%64%72%85%100%78%81%84%79%77%64%85%79%84%83%
No19%8%42%66%45%0%12%3%14%23%0%45%13%20%0%19% - - 20%11%14%28%26%23%16%11%19%18%24%16%21%24%14%22%14%37%12%24%20%24%11%12%25%6%17%40%7%13%9%10%19%31%28%15%0%21%0%12%21%23%36%11%21%13%17%
Not sure1%0%5%9%0%0%1%0%5%0%0%3%1%0%42%1% - - 2%0%4%0%0%1%2%3%1%2%0%2%1%2%0%2%5%0%1%2%0%4%0%1%1%4%0%0%0%7%0%0%6%5%0%0%0%1%19%4%0%0%0%4%0%3%0%
Column n2121613965175262660124142442212005446635441041084483543112785428064224114988362661007432702525165261524649515443343161231352319




Q60: Who did you rank as your first choice in the 2025 Democratic primary election for New York City mayor?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Andrew Cuomo36%39%28%0%0%0%6%23%27%94%0%22%35%44%0%36% - - 42%39%28%11%35%31%38%16%20%50%51%18%50%32%39%36%19%75%23%48%50%29%22%37%37%25%47%24%39%21%11%6%50%38%12%26%30%40%0%19%17%54%50%15%32%52%51%
Zohran Mamdani43%40%55%100%36%0%87%20%38%3%0%23%46%39%100%43% - - 45%38%52%23%36%56%34%63%70%27%16%67%22%48%38%39%65%25%51%34%34%36%60%46%35%56%41%45%23%68%37%85%50%35%24%41%11%43%100%73%72%28%36%62%61%11%7%
Scott Stringer2%1%5%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%12%1%1%0%2% - - 5%1%0%0%0%1%2%2%1%0%4%2%2%2%2%1%0%0%2%1%1%2%3%2%1%1%0%7%5%0%0%1%0%0%0%5%0%1%0%3%0%0%0%1%2%0%5%
Brad Lander11%10%12%0%64%0%3%47%22%0%0%0%14%7%0%11% - - 0%15%14%0%19%8%13%16%5%15%9%10%12%16%12%7%12%0%19%3%3%22%12%8%15%13%12%14%19%0%51%0%0%0%0%20%40%7%0%0%11%18%0%21%0%21%12%
Jessica Ramos0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%100%0%0%1%0%0% - - 1%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%2%0%0%1%0%0%2%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%
Adrienne Adams4%4%0%0%0%100%3%0%0%0%0%31%1%4%0%4% - - 2%4%5%33%2%2%6%0%0%5%10%0%7%0%3%10%0%0%3%5%4%5%2%3%4%4%0%5%3%11%0%0%0%23%21%5%19%3%0%0%0%0%8%0%0%10%11%
Michael Blake0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%2%0%0% - - 0%1%0%0%1%1%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%3%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%2%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%
Zellnor Myrie1%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%12%0%0%0%1% - - 4%0%0%0%0%0%2%0%0%0%4%0%2%0%2%0%0%0%0%2%2%0%0%2%0%0%0%0%5%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%6%
Whitney Tilson0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0% - - 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Not sure3%4%0%0%0%0%1%7%12%1%0%0%4%1%0%3% - - 1%2%0%33%7%2%4%1%1%2%7%1%4%0%3%5%4%0%1%5%3%6%0%2%6%0%0%3%6%0%0%5%0%4%43%1%0%4%0%3%0%0%6%0%2%5%7%
Column n177150231216525225111312637117700434055435869140694424109683371521831017668476188582960182313424131754551243293613827291916




