This survey was conducted online from July 7-8, 2025 among 585 registered voters in New York City. Respondents are recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment sampling. Recruitment occurs through a broad variety of professional, validated respondent panels to expand the sampling frame as wide as possible and minimize the impact of any given panel on recruiting methods. The results reflect a representative sample of likely registered voters in New York City. Results were weighted for age, gender, race/ethnicity, income, education, borough, party, and ideology where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. The margin of error for the total sample is +/-4.1 percentage points.
For further insights and data, visit elections.harrisx.com
D1: What is your sex? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Male | 45% | 46% | 41% | 61% | 36% | 51% | 44% | 55% | 54% | 34% | 3% | 40% | 48% | 43% | 41% | 41% | 53% | 58% | 58% | 34% | 40% | 40% | 43% | 100% | 0% | 33% | 48% | 42% | 52% | 43% | 47% | 44% | 52% | 40% | 24% | 26% | 46% | 45% | 43% | 44% | 49% | 43% | 41% | 62% | 46% | 43% | 40% | 56% | 25% | 74% | 42% | 38% | 26% | 52% | 53% | 43% | 55% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Female | 55% | 54% | 59% | 39% | 64% | 49% | 56% | 45% | 46% | 66% | 97% | 60% | 52% | 57% | 59% | 59% | 47% | 42% | 42% | 66% | 60% | 60% | 57% | 0% | 100% | 67% | 52% | 58% | 48% | 57% | 53% | 56% | 48% | 60% | 76% | 74% | 54% | 55% | 57% | 56% | 51% | 57% | 59% | 38% | 54% | 57% | 60% | 44% | 75% | 26% | 58% | 62% | 74% | 48% | 47% | 57% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q1: When it comes to your gender, do you identify as… | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Man | 45% | 45% | 40% | 61% | 36% | 51% | 44% | 55% | 54% | 33% | 3% | 40% | 47% | 42% | 41% | 40% | 53% | 58% | 57% | 32% | 40% | 40% | 43% | 99% | 0% | 32% | 48% | 42% | 52% | 42% | 46% | 42% | 52% | 40% | 24% | 26% | 46% | 44% | 43% | 44% | 49% | 42% | 40% | 62% | 46% | 42% | 40% | 56% | 25% | 74% | 38% | 38% | 26% | 51% | 53% | 43% | 55% | 98% | 100% | 98% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Woman | 54% | 54% | 58% | 39% | 64% | 49% | 54% | 45% | 46% | 66% | 97% | 60% | 51% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 46% | 42% | 42% | 66% | 60% | 55% | 57% | 0% | 99% | 63% | 52% | 58% | 48% | 56% | 53% | 55% | 47% | 60% | 76% | 74% | 54% | 55% | 56% | 55% | 51% | 56% | 60% | 38% | 53% | 58% | 60% | 44% | 75% | 26% | 54% | 62% | 74% | 49% | 47% | 56% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 95% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Non-binary | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Other | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
H1: Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
18-34 | 21% | 17% | 34% | 23% | 27% | 49% | 41% | 13% | 21% | 10% | 97% | 17% | 24% | 17% | 29% | 23% | 20% | 7% | 23% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 25% | 100% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 53% | 0% | 34% | 15% | 23% | 25% | 13% | 14% | 26% | 22% | 26% | 14% | 26% | 21% | 12% | 17% | 28% | 7% | 33% | 69% | 21% | 21% | 26% | 38% | 19% | 27% | 21% | 36% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
35-49 | 24% | 22% | 34% | 13% | 28% | 0% | 34% | 19% | 20% | 24% | 0% | 17% | 24% | 27% | 71% | 29% | 19% | 14% | 26% | 32% | 27% | 4% | 22% | 25% | 23% | 0% | 74% | 17% | 0% | 47% | 9% | 23% | 24% | 29% | 21% | 5% | 29% | 21% | 17% | 22% | 36% | 25% | 22% | 26% | 30% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 19% | 52% | 18% | 22% | 31% | 28% | 18% | 24% | 29% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
50-64 | 27% | 28% | 22% | 29% | 37% | 19% | 15% | 33% | 26% | 37% | 3% | 23% | 27% | 31% | 0% | 23% | 37% | 31% | 22% | 40% | 27% | 55% | 17% | 26% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 83% | 0% | 0% | 45% | 34% | 27% | 27% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 31% | 34% | 22% | 23% | 29% | 26% | 28% | 28% | 30% | 25% | 34% | 13% | 15% | 39% | 22% | 32% | 29% | 10% | 27% | 34% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
65+ | 28% | 33% | 9% | 35% | 9% | 31% | 10% | 35% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 44% | 25% | 26% | 0% | 25% | 24% | 48% | 30% | 12% | 26% | 19% | 39% | 32% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 46% | 9% | 35% | 21% | 41% | 63% | 36% | 22% | 28% | 29% | 27% | 21% | 32% | 34% | 26% | 24% | 54% | 23% | 0% | 12% | 23% | 29% | 0% | 25% | 44% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
QAge: QAge | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
18-29 | 15% | 11% | 25% | 11% | 23% | 30% | 29% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 97% | 12% | 17% | 11% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 2% | 16% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 18% | 11% | 18% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 37% | 0% | 21% | 8% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 16% | 20% | 7% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 11% | 20% | 4% | 22% | 65% | 17% | 9% | 21% | 18% | 8% | 27% | 15% | 21% | 66% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 72% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
30-39 | 16% | 14% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 13% | 19% | 7% | 0% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 57% | 16% | 18% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 0% | 63% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 12% | 5% | 19% | 13% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 28% | 17% | 11% | 50% | 22% | 0% | 15% | 15% | 34% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 37% | 0% | 0% |
40-49 | 15% | 14% | 21% | 4% | 17% | 0% | 20% | 10% | 13% | 19% | 0% | 9% | 16% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 10% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 16% | 0% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 0% | 37% | 17% | 0% | 23% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 1% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 21% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 20% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 29% | 12% | 16% | 0% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 29% | 0% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 63% | 0% | 0% |
50-64 | 27% | 28% | 22% | 29% | 37% | 19% | 15% | 33% | 26% | 37% | 3% | 23% | 27% | 31% | 0% | 23% | 37% | 31% | 22% | 40% | 27% | 55% | 17% | 26% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 83% | 0% | 0% | 45% | 34% | 27% | 27% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 31% | 34% | 22% | 23% | 29% | 26% | 28% | 28% | 30% | 25% | 34% | 13% | 15% | 39% | 22% | 32% | 29% | 10% | 27% | 34% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
65+ | 28% | 33% | 9% | 35% | 9% | 31% | 10% | 35% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 44% | 25% | 26% | 0% | 25% | 24% | 48% | 30% | 12% | 26% | 19% | 39% | 32% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 46% | 9% | 35% | 21% | 41% | 63% | 36% | 22% | 28% | 29% | 27% | 21% | 32% | 34% | 26% | 24% | 54% | 23% | 0% | 12% | 23% | 29% | 0% | 25% | 44% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
H2: Generation | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Gen Z | 12% | 9% | 20% | 11% | 23% | 30% | 22% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 97% | 10% | 14% | 7% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 2% | 12% | 6% | 14% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 81% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 0% | 14% | 7% | 21% | 12% | 11% | 5% | 16% | 12% | 15% | 7% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 58% | 17% | 9% | 21% | 17% | 5% | 27% | 12% | 21% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 62% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Millennials | 28% | 26% | 39% | 24% | 19% | 19% | 47% | 23% | 30% | 16% | 0% | 16% | 28% | 32% | 57% | 31% | 26% | 14% | 27% | 36% | 30% | 15% | 26% | 30% | 26% | 19% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 70% | 0% | 35% | 26% | 25% | 32% | 7% | 32% | 25% | 23% | 28% | 34% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 32% | 38% | 10% | 24% | 30% | 45% | 17% | 20% | 52% | 36% | 18% | 26% | 44% | 53% | 82% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 72% | 0% | 0% |
Gen X | 27% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 41% | 19% | 21% | 28% | 23% | 38% | 3% | 21% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 29% | 27% | 41% | 21% | 47% | 17% | 23% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 83% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 33% | 25% | 29% | 16% | 19% | 22% | 30% | 29% | 24% | 26% | 30% | 25% | 28% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 30% | 3% | 22% | 48% | 21% | 32% | 29% | 9% | 27% | 34% | 0% | 18% | 73% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 84% | 0% |
Baby Boomers | 31% | 36% | 11% | 38% | 16% | 31% | 10% | 33% | 38% | 35% | 0% | 53% | 27% | 30% | 0% | 27% | 35% | 46% | 31% | 14% | 34% | 28% | 39% | 35% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 91% | 0% | 51% | 16% | 37% | 26% | 41% | 63% | 39% | 25% | 36% | 27% | 30% | 26% | 35% | 35% | 30% | 28% | 48% | 30% | 10% | 16% | 26% | 37% | 0% | 30% | 46% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 86% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 96% |
Silent | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
H3: Region (9-way) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
New England | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Middle Atlantic | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
East North Central | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
West North Central | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
South Atlantic | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
East South Central | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
West South Central | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mountain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Pacific | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
H3A: Region (4-way) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Northeast | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Midwest | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
South | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
West | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q5: In which borough do you live? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Brooklyn | 30% | 30% | 30% | 40% | 16% | 49% | 32% | 23% | 21% | 30% | 97% | 44% | 24% | 34% | 60% | 28% | 33% | 32% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 23% | 32% | 28% | 29% | 32% | 29% | 30% | 17% | 36% | 32% | 24% | 17% | 31% | 29% | 34% | 25% | 30% | 25% | 35% | 30% | 27% | 32% | 33% | 57% | 32% | 20% | 21% | 31% | 11% | 40% | 20% | 28% | 56% | 57% | 32% | 28% | 42% | 19% | 32% | 21% | 21% |
The Bronx | 15% | 14% | 17% | 8% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 16% | 12% | 22% | 3% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 3% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 18% | 9% | 20% | 21% | 6% | 16% | 14% | 28% | 8% | 26% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 15% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 14% | 15% | 22% | 7% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 15% | 20% | 30% | 6% |
Manhattan | 21% | 22% | 17% | 34% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 27% | 17% | 0% | 26% | 23% | 14% | 25% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 19% | 23% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 21% | 15% | 18% | 30% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 33% | 26% | 19% | 22% | 17% | 15% | 26% | 17% | 25% | 33% | 18% | 29% | 20% | 17% | 21% | 23% | 0% | 15% | 30% | 26% | 6% | 22% | 19% | 18% | 35% |
Staten Island | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 13% | 16% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 9% | 11% | 0% | 3% | 15% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 5% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 3% | 20% | 0% |
Queens | 26% | 25% | 26% | 11% | 59% | 31% | 25% | 35% | 23% | 25% | 0% | 19% | 29% | 25% | 12% | 26% | 21% | 32% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 25% | 27% | 31% | 23% | 17% | 36% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 23% | 17% | 58% | 62% | 24% | 28% | 25% | 33% | 20% | 27% | 24% | 23% | 28% | 24% | 24% | 10% | 40% | 38% | 28% | 22% | 33% | 18% | 35% | 27% | 32% | 18% | 19% | 23% | 34% | 34% | 27% | 11% | 38% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q6: Are you registered to vote where you currently reside? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Yes | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
No | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Not sure | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
D4: Are you of Hispanic origin (such as Latin American, Mexican, Puerto Rican, or Cuban)? Why do we ask this question? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Yes, of Hispanic origin | 20% | 17% | 26% | 36% | 20% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 3% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 12% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 37% | 22% | 11% | 21% | 20% | 20% | 29% | 22% | 26% | 6% | 25% | 17% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 26% | 31% | 13% | 14% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 25% | 11% | 5% | 24% | 24% | 19% | 43% | 19% | 2% | 26% | 9% | 19% | 32% | 37% | 20% | 26% | 6% | 29% | 19% | 25% | 7% |
No, not of Hispanic origin | 80% | 83% | 74% | 64% | 80% | 81% | 76% | 82% | 83% | 79% | 97% | 80% | 80% | 79% | 88% | 80% | 78% | 85% | 88% | 63% | 78% | 89% | 79% | 80% | 79% | 71% | 78% | 73% | 94% | 75% | 83% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 84% | 89% | 73% | 69% | 87% | 86% | 79% | 80% | 80% | 75% | 89% | 95% | 76% | 76% | 81% | 52% | 81% | 98% | 74% | 91% | 81% | 68% | 63% | 80% | 74% | 94% | 71% | 81% | 74% | 93% |
Decline to answer | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
D5: Do you consider yourself...? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
White | 57% | 64% | 42% | 36% | 21% | 81% | 43% | 78% | 73% | 50% | 3% | 48% | 54% | 68% | 63% | 49% | 57% | 89% | 64% | 42% | 56% | 84% | 50% | 65% | 50% | 37% | 58% | 59% | 64% | 50% | 61% | 39% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 72% | 47% | 36% | 61% | 81% | 45% | 58% | 76% | 66% | 39% | 96% | 56% | 25% | 50% | 24% | 26% | 2% | 64% | 37% | 58% | 26% | 55% | 66% | 63% | 70% | 36% | 49% | 58% | 57% |
Black or African American | 25% | 21% | 31% | 20% | 72% | 19% | 28% | 12% | 22% | 31% | 97% | 31% | 25% | 20% | 31% | 30% | 23% | 8% | 25% | 48% | 24% | 15% | 16% | 21% | 28% | 35% | 26% | 27% | 16% | 30% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 33% | 38% | 23% | 10% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 15% | 53% | 1% | 19% | 63% | 11% | 39% | 51% | 96% | 20% | 60% | 24% | 30% | 25% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 35% | 30% | 30% | 16% |
Asian or Pacific Islander | 9% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 0% | 10% | 11% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 0% | 8% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 19% | 5% | 12% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 16% | 0% | 31% | 4% | 19% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 6% | 14% |
Native American or Alaskan Native | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
Mixed racial background | 3% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
Other race | 6% | 4% | 11% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 11% | 0% | 19% | 1% | 0% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 22% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
Decline to answer | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
D6. You indicated that you consider yourself of a mixed racial background. With which of the following racial groups do you most closely identify? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
White | 57% | 77% | 25% | 0% | 0% | - | 76% | - | 0% | 85% | - | 0% | 78% | 48% | - | 69% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 50% | - | 100% | 0% | 68% | 63% | 40% | 32% | 100% | 53% | 61% | 46% | - | 0% | - | 97% | 38% | 62% | 75% | 26% | 74% | 96% | 23% | 0% | 51% | 0% | 100% | 43% | - | - | 0% | 89% | - | 0% | - | 62% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 47% | 94% | 68% | 100% |
Black or African American | 42% | 55% | 25% | 0% | 0% | - | 23% | - | 45% | 86% | - | 0% | 46% | 71% | - | 50% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 18% | - | 100% | 1% | 50% | 15% | 40% | 32% | 100% | 26% | 61% | 28% | - | 100% | - | 97% | 39% | 43% | 65% | 37% | 0% | 57% | 34% | 0% | 59% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | 0% | 89% | - | 0% | - | 46% | - | 5% | 0% | 0% | - | 11% | 94% | 68% | 100% |
Asian or Pacific Islander | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Native American or Alaskan Native | 19% | 22% | 25% | 0% | 0% | - | 41% | - | 45% | 0% | - | 0% | 24% | 22% | - | 20% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 32% | - | 0% | 0% | 23% | 63% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 35% | 0% | 24% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 12% | 74% | 30% | 11% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 100% | 0% | - | - | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 21% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 47% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Other Race | 58% | 45% | 75% | 100% | 100% | - | 77% | - | 55% | 14% | - | 100% | 54% | 29% | - | 50% | 81% | 100% | 100% | 57% | 82% | - | 0% | 99% | 50% | 85% | 60% | 68% | 0% | 74% | 39% | 72% | - | 0% | - | 3% | 61% | 57% | 35% | 63% | 100% | 43% | 66% | 100% | 41% | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | - | 100% | 11% | - | 100% | - | 54% | - | 95% | 100% | 100% | - | 89% | 6% | 32% | 0% |
Decline to answer | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Column n | 17 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
QRACE: What is your race? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
White | 49% | 54% | 38% | 33% | 18% | 81% | 37% | 67% | 66% | 40% | 0% | 43% | 46% | 60% | 51% | 41% | 51% | 79% | 58% | 25% | 50% | 79% | 43% | 57% | 43% | 28% | 49% | 47% | 62% | 42% | 54% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 37% | 25% | 56% | 74% | 39% | 51% | 63% | 56% | 37% | 94% | 44% | 14% | 39% | 11% | 20% | 0% | 52% | 36% | 50% | 26% | 41% | 53% | 56% | 68% | 31% | 44% | 43% | 55% |
Black or African American | 21% | 19% | 22% | 15% | 60% | 0% | 22% | 10% | 15% | 30% | 97% | 26% | 22% | 16% | 31% | 27% | 16% | 6% | 23% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 23% | 31% | 20% | 22% | 16% | 24% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 27% | 31% | 20% | 9% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 11% | 45% | 0% | 16% | 62% | 11% | 32% | 42% | 96% | 17% | 55% | 20% | 30% | 16% | 27% | 15% | 16% | 27% | 23% | 25% | 16% |
Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin | 20% | 17% | 26% | 36% | 20% | 19% | 24% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 3% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 12% | 20% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 37% | 22% | 11% | 21% | 20% | 20% | 29% | 22% | 26% | 6% | 25% | 17% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 26% | 31% | 13% | 14% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 25% | 11% | 5% | 24% | 24% | 19% | 43% | 19% | 2% | 26% | 9% | 19% | 32% | 37% | 20% | 26% | 6% | 29% | 19% | 25% | 7% |
Asian origin (includes people of Asian Indian, Chinese, Korean, Filipino, and Japanese origin) | 8% | 7% | 13% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 0% | 10% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 19% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 3% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 16% | 0% | 31% | 4% | 19% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 9% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 6% | 14% |
Other, specify | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 7% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
D103: What is the highest level of education you have completed or the highest degree you have received? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Less than high school | 2% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 0% |
Completed some high school | 3% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 22% | 8% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 0% |
High school graduate or equivalent (e.g, GED) | 25% | 22% | 29% | 26% | 58% | 38% | 20% | 27% | 16% | 39% | 97% | 16% | 28% | 24% | 15% | 23% | 29% | 26% | 25% | 33% | 16% | 15% | 31% | 26% | 24% | 35% | 21% | 24% | 25% | 26% | 24% | 32% | 15% | 38% | 27% | 46% | 0% | 42% | 38% | 27% | 5% | 21% | 27% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 6% | 11% | 64% | 32% | 17% | 26% | 12% | 10% | 46% | 27% | 27% | 32% | 25% | 24% | 27% | 26% | 24% | 23% | 23% |
Completed some college | 19% | 18% | 22% | 39% | 8% | 30% | 11% | 20% | 20% | 22% | 0% | 29% | 16% | 21% | 39% | 18% | 24% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 16% | 30% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 23% | 12% | 25% | 17% | 16% | 22% | 20% | 20% | 19% | 18% | 19% | 0% | 33% | 21% | 25% | 10% | 16% | 22% | 20% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 28% | 11% | 9% | 33% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 28% | 20% | 24% | 22% | 10% | 37% | 14% | 24% | 5% | 25% | 21% |
Associate's degree | 10% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 24% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 0% | 14% | 8% | 12% | 21% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 8% | 16% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 15% | 7% | 15% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 6% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 30% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 2% | 12% | 4% | 7% | 21% | 21% | 10% | 0% |
Bachelor's degree | 23% | 26% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 31% | 30% | 26% | 22% | 11% | 3% | 23% | 25% | 19% | 0% | 24% | 22% | 21% | 24% | 16% | 26% | 20% | 23% | 24% | 21% | 22% | 25% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 21% | 11% | 28% | 16% | 38% | 10% | 55% | 0% | 11% | 29% | 32% | 27% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 26% | 30% | 19% | 20% | 12% | 28% | 16% | 25% | 1% | 24% | 17% | 28% | 29% | 14% | 28% | 21% | 16% | 27% | 19% |
Completed some graduate school | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
Graduate degree (e.g., M.S., M.D., Ph.D.) | 17% | 20% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 23% | 12% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 25% | 22% | 12% | 8% | 19% | 9% | 31% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 1% | 22% | 13% | 27% | 14% | 19% | 12% | 26% | 6% | 5% | 26% | 42% | 0% | 8% | 7% | 44% | 21% | 14% | 17% | 12% | 21% | 42% | 10% | 0% | 31% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 34% | 19% | 14% | 0% | 1% | 24% | 16% | 22% | 6% | 30% | 4% | 31% |
Not sure | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
H5: Education | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Less than high school degree | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 17% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 9% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 15% | 7% | 21% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 22% | 15% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 0% |
High school degree to less than 4-year | 54% | 48% | 64% | 82% | 91% | 68% | 38% | 57% | 45% | 73% | 97% | 59% | 51% | 57% | 75% | 50% | 61% | 59% | 55% | 67% | 38% | 54% | 60% | 53% | 55% | 72% | 48% | 59% | 46% | 57% | 53% | 67% | 42% | 70% | 54% | 65% | 0% | 93% | 72% | 61% | 22% | 46% | 61% | 52% | 62% | 57% | 30% | 50% | 79% | 45% | 56% | 60% | 63% | 37% | 80% | 56% | 61% | 56% | 46% | 65% | 48% | 70% | 50% | 58% | 43% |
4-year college degree or more | 41% | 48% | 30% | 12% | 9% | 32% | 54% | 41% | 47% | 26% | 3% | 37% | 43% | 41% | 25% | 46% | 37% | 33% | 43% | 25% | 60% | 29% | 37% | 42% | 41% | 23% | 48% | 34% | 53% | 39% | 43% | 23% | 56% | 24% | 43% | 35% | 100% | 0% | 19% | 37% | 76% | 48% | 37% | 40% | 34% | 43% | 69% | 48% | 19% | 51% | 29% | 33% | 16% | 58% | 20% | 39% | 17% | 30% | 52% | 29% | 50% | 28% | 47% | 33% | 57% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
EDUW: New Education | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
College grad | 41% | 48% | 30% | 12% | 9% | 32% | 54% | 41% | 47% | 26% | 3% | 37% | 43% | 41% | 25% | 46% | 37% | 33% | 43% | 25% | 60% | 29% | 37% | 42% | 41% | 23% | 48% | 34% | 53% | 39% | 43% | 23% | 56% | 24% | 43% | 35% | 100% | 0% | 19% | 37% | 76% | 48% | 37% | 40% | 34% | 43% | 69% | 48% | 19% | 51% | 29% | 33% | 16% | 58% | 20% | 39% | 17% | 30% | 52% | 29% | 50% | 28% | 47% | 33% | 57% |
Non College | 59% | 52% | 70% | 88% | 91% | 68% | 46% | 59% | 53% | 74% | 97% | 63% | 57% | 59% | 75% | 54% | 63% | 67% | 57% | 75% | 40% | 71% | 63% | 58% | 59% | 77% | 52% | 66% | 47% | 61% | 57% | 77% | 44% | 76% | 57% | 65% | 0% | 100% | 81% | 63% | 24% | 52% | 63% | 60% | 66% | 57% | 31% | 52% | 81% | 49% | 71% | 67% | 84% | 42% | 80% | 61% | 83% | 70% | 48% | 71% | 50% | 72% | 53% | 67% | 43% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
D109: Which of the following ranges best describes your annual household income? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Less than $25,000 | 15% | 13% | 16% | 25% | 24% | 19% | 18% | 12% | 6% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 19% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 33% | 13% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 11% | 21% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 28% | 6% | 20% | 13% | 70% | 5% | 22% | 39% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 10% | 15% | 9% | 13% | 29% | 16% | 33% | 9% | 1% | 16% | 30% | 27% | 13% | 22% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 22% | 18% |
$25,000 to $50,000 | 23% | 22% | 26% | 20% | 32% | 19% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 32% | 97% | 30% | 23% | 20% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 26% | 32% | 21% | 18% | 10% | 23% | 22% | 24% | 25% | 19% | 23% | 27% | 21% | 25% | 30% | 14% | 37% | 31% | 5% | 12% | 31% | 61% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 26% | 19% | 23% | 24% | 5% | 34% | 32% | 22% | 31% | 37% | 22% | 13% | 17% | 25% | 42% | 23% | 18% | 27% | 20% | 25% | 13% | 24% | 34% |
$50,000 to $60,000 | 11% | 10% | 9% | 22% | 31% | 0% | 6% | 20% | 5% | 9% | 0% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 5% | 16% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 8% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 17% | 9% | 0% | 4% | 16% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 7% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 41% | 15% | 0% | 8% | 28% | 20% | 28% | 9% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 17% | 15% | 8% | 13% | 13% |
$60,000 to $80,000 | 12% | 11% | 19% | 7% | 12% | 31% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 0% | 13% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 9% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 16% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 27% | 0% | 11% | 13% | 0% | 37% | 0% | 9% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 18% | 5% | 22% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 0% | 7% | 26% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 17% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 5% |
$80,000 to $100,000 | 10% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 0% | 30% | 12% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 0% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 17% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 15% | 6% | 0% | 30% | 0% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 10% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% |
$100,000 to $150,000 | 16% | 18% | 15% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 17% | 18% | 10% | 0% | 11% | 14% | 23% | 40% | 14% | 23% | 15% | 19% | 11% | 20% | 22% | 10% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 23% | 17% | 11% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 24% | 7% | 10% | 0% | 28% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 58% | 17% | 13% | 23% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 21% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 10% | 16% | 0% | 16% | 19% | 15% | 18% | 13% | 27% | 18% | 4% |
$150,000 to $200,000 | 6% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 0% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 15% | 3% | 10% | 18% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 9% |
More than $200,000 | 6% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 19% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 12% | 14% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 9% |
Not sure | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
H5AW: NewIncome | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Less than $50K | 38% | 36% | 42% | 45% | 57% | 38% | 36% | 31% | 24% | 49% | 97% | 48% | 40% | 28% | 26% | 42% | 30% | 34% | 43% | 54% | 30% | 19% | 36% | 36% | 40% | 41% | 30% | 44% | 38% | 34% | 41% | 58% | 20% | 57% | 44% | 75% | 18% | 53% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 39% | 25% | 40% | 32% | 15% | 49% | 41% | 35% | 60% | 53% | 55% | 22% | 17% | 42% | 72% | 50% | 31% | 49% | 24% | 33% | 24% | 46% | 52% |
$50K to $99K | 33% | 31% | 39% | 40% | 43% | 62% | 32% | 43% | 29% | 27% | 0% | 37% | 33% | 33% | 34% | 30% | 40% | 36% | 28% | 32% | 26% | 45% | 42% | 33% | 34% | 45% | 31% | 28% | 35% | 36% | 31% | 21% | 38% | 32% | 45% | 7% | 30% | 35% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 27% | 38% | 36% | 35% | 46% | 33% | 26% | 43% | 26% | 15% | 30% | 29% | 36% | 58% | 32% | 28% | 30% | 27% | 27% | 44% | 48% | 34% | 28% | 26% |
$100K + | 28% | 33% | 18% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 26% | 46% | 23% | 0% | 15% | 27% | 38% | 40% | 28% | 29% | 30% | 28% | 13% | 43% | 36% | 22% | 31% | 26% | 14% | 38% | 27% | 27% | 29% | 27% | 20% | 42% | 11% | 11% | 1% | 52% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 30% | 22% | 39% | 25% | 22% | 52% | 26% | 16% | 39% | 20% | 16% | 14% | 42% | 25% | 26% | 0% | 20% | 42% | 24% | 32% | 17% | 41% | 24% | 22% |