Q61: Who did you vote for in the 2021 election for New York City mayor, or did you not have a chance to vote?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Eric Adams35%42%21%1%0%31%43%7%54%44%0%28%36%37%0%43%28%16%42%40%35%36%22%38%32%29%35%34%37%33%36%30%36%39%21%56%43%29%33%24%50%44%33%26%32%33%48%32%13%40%26%36%21%48%48%32%0%53%44%35%29%20%31%29%47%
Curtis Sliwa22%29%9%6%0%0%7%62%24%12%97%5%24%31%0%15%24%52%22%17%19%27%27%28%18%3%19%24%35%13%29%14%35%6%12%0%23%22%15%29%26%8%23%47%32%13%33%13%3%13%5%14%0%23%18%23%20%8%26%25%42%2%13%29%28%
Cathy Rojas6%4%9%11%23%0%6%12%2%5%0%4%8%3%15%6%7%5%4%6%13%0%5%5%7%13%7%6%2%9%4%14%3%8%0%7%4%7%6%7%4%9%4%6%6%3%6%8%41%2%4%4%0%10%34%4%5%9%5%6%3%15%5%6%0%
Bill Pepitone2%1%7%0%0%0%1%1%0%2%0%5%1%1%0%2%2%2%3%2%0%4%0%2%1%5%2%1%0%3%1%1%2%2%0%0%1%2%3%2%1%3%2%0%1%9%0%5%1%0%0%0%2%2%0%2%0%7%4%1%0%2%1%1%0%
Someone else2%3%0%0%0%0%3%0%0%3%0%3%2%2%0%2%3%0%1%0%2%0%5%1%3%0%1%1%6%0%3%0%1%6%0%0%3%1%3%1%2%6%0%1%2%2%3%4%5%0%0%2%0%2%0%2%0%0%0%0%2%0%1%1%10%
Did not vote25%16%40%67%77%20%31%14%19%24%0%39%23%20%60%21%34%19%19%27%24%30%31%19%30%46%24%25%16%32%21%32%17%28%49%35%20%29%31%29%13%22%31%16%18%40%7%23%36%32%54%35%64%8%0%31%10%23%15%24%16%51%28%28%15%
Not sure8%5%15%15%0%49%10%3%0%9%3%16%5%7%25%11%2%5%8%8%7%2%10%7%9%5%12%9%4%10%7%9%5%11%18%3%5%10%9%9%5%9%7%4%10%0%3%14%0%13%11%8%12%8%0%6%65%0%6%9%9%10%21%5%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q62: What is your marital status?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Married44%47%43%27%25%31%44%45%68%42%97%27%47%49%31%44%43%50%42%38%41%38%55%48%41%17%56%40%53%42%46%28%58%25%58%7%61%33%21%47%74%42%43%55%47%43%58%19%20%73%38%28%24%71%38%40%5%26%57%34%64%25%60%38%42%
Single33%29%42%37%47%49%41%25%18%33%3%43%33%25%51%35%33%19%37%43%29%19%29%30%34%81%32%24%18%50%21%41%19%55%29%63%20%41%49%32%9%36%34%17%26%34%18%53%64%23%37%49%76%13%48%35%61%55%36%28%16%72%23%22%20%
Divorced10%10%5%25%0%19%5%14%6%10%0%15%7%12%15%8%15%11%9%9%15%24%3%10%10%0%3%16%13%2%15%12%11%6%10%0%10%10%11%11%7%5%13%12%12%11%13%11%11%0%6%6%0%6%9%11%12%7%2%17%12%0%4%19%15%
Separated4%3%5%11%20%0%2%5%2%7%0%5%3%6%3%5%4%3%3%4%8%3%4%3%5%0%2%9%3%1%6%11%1%5%0%30%2%6%7%3%3%7%2%6%5%3%0%8%0%5%4%9%0%7%5%4%0%4%1%10%0%0%5%9%6%
Widowed4%6%1%0%0%0%0%8%2%6%0%5%3%6%0%4%0%13%5%2%0%11%6%3%5%0%0%3%11%0%7%3%6%2%3%0%2%6%7%5%0%2%5%7%4%5%7%0%0%0%4%8%0%3%0%5%0%0%0%3%6%0%0%4%17%
Unmarried and living with a partner5%5%5%0%8%0%9%4%4%2%0%5%6%2%0%5%6%5%5%4%7%6%4%5%5%2%6%9%1%4%5%6%5%7%0%0%5%5%4%3%8%8%4%3%6%4%5%9%5%0%11%0%0%1%0%5%22%8%4%8%2%3%8%7%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q63: Do you have any school-age children living at home?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Yes33%32%40%17%41%0%41%31%34%35%3%18%36%36%31%37%29%23%31%38%38%20%32%36%31%29%64%35%5%51%21%39%31%36%26%5%41%28%22%32%48%31%30%42%37%42%17%24%57%60%16%25%21%47%51%29%29%42%68%31%10%36%63%25%0%
No67%68%60%83%59%100%59%69%66%65%97%82%64%64%69%63%71%77%69%62%62%80%68%64%69%71%36%65%95%49%79%61%69%64%74%95%59%72%78%68%52%69%70%58%63%58%83%76%43%40%84%75%79%53%49%71%71%58%32%69%90%64%37%75%100%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q64: How would you describe your current employment status?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Full-time42%46%40%11%17%30%57%38%46%35%100%29%43%47%35%41%44%42%42%37%52%48%35%44%41%37%67%55%8%56%33%36%49%34%41%18%58%31%20%49%63%47%35%52%44%47%36%32%24%58%33%47%32%59%17%40%42%46%74%57%7%42%63%50%8%
Retired28%31%9%32%38%31%8%36%30%34%0%38%27%25%0%28%21%40%27%17%23%20%40%30%26%7%1%16%76%3%43%18%34%22%25%33%26%29%30%31%21%20%32%32%27%18%56%13%37%16%18%19%0%25%72%26%0%0%0%18%77%7%3%20%74%
Part-time13%11%16%22%22%19%13%15%13%11%0%11%11%16%32%10%19%13%18%14%7%14%11%11%14%25%13%9%11%17%10%22%9%14%13%0%9%15%18%10%9%11%16%9%10%16%7%21%23%13%26%14%19%12%3%13%19%21%11%4%13%24%12%13%8%
Unemployed10%6%17%25%23%0%10%10%7%8%0%16%10%6%11%12%10%2%8%17%11%9%7%11%9%10%10%14%5%10%10%14%3%20%6%38%5%13%22%1%3%13%11%3%9%11%0%26%2%3%16%13%37%4%9%11%17%13%12%19%2%10%5%13%8%
Homemaker4%3%6%9%0%19%4%2%0%9%0%3%5%4%3%5%3%0%1%15%3%0%3%2%5%2%9%5%0%7%2%8%2%6%4%0%0%7%6%3%2%3%4%3%6%4%0%3%7%3%4%3%0%0%0%5%12%5%3%3%0%3%15%5%0%
Student3%2%11%0%0%0%7%0%2%3%0%3%4%2%18%4%2%1%4%0%3%9%3%2%4%19%0%1%0%7%1%2%2%4%10%11%1%5%3%5%2%7%2%2%3%4%0%5%6%7%3%3%12%0%0%4%10%12%0%0%0%14%3%0%0%
Prefer not to say0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%2%0%1%0%0%1%2%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%2%0%0%0%0%0%0%2%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Q65: Are you currently a member of a government or public sector labor union?