Decline to answer | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q12: What is your political party registration? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Republican party | 15% | 18% | 7% | 4% | 13% | 19% | 3% | 40% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 16% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16% | 7% | 7% | 38% | 19% | 20% | 12% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 26% | 6% | 21% | 11% | 25% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 17% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 2% | 8% | 51% | 23% | 6% | 16% | 6% | 11% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 19% | 38% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 14% |
Democratic party | 60% | 60% | 60% | 50% | 64% | 31% | 79% | 37% | 42% | 72% | 97% | 55% | 67% | 48% | 43% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 56% | 76% | 69% | 19% | 59% | 54% | 65% | 70% | 66% | 55% | 54% | 68% | 54% | 59% | 50% | 77% | 72% | 68% | 66% | 55% | 65% | 54% | 59% | 85% | 56% | 28% | 55% | 64% | 65% | 57% | 58% | 73% | 63% | 54% | 69% | 79% | 47% | 56% | 64% | 74% | 73% | 43% | 37% | 59% | 73% | 56% | 72% |
Independent/unaffiliated | 23% | 20% | 30% | 35% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 22% | 38% | 16% | 0% | 28% | 15% | 34% | 47% | 0% | 98% | 0% | 25% | 15% | 21% | 44% | 18% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 23% | 28% | 20% | 20% | 24% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 28% | 32% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 27% | 23% | 11% | 33% | 20% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 33% | 19% | 20% | 27% | 30% | 14% | 10% | 30% | 25% | 5% | 18% | 20% | 38% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 27% | 14% |
Other party | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Not sure | 2% | 1% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 30% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q13: How likely are you to vote in the November 2025 general election for mayor and other citywide offices? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
TOP 2 BOX | 90% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 95% | 91% | 97% | 97% | 100% | 65% | 96% | 93% | 82% | 91% | 88% | 94% | 90% | 90% | 92% | 95% | 89% | 89% | 91% | 89% | 92% | 89% | 91% | 90% | 90% | 86% | 94% | 86% | 90% | 95% | 97% | 86% | 88% | 88% | 97% | 98% | 85% | 92% | 94% | 91% | 93% | 84% | 73% | 88% | 87% | 86% | 81% | 95% | 81% | 90% | 81% | 94% | 94% | 85% | 87% | 84% | 93% | 92% | 96% |
Very likely | 72% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 72% | 80% | 77% | 74% | 100% | 47% | 78% | 75% | 10% | 72% | 63% | 86% | 71% | 69% | 76% | 73% | 70% | 72% | 71% | 56% | 66% | 71% | 85% | 62% | 78% | 61% | 79% | 66% | 61% | 92% | 83% | 63% | 67% | 65% | 85% | 77% | 63% | 83% | 76% | 61% | 90% | 57% | 56% | 56% | 56% | 69% | 79% | 76% | 63% | 71% | 66% | 63% | 72% | 69% | 79% | 54% | 62% | 77% | 91% |
Somewhat likely | 19% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 0% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 72% | 19% | 25% | 8% | 19% | 22% | 15% | 22% | 19% | 17% | 20% | 32% | 26% | 18% | 6% | 28% | 13% | 25% | 15% | 20% | 29% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 21% | 22% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 9% | 18% | 30% | 4% | 27% | 17% | 32% | 30% | 17% | 2% | 19% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 31% | 22% | 15% | 7% | 31% | 31% | 16% | 5% |
Not very likely | 5% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 21% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 0% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 14% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
Not at all likely | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 27% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 19% | 0% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
BOTTOM 2 BOX | 9% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 31% | 4% | 6% | 18% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 5% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 16% | 27% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 19% | 5% | 19% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 4% |
Not sure | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q14: Do you think things in New York City are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Right direction | 30% | 30% | 35% | 22% | 28% | 38% | 43% | 32% | 38% | 17% | 0% | 19% | 35% | 26% | 24% | 34% | 22% | 30% | 33% | 24% | 45% | 8% | 26% | 32% | 29% | 44% | 51% | 20% | 17% | 48% | 19% | 26% | 33% | 28% | 36% | 0% | 37% | 26% | 24% | 27% | 43% | 27% | 29% | 41% | 28% | 22% | 32% | 25% | 80% | 65% | 20% | 22% | 11% | 45% | 59% | 26% | 28% | 50% | 55% | 20% | 16% | 40% | 44% | 14% | 19% |
Wrong track | 59% | 60% | 51% | 73% | 72% | 0% | 49% | 60% | 59% | 70% | 100% | 58% | 59% | 60% | 28% | 56% | 65% | 59% | 55% | 66% | 47% | 80% | 63% | 56% | 62% | 48% | 38% | 71% | 69% | 42% | 70% | 69% | 56% | 54% | 55% | 100% | 56% | 61% | 64% | 61% | 49% | 63% | 60% | 50% | 60% | 65% | 57% | 62% | 13% | 31% | 73% | 66% | 88% | 49% | 32% | 63% | 44% | 41% | 33% | 74% | 67% | 54% | 39% | 78% | 71% |
Not sure | 11% | 10% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 61% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 13% | 0% | 23% | 5% | 14% | 48% | 9% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 9% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 0% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 29% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 16% | 6% | 16% | 8% | 10% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15: SUMMARY VERY FAVORABLE - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Hillary Clinton | 27% | 33% | 13% | 9% | 0% | 50% | 30% | 18% | 25% | 40% | 97% | 17% | 30% | 29% | 0% | 40% | 12% | 4% | 21% | 39% | 36% | 10% | 25% | 25% | 29% | 13% | 34% | 39% | 16% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 28% | 32% | 16% | 30% | 36% | 21% | 27% | 18% | 39% | 39% | 22% | 22% | 32% | 32% | 32% | 8% | 17% | 44% | 25% | 7% | 10% | 37% | 5% | 26% | 35% | 15% | 41% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 41% | 43% | 21% |
Donald Trump | 22% | 25% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 47% | 34% | 11% | 3% | 12% | 26% | 20% | 10% | 9% | 24% | 72% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 48% | 25% | 28% | 18% | 6% | 24% | 26% | 25% | 17% | 26% | 15% | 32% | 10% | 18% | 0% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 24% | 26% | 9% | 17% | 56% | 35% | 5% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 19% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 20% | 26% | 23% | 24% | 12% | 28% | 31% | 33% | 11% | 23% | 20% | 17% |
Andrew Cuomo | 22% | 24% | 17% | 20% | 5% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 50% | 0% | 8% | 27% | 19% | 15% | 28% | 16% | 9% | 25% | 32% | 16% | 10% | 22% | 24% | 20% | 12% | 25% | 30% | 16% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 60% | 18% | 25% | 26% | 21% | 17% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 29% | 27% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 18% | 36% | 15% | 0% | 26% | 7% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 27% | 37% | 13% | 5% | 33% | 25% | 18% |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 20% | 21% | 12% | 34% | 0% | 50% | 32% | 4% | 13% | 24% | 0% | 21% | 22% | 14% | 0% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 15% | 29% | 25% | 14% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 16% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 15% | 22% | 25% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 19% | 29% | 18% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 26% | 17% | 31% | 41% | 14% | 0% | 18% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 25% | 33% | 17% | 13% | 22% | 20% | 14% |
Zohran Mamdani | 20% | 23% | 12% | 3% | 5% | 19% | 58% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 29% | 9% | 0% | 26% | 14% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 14% | 23% | 19% | 20% | 42% | 27% | 14% | 8% | 32% | 11% | 22% | 13% | 24% | 37% | 36% | 26% | 15% | 20% | 17% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 32% | 41% | 29% | 24% | 12% | 20% | 14% | 19% | 44% | 36% | 28% | 18% | 6% | 34% | 28% | 9% | 9% |
Curtis Sliwa | 16% | 21% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 46% | 11% | 12% | 0% | 2% | 24% | 10% | 0% | 13% | 11% | 41% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 7% | 11% | 21% | 22% | 9% | 21% | 9% | 26% | 5% | 8% | 0% | 14% | 18% | 12% | 21% | 18% | 9% | 14% | 36% | 23% | 4% | 25% | 12% | 1% | 14% | 11% | 3% | 12% | 18% | 3% | 17% | 0% | 11% | 17% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 20% |
Al Sharpton | 15% | 18% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 19% | 20% | 7% | 16% | 19% | 0% | 12% | 18% | 13% | 0% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 14% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 11% | 11% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 32% | 9% | 23% | 16% | 15% | 19% | 13% | 12% | 21% | 13% | 12% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 17% | 31% | 11% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 14% | 34% | 27% | 31% | 27% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 8% | 16% |
Jessica Tisch | 15% | 18% | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 18% | 30% | 14% | 0% | 6% | 16% | 18% | 0% | 18% | 12% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 4% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 21% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 28% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 8% | 29% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 13% | 21% | 15% | 14% | 6% | 16% | 16% | 17% |
Eric Adams | 7% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 12% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 3% | 0% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 2% | 2% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15: SUMMARY TOTAL FAVORABLE - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | 56% | 53% | 54% | 21% | 50% | 68% | 25% | 50% | 74% | 97% | 44% | 56% | 56% | 67% | 73% | 36% | 9% | 51% | 70% | 65% | 23% | 50% | 47% | 60% | 55% | 61% | 54% | 47% | 59% | 51% | 56% | 47% | 67% | 60% | 73% | 61% | 49% | 57% | 44% | 62% | 74% | 48% | 36% | 51% | 65% | 53% | 29% | 46% | 89% | 63% | 49% | 40% | 64% | 33% | 53% | 61% | 47% | 71% | 40% | 34% | 50% | 67% | 61% | 62% |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 50% | 51% | 53% | 52% | 11% | 50% | 69% | 24% | 41% | 57% | 97% | 53% | 51% | 51% | 6% | 64% | 39% | 13% | 48% | 54% | 62% | 23% | 49% | 48% | 52% | 64% | 57% | 45% | 42% | 60% | 44% | 57% | 45% | 53% | 61% | 48% | 58% | 45% | 49% | 50% | 52% | 70% | 46% | 34% | 47% | 68% | 41% | 53% | 54% | 80% | 58% | 37% | 26% | 66% | 39% | 48% | 37% | 50% | 58% | 48% | 39% | 64% | 57% | 43% | 46% |
Andrew Cuomo | 47% | 49% | 47% | 50% | 27% | 20% | 40% | 28% | 41% | 88% | 97% | 31% | 50% | 52% | 34% | 55% | 39% | 29% | 52% | 55% | 45% | 28% | 45% | 51% | 45% | 34% | 61% | 55% | 34% | 51% | 45% | 44% | 46% | 58% | 31% | 67% | 45% | 49% | 51% | 40% | 51% | 48% | 49% | 42% | 53% | 51% | 37% | 25% | 30% | 67% | 50% | 43% | 44% | 62% | 41% | 45% | 49% | 46% | 68% | 53% | 39% | 29% | 69% | 52% | 30% |
Curtis Sliwa | 47% | 53% | 37% | 39% | 18% | 0% | 30% | 88% | 60% | 36% | 3% | 24% | 50% | 53% | 55% | 37% | 50% | 83% | 52% | 46% | 40% | 61% | 44% | 59% | 37% | 26% | 50% | 52% | 51% | 41% | 51% | 47% | 61% | 26% | 31% | 0% | 48% | 47% | 38% | 51% | 55% | 30% | 47% | 80% | 58% | 48% | 48% | 22% | 36% | 52% | 41% | 31% | 14% | 71% | 42% | 43% | 27% | 43% | 62% | 57% | 68% | 25% | 43% | 48% | 33% |
Al Sharpton | 43% | 47% | 36% | 34% | 30% | 19% | 54% | 26% | 40% | 56% | 0% | 33% | 44% | 49% | 18% | 57% | 33% | 11% | 43% | 55% | 56% | 14% | 35% | 47% | 40% | 28% | 55% | 45% | 39% | 45% | 42% | 40% | 36% | 65% | 33% | 64% | 49% | 39% | 46% | 35% | 49% | 49% | 42% | 38% | 43% | 48% | 38% | 21% | 37% | 78% | 74% | 26% | 58% | 62% | 41% | 40% | 34% | 52% | 70% | 40% | 32% | 20% | 46% | 48% | 46% |
Zohran Mamdani | 42% | 42% | 48% | 40% | 21% | 19% | 87% | 14% | 27% | 33% | 97% | 30% | 48% | 36% | 40% | 52% | 36% | 15% | 43% | 39% | 51% | 28% | 40% | 39% | 45% | 65% | 59% | 36% | 22% | 61% | 30% | 51% | 32% | 50% | 58% | 43% | 47% | 39% | 43% | 39% | 45% | 57% | 37% | 32% | 39% | 41% | 21% | 45% | 53% | 88% | 71% | 41% | 14% | 53% | 37% | 40% | 54% | 59% | 68% | 26% | 15% | 58% | 58% | 36% | 30% |
Donald Trump | 38% | 39% | 43% | 28% | 23% | 50% | 26% | 71% | 59% | 18% | 3% | 27% | 42% | 36% | 65% | 21% | 47% | 90% | 33% | 31% | 36% | 73% | 40% | 47% | 32% | 20% | 51% | 39% | 36% | 40% | 38% | 33% | 50% | 21% | 32% | 0% | 39% | 38% | 32% | 40% | 45% | 21% | 33% | 78% | 49% | 34% | 33% | 17% | 25% | 53% | 32% | 24% | 40% | 44% | 51% | 36% | 49% | 36% | 55% | 47% | 45% | 29% | 42% | 31% | 26% |
Jessica Tisch | 38% | 44% | 28% | 10% | 8% | 0% | 32% | 40% | 54% | 36% | 97% | 32% | 40% | 39% | 0% | 39% | 37% | 37% | 34% | 30% | 57% | 33% | 33% | 42% | 34% | 22% | 46% | 42% | 35% | 37% | 38% | 41% | 43% | 27% | 30% | 30% | 45% | 33% | 32% | 30% | 56% | 39% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 30% | 48% | 9% | 33% | 63% | 27% | 31% | 14% | 56% | 43% | 34% | 14% | 35% | 53% | 48% | 32% | 23% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
Eric Adams | 37% | 39% | 39% | 15% | 18% | 0% | 31% | 39% | 76% | 28% | 3% | 23% | 35% | 48% | 28% | 33% | 44% | 43% | 36% | 40% | 38% | 40% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 32% | 47% | 37% | 30% | 42% | 34% | 34% | 41% | 35% | 29% | 0% | 41% | 34% | 29% | 35% | 51% | 22% | 39% | 58% | 40% | 43% | 37% | 11% | 18% | 58% | 45% | 22% | 37% | 47% | 50% | 34% | 32% | 49% | 57% | 32% | 34% | 21% | 49% | 36% | 25% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15: SUMMARY VERY UNFAVORABLE - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Donald Trump | 51% | 53% | 42% | 48% | 52% | 50% | 65% | 14% | 31% | 74% | 97% | 59% | 49% | 50% | 35% | 67% | 40% | 5% | 53% | 55% | 50% | 25% | 54% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 39% | 49% | 59% | 46% | 54% | 56% | 39% | 67% | 54% | 91% | 51% | 50% | 58% | 47% | 44% | 73% | 49% | 15% | 43% | 52% | 53% | 72% | 42% | 41% | 66% | 57% | 59% | 41% | 21% | 55% | 39% | 41% | 29% | 41% | 52% | 56% | 51% | 57% | 67% |
Eric Adams | 33% | 36% | 25% | 12% | 48% | 0% | 47% | 30% | 4% | 39% | 0% | 31% | 40% | 21% | 11% | 34% | 34% | 25% | 37% | 39% | 22% | 32% | 35% | 28% | 38% | 36% | 22% | 38% | 35% | 28% | 37% | 32% | 28% | 35% | 47% | 95% | 33% | 33% | 41% | 34% | 20% | 44% | 33% | 13% | 31% | 33% | 34% | 52% | 14% | 21% | 32% | 38% | 44% | 22% | 14% | 36% | 34% | 23% | 18% | 39% | 28% | 40% | 24% | 43% | 42% |
Zohran Mamdani | 31% | 37% | 15% | 12% | 29% | 31% | 2% | 60% | 46% | 33% | 3% | 24% | 32% | 35% | 10% | 17% | 38% | 75% | 29% | 23% | 21% | 62% | 37% | 35% | 28% | 7% | 12% | 34% | 57% | 10% | 45% | 17% | 49% | 10% | 14% | 30% | 30% | 32% | 25% | 38% | 31% | 15% | 33% | 53% | 36% | 25% | 54% | 26% | 6% | 5% | 13% | 24% | 21% | 25% | 37% | 33% | 0% | 11% | 5% | 38% | 67% | 14% | 12% | 38% | 46% |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 26% | 31% | 10% | 19% | 35% | 0% | 9% | 54% | 41% | 15% | 3% | 21% | 27% | 28% | 10% | 11% | 38% | 69% | 25% | 19% | 20% | 48% | 30% | 32% | 21% | 6% | 9% | 35% | 42% | 8% | 38% | 22% | 39% | 5% | 19% | 0% | 25% | 27% | 18% | 33% | 29% | 8% | 29% | 49% | 30% | 14% | 42% | 32% | 1% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 17% | 8% | 39% | 53% | 6% | 13% | 34% | 30% |