TotalVote LikelihoodInitial VoteCertaintyParty RegistrationBoroughGenderAgeRaceEducationIncomeIdeologyReligionGov Union MembershipGender x Age

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not very likely

Not at all likely

Not sure

Zohran Mamdani

Curtis Sliwa

Eric Adams

Andrew Cuomo

Other

Undecided

Absolutely certain

Could change my mind

Not sure

Democratic

Independent/ Other

Republican

Brooklyn

The Bronx

Manhattan

Staten Island

Queens

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

18-44

45+

Hispanic

White

Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander

Other

College grad

Non College

Less than $50K

$50K to $99K

$100K +

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Catholic

Protestant

Jewish

Atheist or Agnostic

Evangelical

Muslim

Other

None

Not sure

Yes, currently

Yes, former

No

Not sure

Male 18-34

Male 35-49

Male 50-64

Male 65+

Female 18-34

Female 35-49

Female 50-64

Female 65+

Yes, currently16%17%16%15%0%0%14%24%15%15%3%12%16%18%25%21%8%11%22%23%13%7%11%19%14%9%21%17%14%17%16%21%17%14%9%0%23%12%9%18%24%23%14%13%17%20%24%3%8%22%8%10%13%100%0%0%0%23%20%12%21%10%17%22%7%
Yes, former4%4%4%0%23%0%2%8%6%3%0%3%3%7%0%3%6%7%3%2%4%9%6%5%4%8%3%1%7%5%4%2%3%11%0%0%2%6%2%8%4%1%6%9%3%5%3%4%31%5%0%5%0%0%100%0%0%3%5%4%7%7%2%0%7%
No77%77%78%85%77%51%80%66%79%81%97%79%78%74%75%73%86%81%71%73%82%84%80%73%80%80%71%79%79%74%79%73%78%72%87%100%74%79%84%73%72%73%78%79%75%75%71%89%59%70%92%85%87%0%0%100%0%72%69%80%72%78%81%76%86%
Not sure2%2%2%0%0%49%4%2%0%0%0%6%2%0%0%2%0%2%4%2%0%0%3%3%2%3%4%2%0%4%1%4%1%3%3%0%1%3%4%2%0%3%2%0%4%0%1%4%2%4%0%0%0%0%0%0%100%1%6%4%0%6%0%2%0%
Column n5854121282613615513193125279359138921215520317111215234116341244101240169753412441183031074893372481781872161742201742186267422163316912119204351184152614489705431




Nature of Sample

Gender

Male 45%
Female 55%

Age

18-34 21%
35-49 24%
50-64 27%
65+ 28%

Borough

Brooklyn 30%
The Bronx 15%
Manhattan 21%
Staten Island 8%
Queens 26%

Education

College grad 41%
Non College 59%

Race

White 49%
Black or African American 21%
Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin 20%
Asian/ Other, specify 10%

Party registration

Republican party 15%
Democratic party 60%
Independent/unaffiliated 25%