Al Sharpton | 26% | 30% | 14% | 14% | 30% | 31% | 12% | 52% | 39% | 12% | 3% | 22% | 28% | 24% | 10% | 12% | 36% | 67% | 25% | 17% | 17% | 46% | 32% | 31% | 21% | 11% | 11% | 33% | 38% | 11% | 35% | 27% | 37% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 25% | 27% | 21% | 31% | 26% | 11% | 28% | 45% | 29% | 19% | 40% | 36% | 7% | 0% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 33% | 28% | 22% | 20% | 9% | 44% | 44% | 11% | 11% | 31% | 31% |
Hillary Clinton | 26% | 30% | 12% | 14% | 44% | 0% | 12% | 57% | 39% | 4% | 3% | 26% | 27% | 24% | 10% | 10% | 34% | 75% | 26% | 19% | 17% | 47% | 30% | 31% | 21% | 12% | 15% | 31% | 37% | 14% | 34% | 28% | 37% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 22% | 29% | 22% | 34% | 22% | 5% | 28% | 53% | 31% | 13% | 38% | 30% | 2% | 4% | 23% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 32% | 27% | 0% | 24% | 8% | 45% | 41% | 15% | 11% | 25% | 33% |
Andrew Cuomo | 23% | 24% | 13% | 27% | 30% | 31% | 30% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 23% | 28% | 12% | 0% | 17% | 27% | 40% | 21% | 24% | 12% | 34% | 29% | 26% | 20% | 32% | 15% | 19% | 29% | 21% | 24% | 26% | 24% | 13% | 33% | 0% | 21% | 24% | 21% | 30% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 30% | 23% | 13% | 26% | 41% | 20% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 26% | 12% | 19% | 25% | 17% | 23% | 16% | 23% | 38% | 32% | 9% | 18% | 20% |
Curtis Sliwa | 19% | 21% | 9% | 19% | 29% | 50% | 24% | 1% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 19% | 14% | 0% | 24% | 17% | 4% | 22% | 19% | 19% | 8% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 12% | 18% | 31% | 12% | 24% | 22% | 17% | 22% | 6% | 87% | 25% | 15% | 24% | 13% | 18% | 28% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 7% | 33% | 39% | 10% | 7% | 30% | 26% | 0% | 13% | 15% | 21% | 0% | 21% | 8% | 24% | 18% | 6% | 18% | 13% | 45% |
Jessica Tisch | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 16% | 10% | 17% | 3% | 13% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 14% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 3% | 10% | 18% | 6% | 1% | 17% | 6% | 0% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 4% | 15% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 4% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15: SUMMARY TOTAL UNFAVORABLE - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Donald Trump | 60% | 60% | 55% | 72% | 77% | 50% | 73% | 28% | 41% | 82% | 97% | 67% | 57% | 63% | 35% | 76% | 53% | 9% | 64% | 69% | 61% | 27% | 60% | 51% | 67% | 75% | 47% | 61% | 63% | 57% | 62% | 65% | 48% | 77% | 67% | 99% | 59% | 60% | 65% | 58% | 55% | 77% | 65% | 22% | 49% | 63% | 64% | 83% | 75% | 47% | 68% | 75% | 60% | 53% | 49% | 62% | 51% | 57% | 41% | 53% | 55% | 70% | 58% | 69% | 71% |
Eric Adams | 56% | 56% | 48% | 75% | 71% | 51% | 63% | 61% | 18% | 64% | 97% | 58% | 61% | 45% | 29% | 58% | 52% | 56% | 58% | 57% | 49% | 60% | 58% | 55% | 58% | 54% | 46% | 59% | 62% | 49% | 61% | 62% | 53% | 52% | 61% | 95% | 54% | 58% | 62% | 58% | 45% | 70% | 53% | 42% | 53% | 47% | 56% | 87% | 73% | 39% | 54% | 65% | 44% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 47% | 36% | 67% | 63% | 64% | 45% | 59% | 62% |
Andrew Cuomo | 45% | 47% | 36% | 40% | 70% | 31% | 53% | 70% | 53% | 6% | 3% | 49% | 47% | 42% | 12% | 37% | 55% | 66% | 39% | 41% | 46% | 68% | 48% | 44% | 46% | 56% | 35% | 41% | 54% | 43% | 47% | 48% | 49% | 31% | 60% | 7% | 48% | 44% | 37% | 56% | 45% | 46% | 42% | 55% | 42% | 39% | 56% | 69% | 62% | 32% | 33% | 43% | 46% | 32% | 51% | 48% | 32% | 47% | 29% | 44% | 55% | 59% | 28% | 43% | 53% |
Zohran Mamdani | 45% | 50% | 33% | 14% | 62% | 32% | 7% | 81% | 64% | 47% | 3% | 41% | 43% | 53% | 25% | 36% | 48% | 80% | 42% | 46% | 36% | 65% | 49% | 50% | 41% | 24% | 25% | 51% | 67% | 25% | 59% | 35% | 61% | 26% | 23% | 35% | 45% | 45% | 39% | 51% | 46% | 31% | 48% | 63% | 50% | 42% | 73% | 38% | 39% | 7% | 15% | 36% | 32% | 43% | 63% | 45% | 27% | 34% | 24% | 58% | 72% | 26% | 26% | 50% | 61% |
Al Sharpton | 42% | 44% | 36% | 44% | 53% | 31% | 24% | 67% | 54% | 32% | 100% | 44% | 43% | 41% | 22% | 29% | 53% | 82% | 42% | 30% | 31% | 77% | 49% | 46% | 40% | 34% | 28% | 47% | 54% | 30% | 51% | 47% | 54% | 18% | 25% | 35% | 37% | 46% | 37% | 51% | 40% | 31% | 45% | 58% | 46% | 37% | 55% | 58% | 42% | 14% | 23% | 37% | 23% | 34% | 59% | 43% | 47% | 39% | 23% | 55% | 60% | 35% | 30% | 44% | 49% |
Hillary Clinton | 39% | 39% | 36% | 27% | 67% | 31% | 25% | 71% | 49% | 18% | 3% | 41% | 40% | 36% | 21% | 22% | 55% | 83% | 39% | 28% | 30% | 71% | 43% | 44% | 35% | 37% | 30% | 42% | 46% | 32% | 44% | 41% | 49% | 17% | 32% | 27% | 36% | 42% | 32% | 51% | 36% | 21% | 43% | 60% | 43% | 29% | 44% | 56% | 54% | 10% | 31% | 33% | 41% | 34% | 59% | 40% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 54% | 53% | 40% | 25% | 36% | 38% |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 37% | 40% | 26% | 26% | 66% | 0% | 18% | 71% | 49% | 25% | 3% | 31% | 37% | 40% | 65% | 22% | 52% | 77% | 42% | 31% | 28% | 58% | 38% | 44% | 32% | 18% | 27% | 44% | 49% | 24% | 46% | 40% | 50% | 12% | 27% | 16% | 37% | 38% | 30% | 41% | 44% | 19% | 42% | 59% | 41% | 20% | 57% | 45% | 44% | 17% | 23% | 30% | 21% | 30% | 59% | 38% | 28% | 36% | 29% | 48% | 58% | 17% | 30% | 40% | 39% |
Curtis Sliwa | 33% | 32% | 31% | 30% | 53% | 50% | 40% | 10% | 28% | 41% | 97% | 43% | 32% | 30% | 16% | 37% | 36% | 12% | 34% | 28% | 34% | 22% | 36% | 30% | 35% | 36% | 26% | 29% | 41% | 30% | 34% | 32% | 28% | 36% | 40% | 99% | 39% | 28% | 37% | 29% | 31% | 43% | 33% | 14% | 23% | 30% | 38% | 64% | 40% | 35% | 39% | 36% | 23% | 22% | 52% | 34% | 32% | 44% | 24% | 32% | 27% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 56% |
Jessica Tisch | 21% | 19% | 22% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 21% | 33% | 18% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 23% | 17% | 64% | 19% | 20% | 28% | 23% | 31% | 12% | 28% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 33% | 22% | 22% | 12% | 26% | 17% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 23% | 18% | 27% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 10% | 20% | 34% | 40% | 20% | 34% | 9% | 10% | 25% | 46% | 18% | 27% | 45% | 15% | 23% | 9% | 25% | 28% | 18% | 14% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15: SUMMARY NOT SURE - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Jessica Tisch | 42% | 37% | 50% | 65% | 42% | 100% | 47% | 27% | 27% | 47% | 0% | 57% | 37% | 43% | 35% | 42% | 43% | 35% | 43% | 38% | 31% | 39% | 50% | 38% | 45% | 46% | 33% | 36% | 54% | 38% | 44% | 32% | 36% | 59% | 50% | 51% | 38% | 44% | 50% | 43% | 27% | 41% | 47% | 27% | 37% | 60% | 32% | 56% | 26% | 17% | 39% | 60% | 76% | 19% | 10% | 48% | 58% | 21% | 32% | 29% | 59% | 52% | 34% | 44% | 48% |
Curtis Sliwa | 20% | 15% | 33% | 32% | 30% | 49% | 30% | 1% | 12% | 23% | 0% | 33% | 18% | 17% | 29% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 25% | 17% | 20% | 11% | 28% | 38% | 24% | 20% | 8% | 29% | 14% | 21% | 11% | 38% | 29% | 1% | 13% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 27% | 20% | 5% | 19% | 22% | 14% | 15% | 24% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 63% | 7% | 6% | 23% | 41% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 5% | 46% | 28% | 27% | 11% |
Al Sharpton | 14% | 9% | 28% | 23% | 17% | 49% | 22% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 0% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 61% | 15% | 14% | 7% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 20% | 38% | 18% | 7% | 7% | 25% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 17% | 42% | 1% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 20% | 13% | 3% | 11% | 15% | 8% | 21% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 37% | 19% | 5% | 0% | 17% | 19% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 44% | 24% | 8% | 5% |
Zohran Mamdani | 13% | 8% | 19% | 45% | 17% | 49% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 20% | 0% | 29% | 9% | 11% | 35% | 13% | 16% | 5% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 6% | 24% | 19% | 22% | 8% | 16% | 17% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 6% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 23% | 54% | 4% | 0% | 15% | 19% | 7% | 8% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 9% |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 12% | 8% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 49% | 13% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 0% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 29% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 10% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 35% | 11% | 36% | 5% | 17% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 19% | 33% | 52% | 3% | 2% | 14% | 36% | 14% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 19% | 13% | 17% | 15% |
Andrew Cuomo | 7% | 4% | 17% | 10% | 3% | 49% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 20% | 3% | 6% | 54% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 26% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 3% | 5% | 17% |
Eric Adams | 7% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 49% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 18% | 3% | 7% | 44% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 19% | 2% | 0% | 8% | 19% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 13% |
Hillary Clinton | 7% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 12% | 19% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 0% | 14% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 16% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 18% | 19% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 0% |
Donald Trump | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15r1: Donald Trump - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
TOP 2 BOX | 38% | 39% | 43% | 28% | 23% | 50% | 26% | 71% | 59% | 18% | 3% | 27% | 42% | 36% | 65% | 21% | 47% | 90% | 33% | 31% | 36% | 73% | 40% | 47% | 32% | 20% | 51% | 39% | 36% | 40% | 38% | 33% | 50% | 21% | 32% | 0% | 39% | 38% | 32% | 40% | 45% | 21% | 33% | 78% | 49% | 34% | 33% | 17% | 25% | 53% | 32% | 24% | 40% | 44% | 51% | 36% | 49% | 36% | 55% | 47% | 45% | 29% | 42% | 31% | 26% |
Very favorable | 22% | 25% | 15% | 6% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 47% | 34% | 11% | 3% | 12% | 26% | 20% | 10% | 9% | 24% | 72% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 48% | 25% | 28% | 18% | 6% | 24% | 26% | 25% | 17% | 26% | 15% | 32% | 10% | 18% | 0% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 24% | 26% | 9% | 17% | 56% | 35% | 5% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 19% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 20% | 26% | 23% | 24% | 12% | 28% | 31% | 33% | 11% | 23% | 20% | 17% |
Somewhat favorable | 16% | 13% | 28% | 22% | 0% | 30% | 15% | 23% | 25% | 7% | 0% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 55% | 12% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 16% | 19% | 14% | 15% | 28% | 13% | 10% | 23% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 11% | 14% | 0% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 15% | 28% | 14% | 2% | 17% | 33% | 11% | 11% | 31% | 25% | 25% | 14% | 24% | 24% | 28% | 16% | 11% | 18% | 19% | 11% | 9% |
Somewhat unfavorable | 9% | 7% | 12% | 24% | 25% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 0% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 0% | 10% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 8% | 12% | 4% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 4% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 18% | 0% | 12% | 29% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 14% | 7% | 11% | 4% |
Very unfavorable | 51% | 53% | 42% | 48% | 52% | 50% | 65% | 14% | 31% | 74% | 97% | 59% | 49% | 50% | 35% | 67% | 40% | 5% | 53% | 55% | 50% | 25% | 54% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 39% | 49% | 59% | 46% | 54% | 56% | 39% | 67% | 54% | 91% | 51% | 50% | 58% | 47% | 44% | 73% | 49% | 15% | 43% | 52% | 53% | 72% | 42% | 41% | 66% | 57% | 59% | 41% | 21% | 55% | 39% | 41% | 29% | 41% | 52% | 56% | 51% | 57% | 67% |
BOTTOM 2 BOX | 60% | 60% | 55% | 72% | 77% | 50% | 73% | 28% | 41% | 82% | 97% | 67% | 57% | 63% | 35% | 76% | 53% | 9% | 64% | 69% | 61% | 27% | 60% | 51% | 67% | 75% | 47% | 61% | 63% | 57% | 62% | 65% | 48% | 77% | 67% | 99% | 59% | 60% | 65% | 58% | 55% | 77% | 65% | 22% | 49% | 63% | 64% | 83% | 75% | 47% | 68% | 75% | 60% | 53% | 49% | 62% | 51% | 57% | 41% | 53% | 55% | 70% | 58% | 69% | 71% |
Not sure | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15r2: Eric Adams - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
TOP 2 BOX | 37% | 39% | 39% | 15% | 18% | 0% | 31% | 39% | 76% | 28% | 3% | 23% | 35% | 48% | 28% | 33% | 44% | 43% | 36% | 40% | 38% | 40% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 32% | 47% | 37% | 30% | 42% | 34% | 34% | 41% | 35% | 29% | 0% | 41% | 34% | 29% | 35% | 51% | 22% | 39% | 58% | 40% | 43% | 37% | 11% | 18% | 58% | 45% | 22% | 37% | 47% | 50% | 34% | 32% | 49% | 57% | 32% | 34% | 21% | 49% | 36% | 25% |
Very favorable | 7% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 12% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 3% | 0% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 2% | 2% |
Somewhat favorable | 29% | 31% | 33% | 15% | 13% | 0% | 21% | 33% | 68% | 18% | 3% | 21% | 26% | 42% | 28% | 26% | 37% | 34% | 26% | 29% | 31% | 35% | 30% | 34% | 25% | 24% | 33% | 30% | 28% | 30% | 29% | 26% | 35% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 34% | 26% | 20% | 29% | 42% | 13% | 34% | 47% | 33% | 31% | 33% | 10% | 10% | 46% | 28% | 19% | 37% | 36% | 42% | 27% | 27% | 38% | 45% | 25% | 32% | 14% | 29% | 34% | 23% |
Somewhat unfavorable | 23% | 20% | 24% | 63% | 23% | 51% | 16% | 31% | 15% | 26% | 97% | 27% | 22% | 24% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 31% | 21% | 18% | 28% | 28% | 23% | 27% | 20% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 28% | 22% | 24% | 31% | 25% | 17% | 14% | 1% | 21% | 25% | 22% | 24% | 25% | 26% | 20% | 28% | 22% | 14% | 23% | 35% | 58% | 18% | 22% | 27% | 0% | 28% | 37% | 22% | 16% | 24% | 18% | 28% | 35% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 20% |
Very unfavorable | 33% | 36% | 25% | 12% | 48% | 0% | 47% | 30% | 4% | 39% | 0% | 31% | 40% | 21% | 11% | 34% | 34% | 25% | 37% | 39% | 22% | 32% | 35% | 28% | 38% | 36% | 22% | 38% | 35% | 28% | 37% | 32% | 28% | 35% | 47% | 95% | 33% | 33% | 41% | 34% | 20% | 44% | 33% | 13% | 31% | 33% | 34% | 52% | 14% | 21% | 32% | 38% | 44% | 22% | 14% | 36% | 34% | 23% | 18% | 39% | 28% | 40% | 24% | 43% | 42% |
BOTTOM 2 BOX | 56% | 56% | 48% | 75% | 71% | 51% | 63% | 61% | 18% | 64% | 97% | 58% | 61% | 45% | 29% | 58% | 52% | 56% | 58% | 57% | 49% | 60% | 58% | 55% | 58% | 54% | 46% | 59% | 62% | 49% | 61% | 62% | 53% | 52% | 61% | 95% | 54% | 58% | 62% | 58% | 45% | 70% | 53% | 42% | 53% | 47% | 56% | 87% | 73% | 39% | 54% | 65% | 44% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 47% | 36% | 67% | 63% | 64% | 45% | 59% | 62% |
Not sure | 7% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 49% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 18% | 3% | 7% | 44% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 19% | 2% | 0% | 8% | 19% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 13% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15r3: Andrew Cuomo - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
TOP 2 BOX | 47% | 49% | 47% | 50% | 27% | 20% | 40% | 28% | 41% | 88% | 97% | 31% | 50% | 52% | 34% | 55% | 39% | 29% | 52% | 55% | 45% | 28% | 45% | 51% | 45% | 34% | 61% | 55% | 34% | 51% | 45% | 44% | 46% | 58% | 31% | 67% | 45% | 49% | 51% | 40% | 51% | 48% | 49% | 42% | 53% | 51% | 37% | 25% | 30% | 67% | 50% | 43% | 44% | 62% | 41% | 45% | 49% | 46% | 68% | 53% | 39% | 29% | 69% | 52% | 30% |
Very favorable | 22% | 24% | 17% | 20% | 5% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 50% | 0% | 8% | 27% | 19% | 15% | 28% | 16% | 9% | 25% | 32% | 16% | 10% | 22% | 24% | 20% | 12% | 25% | 30% | 16% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 60% | 18% | 25% | 26% | 21% | 17% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 29% | 27% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 18% | 36% | 15% | 0% | 26% | 7% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 27% | 37% | 13% | 5% | 33% | 25% | 18% |
Somewhat favorable | 25% | 24% | 30% | 30% | 22% | 0% | 22% | 15% | 30% | 38% | 97% | 23% | 23% | 34% | 19% | 27% | 23% | 20% | 27% | 23% | 30% | 18% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 23% | 36% | 25% | 19% | 31% | 22% | 23% | 26% | 32% | 16% | 7% | 27% | 24% | 25% | 19% | 34% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | 21% | 22% | 23% | 50% | 14% | 29% | 44% | 36% | 34% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 40% | 16% | 26% | 24% | 36% | 26% | 11% |
Somewhat unfavorable | 23% | 23% | 23% | 13% | 40% | 0% | 23% | 28% | 42% | 4% | 0% | 26% | 19% | 29% | 12% | 20% | 28% | 26% | 18% | 17% | 33% | 34% | 19% | 18% | 26% | 24% | 21% | 22% | 25% | 22% | 23% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 27% | 7% | 27% | 20% | 16% | 26% | 29% | 24% | 21% | 25% | 19% | 26% | 30% | 28% | 42% | 15% | 12% | 26% | 19% | 20% | 32% | 23% | 15% | 24% | 13% | 21% | 17% | 28% | 19% | 25% | 33% |
Very unfavorable | 23% | 24% | 13% | 27% | 30% | 31% | 30% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 23% | 28% | 12% | 0% | 17% | 27% | 40% | 21% | 24% | 12% | 34% | 29% | 26% | 20% | 32% | 15% | 19% | 29% | 21% | 24% | 26% | 24% | 13% | 33% | 0% | 21% | 24% | 21% | 30% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 30% | 23% | 13% | 26% | 41% | 20% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 26% | 12% | 19% | 25% | 17% | 23% | 16% | 23% | 38% | 32% | 9% | 18% | 20% |
BOTTOM 2 BOX | 45% | 47% | 36% | 40% | 70% | 31% | 53% | 70% | 53% | 6% | 3% | 49% | 47% | 42% | 12% | 37% | 55% | 66% | 39% | 41% | 46% | 68% | 48% | 44% | 46% | 56% | 35% | 41% | 54% | 43% | 47% | 48% | 49% | 31% | 60% | 7% | 48% | 44% | 37% | 56% | 45% | 46% | 42% | 55% | 42% | 39% | 56% | 69% | 62% | 32% | 33% | 43% | 46% | 32% | 51% | 48% | 32% | 47% | 29% | 44% | 55% | 59% | 28% | 43% | 53% |
Not sure | 7% | 4% | 17% | 10% | 3% | 49% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 20% | 3% | 6% | 54% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 26% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 3% | 5% | 17% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15r4: Zohran Mamdani - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
TOP 2 BOX | 42% | 42% | 48% | 40% | 21% | 19% | 87% | 14% | 27% | 33% | 97% | 30% | 48% | 36% | 40% | 52% | 36% | 15% | 43% | 39% | 51% | 28% | 40% | 39% | 45% | 65% | 59% | 36% | 22% | 61% | 30% | 51% | 32% | 50% | 58% | 43% | 47% | 39% | 43% | 39% | 45% | 57% | 37% | 32% | 39% | 41% | 21% | 45% | 53% | 88% | 71% | 41% | 14% | 53% | 37% | 40% | 54% | 59% | 68% | 26% | 15% | 58% | 58% | 36% | 30% |
Very favorable | 20% | 23% | 12% | 3% | 5% | 19% | 58% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 29% | 9% | 0% | 26% | 14% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 14% | 23% | 19% | 20% | 42% | 27% | 14% | 8% | 32% | 11% | 22% | 13% | 24% | 37% | 36% | 26% | 15% | 20% | 17% | 23% | 32% | 14% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 32% | 41% | 29% | 24% | 12% | 20% | 14% | 19% | 44% | 36% | 28% | 18% | 6% | 34% | 28% | 9% | 9% |
Somewhat favorable | 23% | 19% | 36% | 37% | 16% | 0% | 29% | 9% | 21% | 25% | 97% | 27% | 19% | 27% | 40% | 26% | 22% | 9% | 28% | 19% | 27% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 25% | 23% | 33% | 21% | 15% | 29% | 18% | 29% | 19% | 26% | 21% | 7% | 21% | 24% | 23% | 22% | 23% | 25% | 23% | 20% | 23% | 25% | 7% | 31% | 21% | 46% | 42% | 16% | 2% | 33% | 23% | 21% | 10% | 24% | 40% | 9% | 9% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 21% |
Somewhat unfavorable | 14% | 13% | 19% | 2% | 33% | 1% | 4% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 0% | 17% | 12% | 17% | 15% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 16% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 19% | 12% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 33% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 11% | 18% | 26% | 12% | 27% | 23% | 18% | 20% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 16% |
Very unfavorable | 31% | 37% | 15% | 12% | 29% | 31% | 2% | 60% | 46% | 33% | 3% | 24% | 32% | 35% | 10% | 17% | 38% | 75% | 29% | 23% | 21% | 62% | 37% | 35% | 28% | 7% | 12% | 34% | 57% | 10% | 45% | 17% | 49% | 10% | 14% | 30% | 30% | 32% | 25% | 38% | 31% | 15% | 33% | 53% | 36% | 25% | 54% | 26% | 6% | 5% | 13% | 24% | 21% | 25% | 37% | 33% | 0% | 11% | 5% | 38% | 67% | 14% | 12% | 38% | 46% |
BOTTOM 2 BOX | 45% | 50% | 33% | 14% | 62% | 32% | 7% | 81% | 64% | 47% | 3% | 41% | 43% | 53% | 25% | 36% | 48% | 80% | 42% | 46% | 36% | 65% | 49% | 50% | 41% | 24% | 25% | 51% | 67% | 25% | 59% | 35% | 61% | 26% | 23% | 35% | 45% | 45% | 39% | 51% | 46% | 31% | 48% | 63% | 50% | 42% | 73% | 38% | 39% | 7% | 15% | 36% | 32% | 43% | 63% | 45% | 27% | 34% | 24% | 58% | 72% | 26% | 26% | 50% | 61% |
Not sure | 13% | 8% | 19% | 45% | 17% | 49% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 20% | 0% | 29% | 9% | 11% | 35% | 13% | 16% | 5% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 6% | 24% | 19% | 22% | 8% | 16% | 17% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 6% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 23% | 54% | 4% | 0% | 15% | 19% | 7% | 8% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 9% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15r5: Curtis Sliwa - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
TOP 2 BOX | 47% | 53% | 37% | 39% | 18% | 0% | 30% | 88% | 60% | 36% | 3% | 24% | 50% | 53% | 55% | 37% | 50% | 83% | 52% | 46% | 40% | 61% | 44% | 59% | 37% | 26% | 50% | 52% | 51% | 41% | 51% | 47% | 61% | 26% | 31% | 0% | 48% | 47% | 38% | 51% | 55% | 30% | 47% | 80% | 58% | 48% | 48% | 22% | 36% | 52% | 41% | 31% | 14% | 71% | 42% | 43% | 27% | 43% | 62% | 57% | 68% | 25% | 43% | 48% | 33% |
Very favorable | 16% | 21% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 46% | 11% | 12% | 0% | 2% | 24% | 10% | 0% | 13% | 11% | 41% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 7% | 11% | 21% | 22% | 9% | 21% | 9% | 26% | 5% | 8% | 0% | 14% | 18% | 12% | 21% | 18% | 9% | 14% | 36% | 23% | 4% | 25% | 12% | 1% | 14% | 11% | 3% | 12% | 18% | 3% | 17% | 0% | 11% | 17% | 24% | 23% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 20% |
Somewhat favorable | 31% | 32% | 29% | 39% | 18% | 0% | 23% | 42% | 48% | 24% | 3% | 21% | 27% | 43% | 55% | 24% | 39% | 42% | 38% | 31% | 28% | 37% | 23% | 39% | 24% | 20% | 39% | 31% | 29% | 32% | 30% | 37% | 34% | 21% | 23% | 0% | 34% | 29% | 27% | 31% | 37% | 21% | 33% | 45% | 35% | 44% | 23% | 10% | 35% | 38% | 30% | 28% | 2% | 53% | 39% | 26% | 27% | 32% | 45% | 33% | 44% | 20% | 33% | 29% | 13% |
Somewhat unfavorable | 13% | 11% | 22% | 11% | 23% | 0% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 97% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 19% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 12% | 14% | 25% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 34% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 24% | 5% | 24% | 30% | 28% | 10% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 37% | 12% | 32% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 9% | 23% | 11% | 13% | 10% |
Very unfavorable | 19% | 21% | 9% | 19% | 29% | 50% | 24% | 1% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 19% | 14% | 0% | 24% | 17% | 4% | 22% | 19% | 19% | 8% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 12% | 18% | 31% | 12% | 24% | 22% | 17% | 22% | 6% | 87% | 25% | 15% | 24% | 13% | 18% | 28% | 18% | 6% | 14% | 7% | 33% | 39% | 10% | 7% | 30% | 26% | 0% | 13% | 15% | 21% | 0% | 21% | 8% | 24% | 18% | 6% | 18% | 13% | 45% |
BOTTOM 2 BOX | 33% | 32% | 31% | 30% | 53% | 50% | 40% | 10% | 28% | 41% | 97% | 43% | 32% | 30% | 16% | 37% | 36% | 12% | 34% | 28% | 34% | 22% | 36% | 30% | 35% | 36% | 26% | 29% | 41% | 30% | 34% | 32% | 28% | 36% | 40% | 99% | 39% | 28% | 37% | 29% | 31% | 43% | 33% | 14% | 23% | 30% | 38% | 64% | 40% | 35% | 39% | 36% | 23% | 22% | 52% | 34% | 32% | 44% | 24% | 32% | 27% | 29% | 29% | 25% | 56% |
Not sure | 20% | 15% | 33% | 32% | 30% | 49% | 30% | 1% | 12% | 23% | 0% | 33% | 18% | 17% | 29% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 25% | 17% | 20% | 11% | 28% | 38% | 24% | 20% | 8% | 29% | 14% | 21% | 11% | 38% | 29% | 1% | 13% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 27% | 20% | 5% | 19% | 22% | 14% | 15% | 24% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 63% | 7% | 6% | 23% | 41% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 5% | 46% | 28% | 27% | 11% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15r6: Jessica Tisch - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
TOP 2 BOX | 38% | 44% | 28% | 10% | 8% | 0% | 32% | 40% | 54% | 36% | 97% | 32% | 40% | 39% | 0% | 39% | 37% | 37% | 34% | 30% | 57% | 33% | 33% | 42% | 34% | 22% | 46% | 42% | 35% | 37% | 38% | 41% | 43% | 27% | 30% | 30% | 45% | 33% | 32% | 30% | 56% | 39% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 30% | 48% | 9% | 33% | 63% | 27% | 31% | 14% | 56% | 43% | 34% | 14% | 35% | 53% | 48% | 32% | 23% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
Very favorable | 15% | 18% | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 18% | 30% | 14% | 0% | 6% | 16% | 18% | 0% | 18% | 12% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 4% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 21% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 28% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 8% | 29% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 13% | 21% | 15% | 14% | 6% | 16% | 16% | 17% |
Somewhat favorable | 23% | 26% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 0% | 22% | 22% | 25% | 23% | 97% | 26% | 24% | 21% | 0% | 21% | 25% | 27% | 22% | 13% | 40% | 19% | 18% | 26% | 20% | 18% | 28% | 25% | 20% | 24% | 23% | 25% | 24% | 19% | 24% | 30% | 24% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 29% | 25% | 18% | 34% | 26% | 22% | 19% | 9% | 28% | 51% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 35% | 32% | 21% | 10% | 22% | 33% | 34% | 18% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 21% |
Somewhat unfavorable | 12% | 9% | 16% | 15% | 38% | 0% | 14% | 20% | 9% | 7% | 0% | 5% | 11% | 13% | 64% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 9% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 20% | 5% | 11% | 12% | 8% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 16% | 34% | 19% | 18% | 3% | 10% | 14% | 35% | 10% | 15% | 25% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 17% | 18% | 7% | 11% |
Very unfavorable | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 16% | 10% | 17% | 3% | 13% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 14% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 3% | 10% | 18% | 6% | 1% | 17% | 6% | 0% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 4% | 15% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 4% |
BOTTOM 2 BOX | 21% | 19% | 22% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 21% | 33% | 18% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 23% | 17% | 64% | 19% | 20% | 28% | 23% | 31% | 12% | 28% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 33% | 22% | 22% | 12% | 26% | 17% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 23% | 18% | 27% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 10% | 20% | 34% | 40% | 20% | 34% | 9% | 10% | 25% | 46% | 18% | 27% | 45% | 15% | 23% | 9% | 25% | 28% | 18% | 14% |
Not sure | 42% | 37% | 50% | 65% | 42% | 100% | 47% | 27% | 27% | 47% | 0% | 57% | 37% | 43% | 35% | 42% | 43% | 35% | 43% | 38% | 31% | 39% | 50% | 38% | 45% | 46% | 33% | 36% | 54% | 38% | 44% | 32% | 36% | 59% | 50% | 51% | 38% | 44% | 50% | 43% | 27% | 41% | 47% | 27% | 37% | 60% | 32% | 56% | 26% | 17% | 39% | 60% | 76% | 19% | 10% | 48% | 58% | 21% | 32% | 29% | 59% | 52% | 34% | 44% | 48% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15r7: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
TOP 2 BOX | 50% | 51% | 53% | 52% | 11% | 50% | 69% | 24% | 41% | 57% | 97% | 53% | 51% | 51% | 6% | 64% | 39% | 13% | 48% | 54% | 62% | 23% | 49% | 48% | 52% | 64% | 57% | 45% | 42% | 60% | 44% | 57% | 45% | 53% | 61% | 48% | 58% | 45% | 49% | 50% | 52% | 70% | 46% | 34% | 47% | 68% | 41% | 53% | 54% | 80% | 58% | 37% | 26% | 66% | 39% | 48% | 37% | 50% | 58% | 48% | 39% | 64% | 57% | 43% | 46% |
Very favorable | 20% | 21% | 12% | 34% | 0% | 50% | 32% | 4% | 13% | 24% | 0% | 21% | 22% | 14% | 0% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 15% | 29% | 25% | 14% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 16% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 15% | 22% | 25% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 19% | 29% | 18% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 26% | 17% | 31% | 41% | 14% | 0% | 18% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 25% | 33% | 17% | 13% | 22% | 20% | 14% |
Somewhat favorable | 31% | 30% | 41% | 18% | 11% | 0% | 37% | 21% | 28% | 33% | 97% | 33% | 28% | 36% | 6% | 37% | 27% | 7% | 34% | 25% | 36% | 9% | 32% | 25% | 35% | 52% | 37% | 19% | 26% | 42% | 23% | 30% | 29% | 31% | 37% | 32% | 37% | 26% | 29% | 31% | 33% | 41% | 28% | 21% | 30% | 46% | 24% | 27% | 38% | 49% | 18% | 23% | 26% | 49% | 26% | 27% | 14% | 37% | 34% | 15% | 21% | 51% | 34% | 23% | 32% |
Somewhat unfavorable | 11% | 10% | 15% | 7% | 32% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 8% | 10% | 0% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 55% | 11% | 14% | 8% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 18% | 10% | 7% | 16% | 8% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 15% | 13% | 43% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 0% | 14% | 26% | 9% | 28% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 7% | 9% |
Very unfavorable | 26% | 31% | 10% | 19% | 35% | 0% | 9% | 54% | 41% | 15% | 3% | 21% | 27% | 28% | 10% | 11% | 38% | 69% | 25% | 19% | 20% | 48% | 30% | 32% | 21% | 6% | 9% | 35% | 42% | 8% | 38% | 22% | 39% | 5% | 19% | 0% | 25% | 27% | 18% | 33% | 29% | 8% | 29% | 49% | 30% | 14% | 42% | 32% | 1% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 17% | 8% | 39% | 53% | 6% | 13% | 34% | 30% |
BOTTOM 2 BOX | 37% | 40% | 26% | 26% | 66% | 0% | 18% | 71% | 49% | 25% | 3% | 31% | 37% | 40% | 65% | 22% | 52% | 77% | 42% | 31% | 28% | 58% | 38% | 44% | 32% | 18% | 27% | 44% | 49% | 24% | 46% | 40% | 50% | 12% | 27% | 16% | 37% | 38% | 30% | 41% | 44% | 19% | 42% | 59% | 41% | 20% | 57% | 45% | 44% | 17% | 23% | 30% | 21% | 30% | 59% | 38% | 28% | 36% | 29% | 48% | 58% | 17% | 30% | 40% | 39% |
Not sure | 12% | 8% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 49% | 13% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 0% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 29% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 10% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 35% | 11% | 36% | 5% | 17% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 19% | 33% | 52% | 3% | 2% | 14% | 36% | 14% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 19% | 13% | 17% | 15% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15r8: Al Sharpton - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
TOP 2 BOX | 43% | 47% | 36% | 34% | 30% | 19% | 54% | 26% | 40% | 56% | 0% | 33% | 44% | 49% | 18% | 57% | 33% | 11% | 43% | 55% | 56% | 14% | 35% | 47% | 40% | 28% | 55% | 45% | 39% | 45% | 42% | 40% | 36% | 65% | 33% | 64% | 49% | 39% | 46% | 35% | 49% | 49% | 42% | 38% | 43% | 48% | 38% | 21% | 37% | 78% | 74% | 26% | 58% | 62% | 41% | 40% | 34% | 52% | 70% | 40% | 32% | 20% | 46% | 48% | 46% |
Very favorable | 15% | 18% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 19% | 20% | 7% | 16% | 19% | 0% | 12% | 18% | 13% | 0% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 14% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 11% | 11% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 32% | 9% | 23% | 16% | 15% | 19% | 13% | 12% | 21% | 13% | 12% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 17% | 31% | 11% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 14% | 34% | 27% | 31% | 27% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 8% | 16% |
Somewhat favorable | 28% | 28% | 30% | 26% | 22% | 0% | 34% | 19% | 24% | 37% | 0% | 21% | 26% | 36% | 18% | 38% | 20% | 5% | 29% | 32% | 37% | 4% | 25% | 26% | 29% | 17% | 33% | 29% | 28% | 27% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 34% | 24% | 41% | 34% | 24% | 27% | 22% | 37% | 27% | 29% | 26% | 23% | 33% | 30% | 14% | 31% | 61% | 43% | 16% | 40% | 43% | 26% | 26% | 0% | 26% | 39% | 13% | 26% | 15% | 31% | 40% | 30% |
Somewhat unfavorable | 17% | 14% | 22% | 30% | 23% | 0% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 20% | 97% | 23% | 15% | 18% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 30% | 16% | 14% | 18% | 23% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 16% | 32% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 19% | 14% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 22% | 34% | 14% | 8% | 16% | 2% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 18% |
Very unfavorable | 26% | 30% | 14% | 14% | 30% | 31% | 12% | 52% | 39% | 12% | 3% | 22% | 28% | 24% | 10% | 12% | 36% | 67% | 25% | 17% | 17% | 46% | 32% | 31% | 21% | 11% | 11% | 33% | 38% | 11% | 35% | 27% | 37% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 25% | 27% | 21% | 31% | 26% | 11% | 28% | 45% | 29% | 19% | 40% | 36% | 7% | 0% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 33% | 28% | 22% | 20% | 9% | 44% | 44% | 11% | 11% | 31% | 31% |
BOTTOM 2 BOX | 42% | 44% | 36% | 44% | 53% | 31% | 24% | 67% | 54% | 32% | 100% | 44% | 43% | 41% | 22% | 29% | 53% | 82% | 42% | 30% | 31% | 77% | 49% | 46% | 40% | 34% | 28% | 47% | 54% | 30% | 51% | 47% | 54% | 18% | 25% | 35% | 37% | 46% | 37% | 51% | 40% | 31% | 45% | 58% | 46% | 37% | 55% | 58% | 42% | 14% | 23% | 37% | 23% | 34% | 59% | 43% | 47% | 39% | 23% | 55% | 60% | 35% | 30% | 44% | 49% |
Not sure | 14% | 9% | 28% | 23% | 17% | 49% | 22% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 0% | 23% | 13% | 10% | 61% | 15% | 14% | 7% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 20% | 38% | 18% | 7% | 7% | 25% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 17% | 42% | 1% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 20% | 13% | 3% | 11% | 15% | 8% | 21% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 37% | 19% | 5% | 0% | 17% | 19% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 44% | 24% | 8% | 5% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q15r9: Hillary Clinton - Here is a list of people you may have seen in the news. For each, please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
TOP 2 BOX | 54% | 56% | 53% | 54% | 21% | 50% | 68% | 25% | 50% | 74% | 97% | 44% | 56% | 56% | 67% | 73% | 36% | 9% | 51% | 70% | 65% | 23% | 50% | 47% | 60% | 55% | 61% | 54% | 47% | 59% | 51% | 56% | 47% | 67% | 60% | 73% | 61% | 49% | 57% | 44% | 62% | 74% | 48% | 36% | 51% | 65% | 53% | 29% | 46% | 89% | 63% | 49% | 40% | 64% | 33% | 53% | 61% | 47% | 71% | 40% | 34% | 50% | 67% | 61% | 62% |
Very favorable | 27% | 33% | 13% | 9% | 0% | 50% | 30% | 18% | 25% | 40% | 97% | 17% | 30% | 29% | 0% | 40% | 12% | 4% | 21% | 39% | 36% | 10% | 25% | 25% | 29% | 13% | 34% | 39% | 16% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 28% | 32% | 16% | 30% | 36% | 21% | 27% | 18% | 39% | 39% | 22% | 22% | 32% | 32% | 32% | 8% | 17% | 44% | 25% | 7% | 10% | 37% | 5% | 26% | 35% | 15% | 41% | 36% | 11% | 9% | 41% | 43% | 21% |
Somewhat favorable | 27% | 23% | 40% | 44% | 21% | 0% | 38% | 7% | 25% | 34% | 0% | 28% | 26% | 27% | 67% | 33% | 24% | 5% | 30% | 31% | 28% | 13% | 25% | 22% | 31% | 42% | 28% | 15% | 32% | 33% | 23% | 30% | 19% | 35% | 44% | 43% | 25% | 28% | 30% | 26% | 23% | 35% | 27% | 15% | 19% | 34% | 22% | 22% | 30% | 45% | 38% | 41% | 30% | 27% | 28% | 27% | 27% | 32% | 30% | 5% | 23% | 41% | 26% | 18% | 41% |
Somewhat unfavorable | 13% | 10% | 24% | 14% | 23% | 30% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 14% | 0% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 21% | 7% | 14% | 9% | 13% | 24% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 25% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 19% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 17% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 6% | 25% | 52% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 14% | 27% | 12% | 27% | 22% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 25% | 14% | 11% | 5% |
Very unfavorable | 26% | 30% | 12% | 14% | 44% | 0% | 12% | 57% | 39% | 4% | 3% | 26% | 27% | 24% | 10% | 10% | 34% | 75% | 26% | 19% | 17% | 47% | 30% | 31% | 21% | 12% | 15% | 31% | 37% | 14% | 34% | 28% | 37% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 22% | 29% | 22% | 34% | 22% | 5% | 28% | 53% | 31% | 13% | 38% | 30% | 2% | 4% | 23% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 32% | 27% | 0% | 24% | 8% | 45% | 41% | 15% | 11% | 25% | 33% |
BOTTOM 2 BOX | 39% | 39% | 36% | 27% | 67% | 31% | 25% | 71% | 49% | 18% | 3% | 41% | 40% | 36% | 21% | 22% | 55% | 83% | 39% | 28% | 30% | 71% | 43% | 44% | 35% | 37% | 30% | 42% | 46% | 32% | 44% | 41% | 49% | 17% | 32% | 27% | 36% | 42% | 32% | 51% | 36% | 21% | 43% | 60% | 43% | 29% | 44% | 56% | 54% | 10% | 31% | 33% | 41% | 34% | 59% | 40% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 54% | 53% | 40% | 25% | 36% | 38% |
Not sure | 7% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 12% | 19% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 0% | 14% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 16% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 18% | 19% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q16: As you may know, New York City will hold an election this November for mayor and other citywide offices. If the election for mayor was held today, which candidate would you vote for? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Zohran Mamdani | 26% | 27% | 32% | 8% | 18% | 19% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 34% | 26% | 11% | 35% | 20% | 5% | 28% | 22% | 31% | 16% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 52% | 43% | 17% | 9% | 46% | 13% | 31% | 20% | 28% | 47% | 36% | 35% | 20% | 24% | 25% | 31% | 40% | 21% | 17% | 24% | 27% | 13% | 36% | 28% | 57% | 31% | 29% | 12% | 23% | 12% | 27% | 44% | 59% | 41% | 15% | 6% | 46% | 35% | 15% | 13% |
Andrew Cuomo | 23% | 24% | 28% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 32% | 31% | 28% | 17% | 13% | 23% | 34% | 19% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 28% | 13% | 15% | 33% | 24% | 14% | 29% | 23% | 19% | 33% | 18% | 51% | 15% | 29% | 30% | 19% | 19% | 25% | 24% | 15% | 29% | 25% | 17% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 41% | 27% | 14% | 22% | 18% | 24% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 26% | 24% | 13% | 37% | 37% | 23% |
Curtis Sliwa | 22% | 25% | 12% | 12% | 41% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 20% | 27% | 14% | 21% | 58% | 17% | 23% | 14% | 36% | 30% | 27% | 18% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 28% | 17% | 25% | 20% | 30% | 11% | 14% | 0% | 22% | 22% | 18% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 18% | 47% | 30% | 9% | 30% | 12% | 38% | 4% | 11% | 16% | 12% | 33% | 41% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 24% | 25% | 39% | 14% | 11% | 30% | 16% |
Eric Adams | 13% | 14% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 22% | 31% | 9% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 17% | 28% | 12% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 18% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 22% | 11% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 21% | 19% | 7% | 7% | 19% | 8% | 10% | 31% | 12% | 19% | 14% | 0% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 5% | 10% | 16% |
Undecided | 15% | 10% | 14% | 61% | 40% | 80% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 19% | 9% | 22% | 10% | 19% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 14% | 24% | 10% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 8% | 11% | 21% | 6% | 7% | 18% | 21% | 40% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 32% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 40% | 12% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 33% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q17: Are you absolutely certain to vote for this candidate, or could you change your mind? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Absolutely certain | 68% | 70% | 64% | 36% | 75% | 2% | 74% | 75% | 53% | 62% | 100% | - | 100% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 48% | 69% | 58% | 70% | 77% | 64% | 71% | 70% | 66% | 76% | 63% | 67% | 69% | 68% | 68% | 69% | 62% | 73% | 85% | 78% | 69% | 67% | 75% | 68% | 60% | 80% | 55% | 71% | 66% | 54% | 73% | 56% | 72% | 92% | 77% | 63% | 80% | 65% | 51% | 69% | 95% | 72% | 79% | 69% | 62% | 75% | 48% | 64% | 78% |
Could change my mind | 30% | 30% | 29% | 50% | 25% | 98% | 25% | 23% | 43% | 36% | 0% | - | 0% | 100% | 0% | 24% | 48% | 30% | 38% | 30% | 21% | 36% | 28% | 28% | 32% | 22% | 33% | 32% | 31% | 29% | 32% | 30% | 36% | 24% | 14% | 22% | 30% | 31% | 24% | 30% | 38% | 17% | 43% | 28% | 32% | 46% | 25% | 44% | 28% | 8% | 23% | 32% | 6% | 33% | 49% | 29% | 5% | 25% | 17% | 31% | 38% | 22% | 47% | 36% | 22% |
Not sure | 2% | 0% | 7% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 0% | - | 0% | 0% | 100% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Column n | 506 | 373 | 110 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 0 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 188 | 123 | 187 | 142 | 95 | 135 | 32 | 102 | 303 | 203 | 84 | 220 | 146 | 56 | 304 | 202 | 98 | 271 | 92 | 38 | 7 | 296 | 210 | 146 | 159 | 197 | 157 | 179 | 161 | 200 | 55 | 56 | 29 | 19 | 56 | 28 | 55 | 8 | 111 | 18 | 371 | 6 | 74 | 141 | 51 | 37 | 75 | 61 | 48 | 19 |
Q18: Who, if anyone, do you lean toward voting for? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Zohran Mamdani | 11% | 21% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | 11% | - | - | - | 13% | 14% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 11% | 87% | 0% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 17% | 3% | 18% | 9% | 12% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 0% | 88% | 30% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 51% | 19% | 11% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 13% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 7% | 52% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 20% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 17% |
Eric Adams | 8% | 1% | 35% | 2% | 0% | 39% | - | - | - | - | - | 8% | - | - | - | 7% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 0% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 31% | 0% | 10% | 4% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 19% | 12% | 43% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 10% | 0% | 38% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 14% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Andrew Cuomo | 6% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 18% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | 6% | - | - | - | 8% | 6% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 10% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 4% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 18% | 0% | 34% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 32% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 38% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Curtis Sliwa | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | 2% | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Other | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | 2% | - | - | - | 0% | 2% | 12% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 0% |
Undecided | 71% | 72% | 60% | 74% | 82% | 61% | - | - | - | - | - | 71% | - | - | - | 72% | 69% | 64% | 62% | 91% | 74% | 13% | 80% | 62% | 77% | 69% | 79% | 78% | 64% | 75% | 70% | 84% | 51% | 84% | 100% | 12% | 57% | 79% | 79% | 70% | 46% | 65% | 73% | 53% | 83% | 66% | 63% | 62% | 57% | 61% | 100% | 79% | 93% | 10% | 87% | 77% | 100% | 61% | 82% | 78% | 38% | 86% | 80% | 63% | 78% |
Column n | 79 | 39 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 32 | 16 | 29 | 17 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 41 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 37 | 42 | 20 | 32 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 41 | 38 | 32 | 28 | 19 | 17 | 41 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 64 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
Q16+Q18: Leaners initial vote question | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Zohran Mamdani | 28% | 29% | 32% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 34% | 26% | 11% | 37% | 23% | 5% | 32% | 22% | 33% | 18% | 26% | 27% | 29% | 52% | 44% | 17% | 13% | 47% | 16% | 32% | 22% | 30% | 47% | 43% | 39% | 20% | 25% | 26% | 35% | 43% | 23% | 17% | 25% | 27% | 16% | 43% | 28% | 57% | 31% | 31% | 14% | 28% | 12% | 28% | 44% | 59% | 41% | 16% | 9% | 46% | 37% | 15% | 18% |
Andrew Cuomo | 24% | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 6% | 25% | 32% | 31% | 29% | 18% | 13% | 26% | 34% | 19% | 18% | 22% | 20% | 28% | 13% | 15% | 34% | 26% | 14% | 31% | 23% | 20% | 34% | 18% | 51% | 15% | 31% | 31% | 20% | 19% | 25% | 25% | 16% | 29% | 31% | 17% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 41% | 27% | 14% | 26% | 18% | 25% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 28% | 29% | 13% | 37% | 37% | 23% |
Curtis Sliwa | 22% | 25% | 12% | 12% | 41% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 29% | 20% | 27% | 14% | 21% | 60% | 17% | 23% | 15% | 36% | 30% | 27% | 19% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 29% | 17% | 26% | 20% | 31% | 11% | 14% | 0% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 28% | 21% | 12% | 18% | 48% | 30% | 9% | 30% | 16% | 38% | 4% | 11% | 16% | 12% | 33% | 41% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 24% | 25% | 39% | 14% | 11% | 30% | 18% |
Eric Adams | 15% | 15% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 12% | 22% | 31% | 10% | 25% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 19% | 28% | 14% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 20% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 14% | 22% | 12% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 21% | 23% | 12% | 14% | 20% | 8% | 11% | 31% | 12% | 20% | 15% | 0% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 5% | 12% | 16% |
Undecided | 15% | 10% | 14% | 61% | 40% | 80% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 19% | 9% | 22% | 10% | 19% | 2% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 14% | 24% | 10% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 8% | 11% | 21% | 6% | 7% | 18% | 21% | 40% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 32% | 11% | 10% | 15% | 40% | 12% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 33% |
Other | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q19: If the election for mayor was held today and the candidates were Zohran Mamdani, Curtis Sliwa, and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Andrew Cuomo | 31% | 31% | 34% | 33% | 15% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 46% | 91% | 0% | 15% | 32% | 39% | 19% | 36% | 25% | 21% | 33% | 37% | 30% | 30% | 27% | 28% | 34% | 19% | 23% | 37% | 38% | 21% | 38% | 28% | 30% | 41% | 15% | 48% | 25% | 35% | 38% | 24% | 30% | 32% | 34% | 21% | 33% | 37% | 33% | 7% | 20% | 21% | 48% | 30% | 40% | 26% | 29% | 33% | 0% | 15% | 19% | 33% | 37% | 20% | 37% | 40% | 39% |
Zohran Mamdani | 29% | 29% | 33% | 9% | 21% | 19% | 89% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 10% | 34% | 27% | 36% | 37% | 25% | 5% | 26% | 31% | 36% | 18% | 27% | 28% | 29% | 54% | 45% | 20% | 10% | 49% | 15% | 30% | 22% | 33% | 47% | 47% | 39% | 22% | 26% | 25% | 37% | 46% | 22% | 17% | 25% | 26% | 15% | 49% | 33% | 64% | 27% | 30% | 14% | 31% | 18% | 28% | 57% | 51% | 47% | 17% | 9% | 52% | 39% | 17% | 12% |
Curtis Sliwa | 28% | 31% | 21% | 13% | 43% | 0% | 6% | 93% | 35% | 2% | 100% | 7% | 33% | 31% | 27% | 15% | 38% | 68% | 24% | 23% | 19% | 49% | 37% | 35% | 23% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 35% | 20% | 34% | 26% | 39% | 10% | 17% | 5% | 28% | 28% | 21% | 37% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 59% | 34% | 27% | 36% | 19% | 37% | 7% | 18% | 21% | 12% | 40% | 43% | 26% | 3% | 24% | 25% | 37% | 47% | 17% | 13% | 36% | 22% |
Undecided | 12% | 8% | 13% | 45% | 21% | 80% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 69% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 17% | 9% | 15% | 2% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 17% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 1% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 26% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 19% | 34% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 40% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 27% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q20: If the election for mayor was held today and the candidates were Zohran Mamdani, Curtis Sliwa, and Eric Adams, for whom would you vote? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Zohran Mamdani | 35% | 35% | 41% | 26% | 21% | 19% | 94% | 7% | 6% | 22% | 0% | 17% | 40% | 33% | 36% | 47% | 25% | 5% | 37% | 39% | 37% | 20% | 32% | 32% | 37% | 55% | 49% | 29% | 19% | 51% | 24% | 41% | 28% | 40% | 47% | 45% | 45% | 28% | 37% | 29% | 39% | 54% | 29% | 19% | 31% | 42% | 19% | 50% | 36% | 57% | 51% | 36% | 16% | 39% | 17% | 34% | 57% | 58% | 47% | 22% | 13% | 50% | 51% | 27% | 24% |
Curtis Sliwa | 25% | 27% | 17% | 14% | 43% | 0% | 3% | 88% | 3% | 15% | 0% | 4% | 31% | 25% | 12% | 16% | 23% | 62% | 22% | 19% | 17% | 36% | 33% | 30% | 21% | 17% | 17% | 25% | 36% | 17% | 30% | 23% | 34% | 9% | 17% | 5% | 24% | 26% | 19% | 33% | 23% | 11% | 25% | 49% | 34% | 11% | 31% | 10% | 36% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 35% | 36% | 23% | 3% | 17% | 21% | 26% | 46% | 17% | 9% | 30% | 25% |
Eric Adams | 19% | 20% | 19% | 11% | 1% | 31% | 0% | 2% | 92% | 19% | 100% | 9% | 17% | 26% | 31% | 14% | 27% | 20% | 16% | 17% | 21% | 31% | 17% | 22% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 20% | 13% | 23% | 17% | 8% | 30% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 16% | 24% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 20% | 25% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 20% | 12% | 31% | 15% | 31% | 19% | 0% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 21% | 12% | 12% | 19% |
Undecided | 22% | 19% | 23% | 49% | 36% | 49% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 45% | 0% | 69% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 24% | 13% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 26% | 9% | 18% | 29% | 24% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 15% | 33% | 27% | 20% | 14% | 27% | 27% | 22% | 13% | 19% | 26% | 12% | 17% | 27% | 25% | 29% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 35% | 41% | 11% | 16% | 24% | 40% | 12% | 12% | 27% | 16% | 12% | 29% | 31% | 32% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q21: If the election for mayor was held today and the choices were just Andrew Cuomo and Zohran Mamdani, for whom would you vote? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Andrew Cuomo | 50% | 53% | 45% | 31% | 40% | 0% | 6% | 57% | 78% | 93% | 0% | 23% | 53% | 58% | 31% | 45% | 50% | 69% | 46% | 48% | 46% | 72% | 51% | 51% | 48% | 23% | 38% | 59% | 63% | 33% | 61% | 41% | 57% | 49% | 24% | 57% | 46% | 52% | 52% | 47% | 49% | 40% | 53% | 57% | 54% | 54% | 57% | 23% | 48% | 22% | 56% | 46% | 52% | 50% | 64% | 50% | 0% | 19% | 36% | 63% | 69% | 31% | 45% | 59% | 56% |
Zohran Mamdani | 35% | 35% | 37% | 30% | 30% | 19% | 92% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 97% | 19% | 39% | 33% | 40% | 42% | 32% | 10% | 34% | 31% | 46% | 19% | 33% | 34% | 35% | 63% | 52% | 26% | 14% | 56% | 21% | 43% | 28% | 34% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 29% | 31% | 33% | 43% | 48% | 29% | 28% | 29% | 33% | 28% | 49% | 49% | 71% | 37% | 31% | 14% | 39% | 27% | 33% | 57% | 63% | 55% | 26% | 9% | 56% | 44% | 23% | 19% |
Not sure | 16% | 12% | 18% | 38% | 30% | 80% | 2% | 24% | 9% | 0% | 3% | 58% | 8% | 9% | 30% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 12% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 24% | 0% | 12% | 19% | 17% | 20% | 9% | 12% | 18% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 15% | 28% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 23% | 34% | 11% | 9% | 17% | 43% | 18% | 9% | 11% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 18% | 24% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q22: If the election for mayor was held today and the choices were just Eric Adams and Zohran Mamdani, for whom would you vote? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Zohran Mamdani | 43% | 42% | 50% | 29% | 55% | 19% | 95% | 26% | 9% | 33% | 97% | 21% | 49% | 42% | 36% | 52% | 35% | 18% | 46% | 42% | 43% | 23% | 45% | 37% | 47% | 69% | 52% | 38% | 27% | 58% | 33% | 47% | 34% | 52% | 56% | 69% | 46% | 40% | 44% | 39% | 45% | 57% | 41% | 28% | 35% | 55% | 33% | 50% | 71% | 63% | 61% | 42% | 16% | 47% | 39% | 42% | 39% | 66% | 48% | 31% | 20% | 61% | 58% | 36% | 34% |
Eric Adams | 36% | 42% | 24% | 20% | 8% | 31% | 4% | 61% | 87% | 29% | 3% | 22% | 36% | 43% | 39% | 25% | 43% | 73% | 30% | 36% | 36% | 71% | 33% | 46% | 28% | 13% | 34% | 38% | 47% | 27% | 42% | 33% | 49% | 20% | 13% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 28% | 37% | 46% | 25% | 35% | 60% | 44% | 25% | 49% | 21% | 17% | 20% | 28% | 29% | 43% | 40% | 54% | 35% | 0% | 21% | 41% | 45% | 62% | 19% | 23% | 39% | 31% |
Not sure | 21% | 16% | 27% | 51% | 37% | 50% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 39% | 0% | 57% | 15% | 14% | 25% | 23% | 22% | 9% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 6% | 22% | 17% | 25% | 18% | 14% | 24% | 26% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 17% | 28% | 31% | 31% | 14% | 26% | 28% | 24% | 9% | 18% | 25% | 12% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 29% | 12% | 17% | 11% | 29% | 41% | 12% | 7% | 23% | 61% | 13% | 10% | 25% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 25% | 35% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q57: Which religious background do you most identify with? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Catholic | 39% | 42% | 37% | 34% | 5% | 50% | 35% | 53% | 31% | 49% | 0% | 18% | 42% | 45% | 48% | 36% | 31% | 59% | 35% | 38% | 32% | 63% | 42% | 40% | 39% | 28% | 47% | 40% | 36% | 40% | 38% | 49% | 44% | 21% | 24% | 63% | 32% | 44% | 40% | 41% | 35% | 31% | 41% | 45% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 41% | 31% | 38% | 68% | 31% | 39% | 47% | 38% | 31% | 56% | 36% | 34% |
Protestant | 11% | 9% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 0% | 11% | 4% | 17% | 11% | 0% | 13% | 8% | 15% | 0% | 11% | 14% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 23% | 9% | 1% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 15% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 0% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 6% | 15% | 6% |
Jewish | 16% | 19% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 50% | 8% | 21% | 22% | 11% | 0% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 19% | 2% | 14% | 14% | 17% | 4% | 6% | 15% | 30% | 6% | 22% | 4% | 30% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 26% | 8% | 6% | 16% | 29% | 19% | 14% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 38% |
Atheist or Agnostic | 7% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 3% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 18% | 4% | 7% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 13% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 13% | 0% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 4% |
Evangelical | 3% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 23% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 1% | 3% | 0% |
Muslim | 6% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 97% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 8% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 0% | 9% | 10% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 24% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 25% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 0% |
Other | 6% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 15% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 1% | 9% | 3% | 31% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% |
None | 11% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 22% | 0% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 13% | 0% | 14% | 10% | 11% | 28% | 10% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 16% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 23% | 25% | 0% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 0% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% |
Not sure | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q58: In general, do you think of yourself as…? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
NET Liberal | 33% | 35% | 35% | 10% | 0% | 31% | 50% | 18% | 26% | 36% | 0% | 24% | 40% | 19% | 58% | 47% | 16% | 4% | 27% | 36% | 40% | 25% | 34% | 31% | 34% | 45% | 32% | 35% | 24% | 37% | 30% | 35% | 26% | 42% | 43% | 53% | 38% | 29% | 37% | 26% | 35% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 38% | 40% | 44% | 20% | 44% | 26% | 33% | 35% | 47% | 4% | 31% | 44% | 38% | 38% | 34% | 20% | 41% | 29% | 35% | 29% |
Very liberal | 16% | 19% | 10% | 7% | 0% | 31% | 28% | 5% | 15% | 16% | 0% | 11% | 22% | 6% | 15% | 23% | 8% | 2% | 14% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 9% | 16% | 16% | 26% | 13% | 19% | 9% | 18% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 24% | 14% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 49% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 20% | 10% | 22% | 11% | 33% | 19% | 0% | 15% | 44% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 7% | 25% | 10% | 18% | 11% |
Somewhat liberal | 17% | 17% | 25% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 13% | 11% | 20% | 0% | 13% | 19% | 13% | 43% | 24% | 9% | 3% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 3% | 25% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 19% | 13% | 17% | 28% | 32% | 21% | 14% | 20% | 11% | 18% | 51% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 23% | 0% | 35% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 28% | 4% | 16% | 0% | 21% | 19% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 18% |
Moderate | 42% | 37% | 48% | 70% | 69% | 19% | 33% | 35% | 49% | 43% | 0% | 60% | 31% | 55% | 32% | 39% | 61% | 22% | 49% | 43% | 37% | 35% | 39% | 38% | 45% | 38% | 41% | 40% | 47% | 40% | 43% | 40% | 44% | 40% | 45% | 17% | 38% | 45% | 43% | 47% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 44% | 48% | 37% | 46% | 46% | 12% | 49% | 45% | 45% | 35% | 53% | 43% | 44% | 39% | 32% | 39% | 40% | 43% | 44% | 40% | 55% |
Somewhat conservative | 13% | 13% | 7% | 14% | 25% | 20% | 9% | 26% | 18% | 7% | 0% | 4% | 13% | 18% | 0% | 4% | 13% | 46% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 22% | 12% | 20% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 21% | 7% | 16% | 12% | 16% | 8% | 8% | 0% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 14% | 2% | 16% | 5% | 15% | 29% | 9% | 12% | 0% | 7% | 32% | 13% | 0% | 12% | 9% | 18% | 35% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 5% |
Very conservative | 9% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 21% | 5% | 8% | 100% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 27% | 10% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 20% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 0% | 7% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 8% |
NET Conservative | 22% | 26% | 11% | 14% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 47% | 23% | 14% | 100% | 9% | 25% | 23% | 10% | 10% | 19% | 73% | 22% | 15% | 23% | 40% | 20% | 30% | 15% | 9% | 22% | 23% | 27% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 28% | 14% | 11% | 0% | 22% | 22% | 14% | 24% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 25% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 35% | 41% | 20% | 19% | 9% | 17% | 43% | 23% | 0% | 19% | 29% | 26% | 40% | 9% | 19% | 20% | 13% |
Not sure | 3% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 30% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 7% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 30% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 3% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q59: Did you vote in the June 2025 Democratic primary election for mayor? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Yes | 80% | 92% | 53% | 26% | 55% | 100% | 87% | 97% | 80% | 77% | 100% | 52% | 87% | 80% | 58% | 80% | - | - | 79% | 89% | 82% | 72% | 74% | 76% | 83% | 86% | 79% | 81% | 76% | 82% | 78% | 74% | 86% | 76% | 81% | 63% | 87% | 75% | 80% | 72% | 89% | 87% | 74% | 90% | 83% | 60% | 93% | 80% | 91% | 90% | 74% | 64% | 72% | 85% | 100% | 78% | 81% | 84% | 79% | 77% | 64% | 85% | 79% | 84% | 83% |
No | 19% | 8% | 42% | 66% | 45% | 0% | 12% | 3% | 14% | 23% | 0% | 45% | 13% | 20% | 0% | 19% | - | - | 20% | 11% | 14% | 28% | 26% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 19% | 18% | 24% | 16% | 21% | 24% | 14% | 22% | 14% | 37% | 12% | 24% | 20% | 24% | 11% | 12% | 25% | 6% | 17% | 40% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 19% | 31% | 28% | 15% | 0% | 21% | 0% | 12% | 21% | 23% | 36% | 11% | 21% | 13% | 17% |
Not sure | 1% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 42% | 1% | - | - | 2% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Column n | 212 | 161 | 39 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 75 | 26 | 26 | 60 | 1 | 24 | 142 | 44 | 2 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 46 | 63 | 5 | 44 | 104 | 108 | 44 | 83 | 54 | 31 | 127 | 85 | 42 | 80 | 64 | 22 | 4 | 114 | 98 | 83 | 62 | 66 | 100 | 74 | 32 | 70 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 24 | 6 | 49 | 5 | 154 | 4 | 33 | 43 | 16 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 23 | 19 |
Q60: Who did you rank as your first choice in the 2025 Democratic primary election for New York City mayor? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Andrew Cuomo | 36% | 39% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 23% | 27% | 94% | 0% | 22% | 35% | 44% | 0% | 36% | - | - | 42% | 39% | 28% | 11% | 35% | 31% | 38% | 16% | 20% | 50% | 51% | 18% | 50% | 32% | 39% | 36% | 19% | 75% | 23% | 48% | 50% | 29% | 22% | 37% | 37% | 25% | 47% | 24% | 39% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 50% | 38% | 12% | 26% | 30% | 40% | 0% | 19% | 17% | 54% | 50% | 15% | 32% | 52% | 51% |
Zohran Mamdani | 43% | 40% | 55% | 100% | 36% | 0% | 87% | 20% | 38% | 3% | 0% | 23% | 46% | 39% | 100% | 43% | - | - | 45% | 38% | 52% | 23% | 36% | 56% | 34% | 63% | 70% | 27% | 16% | 67% | 22% | 48% | 38% | 39% | 65% | 25% | 51% | 34% | 34% | 36% | 60% | 46% | 35% | 56% | 41% | 45% | 23% | 68% | 37% | 85% | 50% | 35% | 24% | 41% | 11% | 43% | 100% | 73% | 72% | 28% | 36% | 62% | 61% | 11% | 7% |
Scott Stringer | 2% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 12% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | - | - | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 5% |
Brad Lander | 11% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 64% | 0% | 3% | 47% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 7% | 0% | 11% | - | - | 0% | 15% | 14% | 0% | 19% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 5% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 0% | 19% | 3% | 3% | 22% | 12% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 14% | 19% | 0% | 51% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 40% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 18% | 0% | 21% | 0% | 21% | 12% |
Jessica Ramos | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - | - | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
Adrienne Adams | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 4% | - | - | 2% | 4% | 5% | 33% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 3% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 21% | 5% | 19% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 11% |
Michael Blake | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - | - | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
Zellnor Myrie | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | - | - | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Whitney Tilson | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Not sure | 3% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3% | - | - | 1% | 2% | 0% | 33% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 43% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 7% |
Column n | 177 | 150 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 65 | 25 | 22 | 51 | 1 | 13 | 126 | 37 | 1 | 177 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 40 | 55 | 4 | 35 | 86 | 91 | 40 | 69 | 44 | 24 | 109 | 68 | 33 | 71 | 52 | 18 | 3 | 101 | 76 | 68 | 47 | 61 | 88 | 58 | 29 | 60 | 18 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 17 | 5 | 45 | 5 | 124 | 3 | 29 | 36 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 19 | 16 |
Q61: Who did you vote for in the 2021 election for New York City mayor, or did you not have a chance to vote? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Eric Adams | 35% | 42% | 21% | 1% | 0% | 31% | 43% | 7% | 54% | 44% | 0% | 28% | 36% | 37% | 0% | 43% | 28% | 16% | 42% | 40% | 35% | 36% | 22% | 38% | 32% | 29% | 35% | 34% | 37% | 33% | 36% | 30% | 36% | 39% | 21% | 56% | 43% | 29% | 33% | 24% | 50% | 44% | 33% | 26% | 32% | 33% | 48% | 32% | 13% | 40% | 26% | 36% | 21% | 48% | 48% | 32% | 0% | 53% | 44% | 35% | 29% | 20% | 31% | 29% | 47% |
Curtis Sliwa | 22% | 29% | 9% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 62% | 24% | 12% | 97% | 5% | 24% | 31% | 0% | 15% | 24% | 52% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 18% | 3% | 19% | 24% | 35% | 13% | 29% | 14% | 35% | 6% | 12% | 0% | 23% | 22% | 15% | 29% | 26% | 8% | 23% | 47% | 32% | 13% | 33% | 13% | 3% | 13% | 5% | 14% | 0% | 23% | 18% | 23% | 20% | 8% | 26% | 25% | 42% | 2% | 13% | 29% | 28% |
Cathy Rojas | 6% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 23% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 15% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 13% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 14% | 3% | 8% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 41% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 10% | 34% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 0% |
Bill Pepitone | 2% | 1% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 9% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
Someone else | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Did not vote | 25% | 16% | 40% | 67% | 77% | 20% | 31% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 0% | 39% | 23% | 20% | 60% | 21% | 34% | 19% | 19% | 27% | 24% | 30% | 31% | 19% | 30% | 46% | 24% | 25% | 16% | 32% | 21% | 32% | 17% | 28% | 49% | 35% | 20% | 29% | 31% | 29% | 13% | 22% | 31% | 16% | 18% | 40% | 7% | 23% | 36% | 32% | 54% | 35% | 64% | 8% | 0% | 31% | 10% | 23% | 15% | 24% | 16% | 51% | 28% | 28% | 15% |
Not sure | 8% | 5% | 15% | 15% | 0% | 49% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 9% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 7% | 25% | 11% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 0% | 3% | 14% | 0% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 0% | 6% | 65% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 21% | 5% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q62: What is your marital status? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Married | 44% | 47% | 43% | 27% | 25% | 31% | 44% | 45% | 68% | 42% | 97% | 27% | 47% | 49% | 31% | 44% | 43% | 50% | 42% | 38% | 41% | 38% | 55% | 48% | 41% | 17% | 56% | 40% | 53% | 42% | 46% | 28% | 58% | 25% | 58% | 7% | 61% | 33% | 21% | 47% | 74% | 42% | 43% | 55% | 47% | 43% | 58% | 19% | 20% | 73% | 38% | 28% | 24% | 71% | 38% | 40% | 5% | 26% | 57% | 34% | 64% | 25% | 60% | 38% | 42% |
Single | 33% | 29% | 42% | 37% | 47% | 49% | 41% | 25% | 18% | 33% | 3% | 43% | 33% | 25% | 51% | 35% | 33% | 19% | 37% | 43% | 29% | 19% | 29% | 30% | 34% | 81% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 50% | 21% | 41% | 19% | 55% | 29% | 63% | 20% | 41% | 49% | 32% | 9% | 36% | 34% | 17% | 26% | 34% | 18% | 53% | 64% | 23% | 37% | 49% | 76% | 13% | 48% | 35% | 61% | 55% | 36% | 28% | 16% | 72% | 23% | 22% | 20% |
Divorced | 10% | 10% | 5% | 25% | 0% | 19% | 5% | 14% | 6% | 10% | 0% | 15% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 15% | 24% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 0% | 3% | 16% | 13% | 2% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 0% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 0% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 2% | 17% | 12% | 0% | 4% | 19% | 15% |
Separated | 4% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 20% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 30% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 6% |
Widowed | 4% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 11% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 17% |
Unmarried and living with a partner | 5% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 22% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q63: Do you have any school-age children living at home? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Yes | 33% | 32% | 40% | 17% | 41% | 0% | 41% | 31% | 34% | 35% | 3% | 18% | 36% | 36% | 31% | 37% | 29% | 23% | 31% | 38% | 38% | 20% | 32% | 36% | 31% | 29% | 64% | 35% | 5% | 51% | 21% | 39% | 31% | 36% | 26% | 5% | 41% | 28% | 22% | 32% | 48% | 31% | 30% | 42% | 37% | 42% | 17% | 24% | 57% | 60% | 16% | 25% | 21% | 47% | 51% | 29% | 29% | 42% | 68% | 31% | 10% | 36% | 63% | 25% | 0% |
No | 67% | 68% | 60% | 83% | 59% | 100% | 59% | 69% | 66% | 65% | 97% | 82% | 64% | 64% | 69% | 63% | 71% | 77% | 69% | 62% | 62% | 80% | 68% | 64% | 69% | 71% | 36% | 65% | 95% | 49% | 79% | 61% | 69% | 64% | 74% | 95% | 59% | 72% | 78% | 68% | 52% | 69% | 70% | 58% | 63% | 58% | 83% | 76% | 43% | 40% | 84% | 75% | 79% | 53% | 49% | 71% | 71% | 58% | 32% | 69% | 90% | 64% | 37% | 75% | 100% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q64: How would you describe your current employment status? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Full-time | 42% | 46% | 40% | 11% | 17% | 30% | 57% | 38% | 46% | 35% | 100% | 29% | 43% | 47% | 35% | 41% | 44% | 42% | 42% | 37% | 52% | 48% | 35% | 44% | 41% | 37% | 67% | 55% | 8% | 56% | 33% | 36% | 49% | 34% | 41% | 18% | 58% | 31% | 20% | 49% | 63% | 47% | 35% | 52% | 44% | 47% | 36% | 32% | 24% | 58% | 33% | 47% | 32% | 59% | 17% | 40% | 42% | 46% | 74% | 57% | 7% | 42% | 63% | 50% | 8% |
Retired | 28% | 31% | 9% | 32% | 38% | 31% | 8% | 36% | 30% | 34% | 0% | 38% | 27% | 25% | 0% | 28% | 21% | 40% | 27% | 17% | 23% | 20% | 40% | 30% | 26% | 7% | 1% | 16% | 76% | 3% | 43% | 18% | 34% | 22% | 25% | 33% | 26% | 29% | 30% | 31% | 21% | 20% | 32% | 32% | 27% | 18% | 56% | 13% | 37% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 0% | 25% | 72% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 77% | 7% | 3% | 20% | 74% |
Part-time | 13% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 0% | 11% | 11% | 16% | 32% | 10% | 19% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 25% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 17% | 10% | 22% | 9% | 14% | 13% | 0% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 9% | 10% | 16% | 7% | 21% | 23% | 13% | 26% | 14% | 19% | 12% | 3% | 13% | 19% | 21% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 24% | 12% | 13% | 8% |
Unemployed | 10% | 6% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 0% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 0% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 2% | 8% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 3% | 20% | 6% | 38% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 11% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 0% | 26% | 2% | 3% | 16% | 13% | 37% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 19% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 8% |
Homemaker | 4% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 0% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 15% | 5% | 0% |
Student | 3% | 2% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 18% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 19% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Prefer not to say | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Q65: Are you currently a member of a government or public sector labor union? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Total | Vote Likelihood | Initial Vote | Certainty | Party Registration | Borough | Gender | Age | Race | Education | Income | Ideology | Religion | Gov Union Membership | Gender x Age | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Very likely | Somewhat likely | Not very likely | Not at all likely | Not sure | Zohran Mamdani | Curtis Sliwa | Eric Adams | Andrew Cuomo | Other | Undecided | Absolutely certain | Could change my mind | Not sure | Democratic | Independent/ Other | Republican | Brooklyn | The Bronx | Manhattan | Staten Island | Queens | Male | Female | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ | 18-44 | 45+ | Hispanic | White | Black/African American | Asian/Pacific Islander | Other | College grad | Non College | Less than $50K | $50K to $99K | $100K + | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Catholic | Protestant | Jewish | Atheist or Agnostic | Evangelical | Muslim | Other | None | Not sure | Yes, currently | Yes, former | No | Not sure | Male 18-34 | Male 35-49 | Male 50-64 | Male 65+ | Female 18-34 | Female 35-49 | Female 50-64 | Female 65+ | ||
Yes, currently | 16% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 24% | 15% | 15% | 3% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 25% | 21% | 8% | 11% | 22% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 11% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 0% | 23% | 12% | 9% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 24% | 3% | 8% | 22% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 20% | 12% | 21% | 10% | 17% | 22% | 7% |
Yes, former | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 23% | 0% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 31% | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 7% |
No | 77% | 77% | 78% | 85% | 77% | 51% | 80% | 66% | 79% | 81% | 97% | 79% | 78% | 74% | 75% | 73% | 86% | 81% | 71% | 73% | 82% | 84% | 80% | 73% | 80% | 80% | 71% | 79% | 79% | 74% | 79% | 73% | 78% | 72% | 87% | 100% | 74% | 79% | 84% | 73% | 72% | 73% | 78% | 79% | 75% | 75% | 71% | 89% | 59% | 70% | 92% | 85% | 87% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 72% | 69% | 80% | 72% | 78% | 81% | 76% | 86% |
Not sure | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 49% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
Column n | 585 | 412 | 128 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 155 | 131 | 93 | 125 | 2 | 79 | 359 | 138 | 9 | 212 | 155 | 203 | 171 | 112 | 152 | 34 | 116 | 341 | 244 | 101 | 240 | 169 | 75 | 341 | 244 | 118 | 303 | 107 | 48 | 9 | 337 | 248 | 178 | 187 | 216 | 174 | 220 | 174 | 218 | 62 | 67 | 42 | 21 | 63 | 31 | 69 | 12 | 119 | 20 | 435 | 11 | 84 | 152 | 61 | 44 | 89 | 70 | 54 | 31 |
Nature of Sample | ||
---|---|---|
Gender |
Male | 45% |
Female | 55% | |
Age |
18-34 | 21% |
35-49 | 24% | |
50-64 | 27% | |
65+ | 28% | |
Borough |
Brooklyn | 30% |
The Bronx | 15% | |
Manhattan | 21% | |
Staten Island | 8% | |
Queens | 26% | |
Education |
College grad | 41% |
Non College | 59% | |
Race |
White | 49% |
Black or African American | 21% | |
Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin | 20% | |
Asian/ Other, specify | 10% | |
Party registration |
Republican party | 15% |
Democratic party | 60% | |
Independent/unaffiliated | 25% |